Award Expert

2026 Independent Spirit Awards Predictions: Best Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 806 users

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Updated: Dec 25, 2:01 AM
Sorry, Baby
1

Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor

WIN:92%
79%
change over 30 days
Twinless
2

Twinless

James Sweeney

WIN:6%
5%
change over 30 days
Splitsville
3

Splitsville

Michael Angelo Covino, Kyle Marvin

WIN:2%
Sovereign
4

Sovereign

Christian Swegal

WIN:0%
A Little Prayer
5

A Little Prayer

Angus MacLachlan

WIN:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Sorry, Baby
Twinless
Splitsville
Sovereign
A Little Prayer
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Nov 26Nov 29Dec 2Dec 5Dec 8Dec 12Dec 15Dec 18Dec 21Dec 2592%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 25
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 24
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 23
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 22
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 21
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 20
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 19
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 18
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 17
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 16
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 15
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 14
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 13
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 12
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 11
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 10
92%
Sorry, Baby
92% predicting on Dec 9
91%
Sorry, Baby
91% predicting on Dec 8
91%
Sorry, Baby
91% predicting on Dec 7
88%
Sorry, Baby
88% predicting on Dec 6
16%
Sorry, Baby
16% predicting on Dec 5
15%
Sorry, Baby
15% predicting on Dec 4
16%
Sorry, Baby
16% predicting on Dec 3
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Dec 2
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Dec 1
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Nov 30
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Nov 29
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Nov 28
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Nov 27
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Nov 26
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 25
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 24
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 23
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 22
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 21
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 20
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 19
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 18
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 17
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 16
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 15
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 14
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 13
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 12
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 11
6%
Twinless
6% predicting on Dec 10
7%
Twinless
7% predicting on Dec 9
7%
Twinless
7% predicting on Dec 8
7%
Twinless
7% predicting on Dec 7
9%
Twinless
9% predicting on Dec 6
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 5
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 4
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 3
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 2
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 1
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Nov 30
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Nov 29
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Nov 28
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Nov 27
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Nov 26
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 25
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 24
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 23
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 22
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 21
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 20
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 19
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 18
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 17
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 16
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 15
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 14
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 13
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 12
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 11
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 10
1%
Splitsville
1% predicting on Dec 9
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 8
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 7
2%
Splitsville
2% predicting on Dec 6
0%
Splitsville
0% predicting on Dec 5
0%
Splitsville
0% predicting on Dec 4
1%
Splitsville
1% predicting on Dec 3
1%
Splitsville
1% predicting on Dec 2
1%
Splitsville
1% predicting on Dec 1
1%
Splitsville
1% predicting on Nov 30
1%
Splitsville
1% predicting on Nov 29
1%
Splitsville
1% predicting on Nov 28
1%
Splitsville
1% predicting on Nov 27
1%
Splitsville
1% predicting on Nov 26
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 25
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 24
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 23
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 22
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 21
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 20
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 19
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 18
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 17
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 16
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 15
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 14
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 13
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 12
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 11
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 10
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 9
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 8
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 7
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 6
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 5
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 4
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 3
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 2
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Dec 1
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Nov 30
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Nov 29
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Nov 28
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Nov 27
0%
Sovereign
0% predicting on Nov 26
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 25
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 24
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 23
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 22
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 21
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 20
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 19
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 18
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 17
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 16
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 15
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 14
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 13
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 12
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 11
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 10
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 9
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 8
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 7
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 6
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 5
0%
A Little Prayer
0% predicting on Dec 4
92%6%2%0%0%