Award Expert

2026 Cannes Predictions: Prix du scénario (Screenplay)

Aggregated predictions from 1,074 users

Updated: May 24, 2:29 PM
Sentimental Value
1

Sentimental Value

Joachim Trier, Eskil Vogt

WIN:28%
NOM:28%
It Was Just an Accident
2

It Was Just an Accident

Jafar Panahi

WIN:29%
NOM:29%
Two Prosecutors
3

Two Prosecutors

Sergei Loznitsa

WIN:14%
NOM:14%
The Mastermind
4

The Mastermind

Kelly Reichardt

WIN:12%
NOM:12%
Nouvelle Vague
5

Nouvelle Vague

Holly Gent, Laetitia Masson, Vincent Palmo Jr., Michèle Pétin

WIN:5%
NOM:5%
Sound of Falling
6

Sound of Falling

Louise Peter, Mascha Schilinski

WIN:4%
NOM:4%
Eddington
7

Eddington

Ari Aster

WIN:3%
NOM:3%
Sirāt
8

Sirāt

Oliver Laxe, Santiago Fillol

WIN:3%
NOM:3%
The Secret Agent
9

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:1%
NOM:1%
Alpha
10

Alpha

Julia Ducournau

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Sentimental Value
It Was Just an Accident
Two Prosecutors
The Mastermind
Nouvelle Vague
Sound of Falling
Eddington
Sirāt
The Secret Agent
Alpha
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 830%
Sentimental Value
30% predicting on Nov 8
34%
Sentimental Value
34% predicting on Nov 7
37%
Sentimental Value
37% predicting on Nov 6
37%
Sentimental Value
37% predicting on Nov 5
37%
Sentimental Value
37% predicting on Nov 4
37%
Sentimental Value
37% predicting on Nov 3
37%
Sentimental Value
37% predicting on Nov 2
37%
Sentimental Value
37% predicting on Nov 1
37%
Sentimental Value
37% predicting on Oct 31
37%
Sentimental Value
37% predicting on Oct 30
38%
Sentimental Value
38% predicting on Oct 29
38%
Sentimental Value
38% predicting on Oct 28
40%
Sentimental Value
40% predicting on Oct 27
40%
Sentimental Value
40% predicting on Oct 26
40%
Sentimental Value
40% predicting on Oct 25
41%
Sentimental Value
41% predicting on Oct 24
42%
Sentimental Value
42% predicting on Oct 23
41%
Sentimental Value
41% predicting on Oct 22
42%
Sentimental Value
42% predicting on Oct 21
42%
Sentimental Value
42% predicting on Oct 20
42%
Sentimental Value
42% predicting on Oct 19
43%
Sentimental Value
43% predicting on Oct 18
43%
Sentimental Value
43% predicting on Oct 17
44%
Sentimental Value
44% predicting on Oct 16
44%
Sentimental Value
44% predicting on Oct 15
43%
Sentimental Value
43% predicting on Oct 14
43%
Sentimental Value
43% predicting on Oct 13
43%
Sentimental Value
43% predicting on Oct 12
43%
Sentimental Value
43% predicting on Oct 11
44%
Sentimental Value
44% predicting on Oct 10
21%
It Was Just an Accident
21% predicting on Nov 8
7%
It Was Just an Accident
7% predicting on Nov 7
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Nov 6
3%
It Was Just an Accident
3% predicting on Nov 5
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Nov 4
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Nov 3
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Nov 2
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Nov 1
2%
It Was Just an Accident
2% predicting on Oct 31
2%
It Was Just an Accident
2% predicting on Oct 30
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 29
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 28
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 27
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 26
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 25
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 24
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 23
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 22
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 21
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 20
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 19
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 18
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 17
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 16
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 15
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 14
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 13
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 12
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 11
1%
It Was Just an Accident
1% predicting on Oct 10
15%
Two Prosecutors
15% predicting on Nov 8
13%
Two Prosecutors
13% predicting on Nov 7
11%
Two Prosecutors
11% predicting on Nov 6
10%
Two Prosecutors
10% predicting on Nov 5
7%
Two Prosecutors
7% predicting on Nov 4
4%
Two Prosecutors
4% predicting on Nov 3
3%
Two Prosecutors
3% predicting on Nov 2
2%
Two Prosecutors
2% predicting on Nov 1
2%
Two Prosecutors
2% predicting on Oct 31
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 30
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 29
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 28
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 27
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 26
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 25
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 24
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 23
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 22
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 21
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 20
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 19
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 18
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 17
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 16
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 15
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 14
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 13
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 12
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 11
1%
Two Prosecutors
1% predicting on Oct 10
15%
The Mastermind
15% predicting on Nov 8
23%
The Mastermind
23% predicting on Nov 7
23%
The Mastermind
23% predicting on Nov 6
24%
The Mastermind
24% predicting on Nov 5
25%
The Mastermind
25% predicting on Nov 4
27%
The Mastermind
27% predicting on Nov 3
25%
The Mastermind
25% predicting on Nov 2
24%
The Mastermind
24% predicting on Nov 1
24%
The Mastermind
24% predicting on Oct 31
23%
The Mastermind
23% predicting on Oct 30
22%
The Mastermind
22% predicting on Oct 29
21%
The Mastermind
21% predicting on Oct 28
20%
The Mastermind
20% predicting on Oct 27
19%
The Mastermind
19% predicting on Oct 26
19%
The Mastermind
19% predicting on Oct 25
18%
The Mastermind
18% predicting on Oct 24
18%
The Mastermind
18% predicting on Oct 23
18%
The Mastermind
18% predicting on Oct 22
18%
The Mastermind
18% predicting on Oct 21
17%
The Mastermind
17% predicting on Oct 20
16%
The Mastermind
16% predicting on Oct 19
16%
The Mastermind
16% predicting on Oct 18
16%
The Mastermind
16% predicting on Oct 17
16%
The Mastermind
16% predicting on Oct 16
16%
The Mastermind
16% predicting on Oct 15
16%
The Mastermind
16% predicting on Oct 14
15%
The Mastermind
15% predicting on Oct 13
15%
The Mastermind
15% predicting on Oct 12
14%
The Mastermind
14% predicting on Oct 11
13%
The Mastermind
13% predicting on Oct 10
5%
Nouvelle Vague
5% predicting on Nov 8
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Nov 7
5%
Nouvelle Vague
5% predicting on Nov 6
5%
Nouvelle Vague
5% predicting on Nov 5
4%
Nouvelle Vague
4% predicting on Nov 4
4%
Nouvelle Vague
4% predicting on Nov 3
4%
Nouvelle Vague
4% predicting on Nov 2
3%
Nouvelle Vague
3% predicting on Nov 1
3%
Nouvelle Vague
3% predicting on Oct 31
3%
Nouvelle Vague
3% predicting on Oct 30
3%
Nouvelle Vague
3% predicting on Oct 29
3%
Nouvelle Vague
3% predicting on Oct 28
4%
Nouvelle Vague
4% predicting on Oct 27
5%
Nouvelle Vague
5% predicting on Oct 26
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 25
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 24
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 23
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 22
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 21
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 20
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 19
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 18
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 17
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 16
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 15
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 14
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 13
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 12
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 11
6%
Nouvelle Vague
6% predicting on Oct 10
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Nov 8
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Nov 7
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Nov 6
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Nov 5
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Nov 4
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Nov 3
6%
Sound of Falling
6% predicting on Nov 2
6%
Sound of Falling
6% predicting on Nov 1
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Oct 31
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Oct 30
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Oct 29
6%
Sound of Falling
6% predicting on Oct 28
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Oct 27
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Oct 26
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Oct 25
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Oct 24
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Oct 23
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Oct 22
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Oct 21
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Oct 20
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Oct 19
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Oct 18
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Oct 17
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Oct 16
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Oct 15
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Oct 14
5%
Sound of Falling
5% predicting on Oct 13
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Oct 12
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Oct 11
4%
Sound of Falling
4% predicting on Oct 10
3%
Eddington
3% predicting on Nov 8
4%
Eddington
4% predicting on Nov 7
5%
Eddington
5% predicting on Nov 6
6%
Eddington
6% predicting on Nov 5
7%
Eddington
7% predicting on Nov 4
9%
Eddington
9% predicting on Nov 3
11%
Eddington
11% predicting on Nov 2
13%
Eddington
13% predicting on Nov 1
15%
Eddington
15% predicting on Oct 31
16%
Eddington
16% predicting on Oct 30
17%
Eddington
17% predicting on Oct 29
18%
Eddington
18% predicting on Oct 28
17%
Eddington
17% predicting on Oct 27
16%
Eddington
16% predicting on Oct 26
16%
Eddington
16% predicting on Oct 25
16%
Eddington
16% predicting on Oct 24
16%
Eddington
16% predicting on Oct 23
16%
Eddington
16% predicting on Oct 22
15%
Eddington
15% predicting on Oct 21
15%
Eddington
15% predicting on Oct 20
16%
Eddington
16% predicting on Oct 19
16%
Eddington
16% predicting on Oct 18
15%
Eddington
15% predicting on Oct 17
15%
Eddington
15% predicting on Oct 16
15%
Eddington
15% predicting on Oct 15
15%
Eddington
15% predicting on Oct 14
15%
Eddington
15% predicting on Oct 13
15%
Eddington
15% predicting on Oct 12
14%
Eddington
14% predicting on Oct 11
15%
Eddington
15% predicting on Oct 10
2%
Sirāt
2% predicting on Nov 8
2%
Sirāt
2% predicting on Nov 7
2%
Sirāt
2% predicting on Nov 6
1%
Sirāt
1% predicting on Nov 5
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Nov 4
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Nov 3
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Nov 2
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Nov 1
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 31
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 30
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 29
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 28
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 27
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 26
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 25
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 24
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 23
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 22
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 21
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 20
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 19
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 18
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 17
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 16
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 15
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 14
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 13
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 12
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 11
0%
Sirāt
0% predicting on Oct 10
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Nov 8
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Nov 7
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Nov 6
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Nov 5
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Nov 4
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Nov 3
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Nov 2
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Nov 1
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Oct 31
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Oct 30
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Oct 29
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Oct 28
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Oct 27
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Oct 26
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Oct 25
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Oct 24
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Oct 23
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Oct 22
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Oct 21
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Oct 20
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Oct 19
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Oct 18
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Oct 17
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Oct 16
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Oct 15
1%
The Secret Agent
1% predicting on Oct 14
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Oct 13
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Oct 12
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Oct 11
2%
The Secret Agent
2% predicting on Oct 10
1%
Alpha
1% predicting on Nov 8
1%
Alpha
1% predicting on Nov 7
2%
Alpha
2% predicting on Nov 6
3%
Alpha
3% predicting on Nov 5
4%
Alpha
4% predicting on Nov 4
4%
Alpha
4% predicting on Nov 3
3%
Alpha
3% predicting on Nov 2
4%
Alpha
4% predicting on Nov 1
4%
Alpha
4% predicting on Oct 31
4%
Alpha
4% predicting on Oct 30
4%
Alpha
4% predicting on Oct 29
4%
Alpha
4% predicting on Oct 28
4%
Alpha
4% predicting on Oct 27
5%
Alpha
5% predicting on Oct 26
5%
Alpha
5% predicting on Oct 25
5%
Alpha
5% predicting on Oct 24
5%
Alpha
5% predicting on Oct 23
5%
Alpha
5% predicting on Oct 22
5%
Alpha
5% predicting on Oct 21
6%
Alpha
6% predicting on Oct 20
6%
Alpha
6% predicting on Oct 19
6%
Alpha
6% predicting on Oct 18
6%
Alpha
6% predicting on Oct 17
6%
Alpha
6% predicting on Oct 16
6%
Alpha
6% predicting on Oct 15
6%
Alpha
6% predicting on Oct 14
7%
Alpha
7% predicting on Oct 13
8%
Alpha
8% predicting on Oct 12
8%
Alpha
8% predicting on Oct 11
8%
Alpha
8% predicting on Oct 10
30%21%15%15%5%4%3%2%2%1%