2026 Independent Spirit Awards Predictions in Every Category

Aggregated predictions from 963 users

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Which films lead the winner predictions?

1

Sorry, BabyA24

NOMS:0

WINS:3

2

change over 30 days

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1

Supporting Performance

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5

If I Had Legs I'd Kick YouA24

NOMS:0

WINS:2

1

change over 30 days

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Lead Performance

Predictions in all categories

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Updated: Dec 25, 5:00 AM

Best Feature

Sorry, Baby

Train Dreams

Twinless

The Plague

Peter Hujar's Day

Best Director

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Train Dreams

Sorry, Baby

Peter Hujar's Day

Lucky Lu

Best Lead Performance

Rose Byrne

Joel Edgerton

Dylan O'Brien

Tessa Thompson

Théodore Pellerin

Ben Whishaw

Everett Blunck

Kathleen Chalfant

Keke Palmer

Chang Chen

Ben Whishaw

Everett Blunck

Kathleen Chalfant

Keke Palmer

Chang Chen

Best Supporting Performance

Naomi Ackie

Nina Hoss

Kirsten Dunst

Zoey Deutch

Archie Madekwe

Rebecca Hall

Jane Levy

Kali Reis

Jacob Tremblay

Xu Haipeng

Rebecca Hall

Jane Levy

Kali Reis

Jacob Tremblay

Xu Haipeng

Best Screenplay

Sorry, Baby

Twinless

Splitsville

Sovereign

A Little Prayer

Best First Screenplay

Friendship

Lurker

Blue Sun Palace

Best International

The Secret Agent

Sirāt

On Becoming a Guinea Fowl

A Poet

All That's Left of You

Best Documentary

The Perfect Neighbor

My Undesirable Friends: Part I – Last Air in Moscow

Come See Me in the Good Light

The Tale of Silyan

Best Cinematography

Train Dreams

Warfare

Peter Hujar's Day

Dust Bunny

Blue Sun Palace

Best Editing

The Testament of Ann Lee

Warfare

Splitsville

Good Boy

Best Breakthrough Performance

Kayo Martin

Tabatha Zimiga

SZA

Liz Larsen

Misha Osherovich

Best First Feature

Lurker

East of Wall

Blue Sun Palace

One of Them Days

Dust Bunny