Award Expert

2026 Independent Spirit Awards Predictions: Best Feature

Aggregated predictions from 963 users

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Updated: Dec 25, 2:31 AM
Sorry, Baby
1

Sorry, Baby

A24

WIN:61%
2%
change over 30 days
Train Dreams
2

Train Dreams

Netflix

WIN:38%
25%
change over 30 days
Twinless
3

Twinless

Roadside Attractions and Lionsgate

WIN:1%
The Plague
4

The Plague

Mubi

WIN:0%
Peter Hujar's Day
5

Peter Hujar's Day

WIN:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Sorry, Baby
Train Dreams
Twinless
The Plague
Peter Hujar's Day
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%Nov 26Nov 29Dec 2Dec 5Dec 8Dec 12Dec 15Dec 18Dec 21Dec 2561%
Sorry, Baby
61% predicting on Dec 25
62%
Sorry, Baby
62% predicting on Dec 24
62%
Sorry, Baby
62% predicting on Dec 23
62%
Sorry, Baby
62% predicting on Dec 22
62%
Sorry, Baby
62% predicting on Dec 21
63%
Sorry, Baby
63% predicting on Dec 20
63%
Sorry, Baby
63% predicting on Dec 19
63%
Sorry, Baby
63% predicting on Dec 18
64%
Sorry, Baby
64% predicting on Dec 17
64%
Sorry, Baby
64% predicting on Dec 16
64%
Sorry, Baby
64% predicting on Dec 15
63%
Sorry, Baby
63% predicting on Dec 14
64%
Sorry, Baby
64% predicting on Dec 13
65%
Sorry, Baby
65% predicting on Dec 12
65%
Sorry, Baby
65% predicting on Dec 11
66%
Sorry, Baby
66% predicting on Dec 10
66%
Sorry, Baby
66% predicting on Dec 9
67%
Sorry, Baby
67% predicting on Dec 8
69%
Sorry, Baby
69% predicting on Dec 7
73%
Sorry, Baby
73% predicting on Dec 6
62%
Sorry, Baby
62% predicting on Dec 5
62%
Sorry, Baby
62% predicting on Dec 4
62%
Sorry, Baby
62% predicting on Dec 3
63%
Sorry, Baby
63% predicting on Dec 2
63%
Sorry, Baby
63% predicting on Dec 1
63%
Sorry, Baby
63% predicting on Nov 30
64%
Sorry, Baby
64% predicting on Nov 29
63%
Sorry, Baby
63% predicting on Nov 28
64%
Sorry, Baby
64% predicting on Nov 27
63%
Sorry, Baby
63% predicting on Nov 26
38%
Train Dreams
38% predicting on Dec 25
37%
Train Dreams
37% predicting on Dec 24
37%
Train Dreams
37% predicting on Dec 23
37%
Train Dreams
37% predicting on Dec 22
36%
Train Dreams
36% predicting on Dec 21
36%
Train Dreams
36% predicting on Dec 20
36%
Train Dreams
36% predicting on Dec 19
36%
Train Dreams
36% predicting on Dec 18
36%
Train Dreams
36% predicting on Dec 17
35%
Train Dreams
35% predicting on Dec 16
35%
Train Dreams
35% predicting on Dec 15
36%
Train Dreams
36% predicting on Dec 14
35%
Train Dreams
35% predicting on Dec 13
34%
Train Dreams
34% predicting on Dec 12
34%
Train Dreams
34% predicting on Dec 11
33%
Train Dreams
33% predicting on Dec 10
33%
Train Dreams
33% predicting on Dec 9
32%
Train Dreams
32% predicting on Dec 8
30%
Train Dreams
30% predicting on Dec 7
27%
Train Dreams
27% predicting on Dec 6
18%
Train Dreams
18% predicting on Dec 5
17%
Train Dreams
17% predicting on Dec 4
16%
Train Dreams
16% predicting on Dec 3
15%
Train Dreams
15% predicting on Dec 2
15%
Train Dreams
15% predicting on Dec 1
14%
Train Dreams
14% predicting on Nov 30
14%
Train Dreams
14% predicting on Nov 29
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 28
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 27
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 26
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 25
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 24
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 23
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 22
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 21
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 20
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 19
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 18
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 17
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 16
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 15
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 14
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 13
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 12
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 11
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 10
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 9
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 8
1%
Twinless
1% predicting on Dec 7
0%
Twinless
0% predicting on Dec 6
0%
Twinless
0% predicting on Dec 5
0%
Twinless
0% predicting on Dec 4
0%
Twinless
0% predicting on Dec 3
0%
Twinless
0% predicting on Dec 2
0%
Twinless
0% predicting on Dec 1
0%
Twinless
0% predicting on Nov 30
0%
Twinless
0% predicting on Nov 29
0%
Twinless
0% predicting on Nov 28
0%
Twinless
0% predicting on Nov 27
0%
Twinless
0% predicting on Nov 26
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 25
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 24
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 23
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 22
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 21
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 20
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 19
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 18
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 17
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 16
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 15
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 14
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 13
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 12
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 11
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 10
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 9
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 8
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 7
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 6
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 5
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 4
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 3
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 2
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Dec 1
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Nov 30
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Nov 29
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Nov 28
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Nov 27
0%
The Plague
0% predicting on Nov 26
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 25
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 24
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 23
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 22
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 21
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 20
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 19
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 18
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 17
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 16
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 15
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 14
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 13
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 12
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 11
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 10
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 9
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 8
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 7
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 6
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 5
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 4
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 3
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 2
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Dec 1
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Nov 30
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Nov 29
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Nov 28
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Nov 27
0%
Peter Hujar's Day
0% predicting on Nov 26
61%38%1%0%0%