Award Expert

Wicked: For Good "A Masterpiece" - Deadline First Reaction

Share:

We have our first reaction to Wicked: For Good from Deadline's Baz Bamigboye. In the piece, director Jon M. Chu sheds light on his approach to the broadway musical adaptation's second half. Bamigboye, who was treated to a preview of the film, sprinkles effusive praise throughout the piece. Here's some of what Bamigboye has said:

“It’s gloriously, deliciously good.” He doesn't hold back, ending the piece with, “Chu and his artists have breathed life into [Wicked]. Even more so for Wicked: For Good. It’s how I felt when I saw The Godfather: Part Two. That was a masterpiece too.”

He continues, “The audience at the private screening I attended in London applauded as the final credits rolled. It’s truly one of the year’s outstanding movies. It’s a marvelous piece of cinematic art.”

"More thrilling than the first"

You might recall last year when Wicked was screened for several Variety press members to heaping praise and bullish predictions that it would win Best Picture. Bamigboye even writes, "It’s no secret that I loved Wicked the movie.” So it's no surprise he loved this. But beyond the acclaim, Bamigboye and Chu offer some insight about the care put into the sequel, and how it's perhaps even more thrilling than the first.

“Some might even argue that it’s a tighter, more thrilling, more exciting film than Wicked," Bamigboye writes. This should surprise those who believe "Wicked: Part One" set the bar too high by ending on "Defying Gravity", which is widely thought to be the best part about the musical. Many believe the musical's second half is the weaker of the two, and Chu hints that film might defy expectations.

Chu teases the two new songs, No Place Like Home and Girl in the Bubble, performed by Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande respectively, and had this to say at a recent Q&A: “I thought the second half was the meat… the adult selves looking back at their dreams and their hopes and what they thought the world was... and all of it shatters," Chu says, brimming with passion for the story he's spent years bringing to the screen. “What happens when the home that you’re fighting for, you realize, was never built for you?”

"Wicked: Part One" took its time through the musical numbers and slowed down the story so we feel more emotional touch points with the characters. Jon M. Chu makes it clear we can expect the exact same thing here, and perhaps on a greater scale. After all, he stretches an hour-long act two into two hours and eighteen minutes (the films back-to-back will run at just over 5 hours).

Academy Awards Prospects Ahead of Release Remain Strong With 11 Nominations Predicted

The first Wicked took the Oscar season by storm with ten nominations, performing even stronger than expected when it crept into Best Editing and Best Original Score. "Wicked: For Good" has the potential to build on that success in significant ways. According to Award Expert users, the film is on track for 11 Oscar nominations. In Best Picture, it ranks the highest of any film that has yet to have a public screening.

Though you may think it's far-fetched that the sequel will top the nomination count of the first, there are three nominations the sequel can score that the first could not: Best Original Song x2, and Best Casting, a category which the Academy Awards are introducing for the first time.

Predictions from Award Expert users

Best Picture

2026 Academy Awards

5,356 usersNov 7, 4:29 PM
One Battle After Another
1

One Battle After Another

Warner Bros.

WIN:83%
7%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
Sinners
2

Sinners

Warner Bros.

WIN:6%
5%
change over 30 days
NOM:98%
Hamnet
3

Hamnet

Focus Features

WIN:7%
NOM:95%
Marty Supreme
4

Marty Supreme

A24

WIN:1%
NOM:95%
3%
change over 30 days
Sentimental Value
5

Sentimental Value

Neon

WIN:1%
1%
change over 30 days
NOM:94%
Wicked: For Good
6

Wicked: For Good

Universal

WIN:1%
NOM:91%
3%
change over 30 days
It Was Just an Accident
7

It Was Just an Accident

Neon

WIN:0%
NOM:82%
13%
change over 30 days
Frankenstein
8

Frankenstein

Netflix

WIN:0%
NOM:72%
34%
change over 30 days
Avatar: Fire and Ash
9

Avatar: Fire and Ash

20th Century Studios

WIN:0%
NOM:62%
17%
change over 30 days
Bugonia
10

Bugonia

Focus Features

WIN:0%
NOM:52%

Awards Hopes Remain High for the Films' Stars, Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande

Both Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande are on track to duplicate their nominations from last year. With a thinning Best Actress Category, Cynthia Erivo holds strong at 84% of users predicting a nomination. Her co-star Ariana Grande is poised for a nomination. But beyond a nomination, there's a clearing for her to win the Oscar. Even after the fall festivals come to a close, no other performance has stood out to awards prognosticators as having greater potential to win, with 62% of users predicting she takes the trophy.

Predictions from Award Expert users

Best Actress

2026 Academy Awards

4,985 usersNov 7, 4:29 PM
Jessie Buckley
1

Jessie Buckley

Hamnet

WIN:89%
3%
change over 30 days
NOM:97%
Renate Reinsve
2

Renate Reinsve

Sentimental Value

WIN:3%
3%
change over 30 days
NOM:93%
2%
change over 30 days
Cynthia Erivo
3

Cynthia Erivo

Wicked: For Good

WIN:2%
NOM:84%
Amanda Seyfried
4

Amanda Seyfried

The Testament of Ann Lee

WIN:1%
NOM:63%
5%
change over 30 days
Emma Stone
5

Emma Stone

Bugonia

WIN:1%
NOM:57%
15%
change over 30 days

The Best Supporting Actress race is by no means sewed up, but there's an important stat to keep in mind here. Musicals that are nominated in Best Picture tend to win Supporting Actress when nominated. This includes "Emilia Pérez", "West Side Story (both films)", "Les Misérables", "Chicago", and "Nashville". I struggle to find an exception to this rule. Ariana Grande might have broken the pattern last year, except that Zoe Saldaña beat her for another musical. With no other musicals in the category, Grande might have her best shot yet.

Predictions from Award Expert users

Best Supporting Actress

2026 Academy Awards

5,050 usersNov 7, 4:29 PM
Ariana Grande
1

Ariana Grande

Wicked: For Good

WIN:62%
7%
change over 30 days
NOM:92%
4%
change over 30 days
Teyana Taylor
2

Teyana Taylor

One Battle After Another

WIN:21%
8%
change over 30 days
NOM:95%
12%
change over 30 days
Elle Fanning
3

Elle Fanning

Sentimental Value

WIN:8%
10%
change over 30 days
NOM:87%
1%
change over 30 days
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
4

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas

Sentimental Value

WIN:2%
NOM:71%
8%
change over 30 days
Amy Madigan
5

Amy Madigan

Weapons

WIN:3%
NOM:48%
17%
change over 30 days

Lastly, we ought to consider Jonathan Bailey, who received a SAG nomination last year, but came up short of an Oscar nomination. He's mentioned in the article for his romance between his character and Elphaba:“There’s heat between Elphaba and Jonathan Bailey’s Fiyero — a splendid performance, by the way." It continues, “Their relationship seems to develop in a deeper, perhaps more intimate, way than it does in the stage show. Seeing their courtship pan out on stage is one thing, but it’s a gobsmacking, beautifully unexpected moment on screen."So let's not sleep on Jonathan Bailey, who is currently predicted by 5% of users.

Predictions from Award Expert users

Best Supporting Actor

2026 Academy Awards

4,771 usersNov 7, 4:29 PM
Sean Penn
1

Sean Penn

One Battle After Another

WIN:49%
14%
change over 30 days
NOM:98%
2%
change over 30 days
Stellan Skarsgård
2

Stellan Skarsgård

Sentimental Value

WIN:39%
13%
change over 30 days
NOM:95%
Paul Mescal
3

Paul Mescal

Hamnet

WIN:8%
NOM:94%
4%
change over 30 days
Benicio del Toro
4

Benicio del Toro

One Battle After Another

WIN:1%
NOM:64%
47%
change over 30 days
Adam Sandler
5

Adam Sandler

Jay Kelly

WIN:1%
NOM:39%
20%
change over 30 days
Jacob Elordi
6

Jacob Elordi

Frankenstein

WIN:1%
NOM:37%
28%
change over 30 days
Delroy Lindo
7

Delroy Lindo

Sinners

WIN:1%
NOM:25%
14%
change over 30 days
Jeremy Strong
8

Jeremy Strong

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

WIN:0%
NOM:21%
40%
change over 30 days
Miles Caton
9

Miles Caton

Sinners

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
Jonathan Bailey
10

Jonathan Bailey

Wicked: For Good

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
1%
change over 30 days
Andrew Garfield
11

Andrew Garfield

After the Hunt

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

What users are saying

Profile
@vilegloom

I’ve settled on a NGNG pick for my fifth in Best Supporting Actor. This is mostly a gut feeling but here’s my logic: 1) I think Wicked For Good is being underestimated in general and will overperform. I think it has a low win ceiling, but …

Supporting Actor

2026 Academy Awards

Stellan Skarsgård
1
Sean Penn
2
Paul Mescal
3
Benicio del Toro
4
Jonathan Bailey
5
Profile
@cineaugust21

“We added a couple of pieces of dialogue at it’s beginning. So she says, ‘Look at me, not through your eyes, through theirs.’ That’s new. She used to say, ‘Look at me. I’m limited,’” he tells us, his voice delivering the song’s lilting harm …

Adapted Screenplay

2026 Academy Awards

One Battle After Another
1
Hamnet
2
Bugonia
3
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
4
Wicked: For Good
5
Profile
@cammattox

“Chu and his artists have breathed life into it. Even more so for Wicked: For Good. It’s how I felt when I saw The Godfather: Part Two. That was a masterpiece too.” - Deadline And so it begins. Never doubt Wicked!!!

Picture

2026 Academy Awards

One Battle After Another
1
Hamnet
2
Sinners
3
Marty Supreme
4
Wicked: For Good
5
Sentimental Value
6
Bugonia
7
It Was Just an Accident
8
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
9
No Other Choice
10
Profile
@skimblesharpe

I know that Demi Moore kind of broke the makeup/actress or actor makeup win trend. But… Erivo is coming for that EGOOT.

Actress

2026 Academy Awards

Cynthia Erivo
1
Jessie Buckley
2
Emma Stone
3
Kate Hudson
4
Chase Infiniti
5
Profile
@pierreee

you don't understand how much WE need this🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻

Supporting Actor

2026 Academy Awards

Stellan Skarsgård
1
Sean Penn
2
Jacob Elordi
3
Jacobi Jupe
4
Jonathan Bailey
5
Profile
@currenthyperfixation

Trailer just confirmed what I said before: she will more than deserve this win

Supporting Actress

2026 Academy Awards

Ariana Grande
1
Elle Fanning
2
Jennifer Lopez
3
Teyana Taylor
4
Amy Madigan
5
Profile
@jigsue's pantsuit

I wanted to give my reasons for why Cynthia's song (assuming Wicked: For Good has the same reception as the first one): 1 No Place Like Home along with Girl in the Bubble are gonna be right after Golden when it comes to streams among the no …

Original Song

2026 Academy Awards

No Place Like Home
1
I Lied To You
2
Girl in the Bubble
3
Golden
4
Dear Me
5
Profile
@fka tarr

Am I the only person on this app who thinks Wicked will deserve its Best Picture nom?

Picture

2026 Academy Awards

Sinners
1
Hamnet
2
Sentimental Value
3
Marty Supreme
4
Wicked: For Good
5
It Was Just an Accident
6
One Battle After Another
7
Avatar: Fire and Ash
8
No Other Choice
9
A House of Dynamite
10
Profile
@cheshirekyle

She felt like a solid second place last year and the line up this year feels pretty weak. Again, very confident in her nomination and feel safe with her as the front runner for now.

Supporting Actress

2026 Academy Awards

Ariana Grande
1
Elle Fanning
2
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
3
Wunmi Mosaku
4
Amy Madigan
5
Profile
@blackshadow

It'll be hard to win for her performance as Glinda after losing last season, but I'm ride or die with this woman.

Supporting Actress

2026 Academy Awards

Ariana Grande
1
Alicia Silverstone
2
Elle Fanning
3
Emily Watson
4
Teyana Taylor
5
Profile
@cammattox

Doubting her nomination is crazy- especially with seemingly weaker competition???

Supporting Actress

2026 Academy Awards

Ariana Grande
1
Elle Fanning
2
Gwyneth Paltrow
3
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
4
Ayo Edebiri
5
Profile
@neko180507

Not entirely sure if shes going to win but it's very clear that if Saldana was not there, she would have won easily. And usually actresses who potray in musicals always end up winning the Oscar (Debose, Hudson, Zeta-Jones). I feel like the …

Supporting Actress

2026 Academy Awards

Ariana Grande
1
Elle Fanning
2
Laura Dern
3
Mari Yamamoto
4
Gwyneth Paltrow
5
Profile
@anv50052

It's not going to be in the winning conversation like the first one, sure, but can we stop pretending it won't get into a field of 10? Of course it will

Picture

2026 Academy Awards

Sentimental Value
1
Sinners
2
Rental Family
3
Jay Kelly
4
Bugonia
5
Wicked: For Good
6
Marty Supreme
7
After the Hunt
8
The Testament of Ann Lee
9
No Other Choice
10
Profile
@theberger

The Wicked performance at the Oscar’s last year were her audition for another nom imo

Supporting Actress

2026 Academy Awards

Ayo Edebiri
1
Ariana Grande
2
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
3
Elle Fanning
4
Mari Yamamoto
5
Profile
@awardshowsaremylatestobssesion

Ok hear me out 1. There is no clear frontrunner 2. They may end up waiting for the second part to come out to fully give the movie it’s flowers. Should she win it will say “Wicked for good” on the envelope, but she will be rewarded for h …

Supporting Actress

2026 Academy Awards

Ariana Grande
1
Ayo Edebiri
2
Emily Blunt
3
Elle Fanning
4
Gwyneth Paltrow
5
Profile
@samoscar

I saw the trailer and by the looks of it she is gonna be even more performative this time with more drama scenes as well as the comedy she brought the first part. I think the academy will want to give it to one of the two especially after l …

Supporting Actress

2026 Academy Awards

Ariana Grande
1
Elle Fanning
2
Emily Blunt
3
Ayo Edebiri
4
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
5
Profile
@cheshirekyle

I think anyone doubting this movie is setting themselves up for failure just like everyone who doubted Wicked last year.

Picture

2026 Academy Awards

Sinners
1
Sentimental Value
2
Rental Family
3
Bugonia
4
Wicked: For Good
5
Jay Kelly
6
One Battle After Another
7
Marty Supreme
8
Frankenstein
9
The Testament of Ann Lee
10
Profile
@alexdawl

(All justifications for Wicked predictions are under the assumption that the second half of the two-parter at the very least levels up to the first in terms of general reception and cultural significance) What separates Wicked from the usu …

Supporting Actress

2026 Academy Awards

Ariana Grande
1
Gwyneth Paltrow
2
Elle Fanning
3
Laura Dern
4
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
5
Profile
@artic_paws10

Zoe Saldaña sadly took up the win last year so at least she has a bigger chance of winning it this year, because the academy could see giving her the win as an award for her performance in both films

Supporting Actress

2026 Academy Awards

Ariana Grande
1
Elle Fanning
2
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
3
Profile
@cammattox

Do not underestimate the Wicked hype!!!

Supporting Actress

2026 Academy Awards

Ariana Grande
1
Elle Fanning
2
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
3
Ayo Edebiri
4
Laura Dern
5

Make your predictions on

Award Expert

Award Expert App Icon
App Store LinkPlay Store Link
Share: