Award Expert

2026 DGA Predictions: Best Directing: First-Time Film

Aggregated predictions from 369 users

Updated: Nov 10, 6:33 PM
Sorry, Baby
1

Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor

WIN:91%
5%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
Urchin
2

Urchin

Harris Dickinson

WIN:4%
NOM:91%
6%
change over 30 days
Sound of Falling
3

Sound of Falling

Mascha Schilinski

WIN:2%
NOM:72%
6%
change over 30 days
The Chronology of Water
4

The Chronology of Water

Kristen Stewart

WIN:1%
NOM:54%
4%
change over 30 days
Anemone
5

Anemone

Ronan Day-Lewis

WIN:1%
7%
change over 30 days
NOM:48%
31%
change over 30 days
Pillion
6

Pillion

Harry Lighton

WIN:0%
NOM:46%
23%
change over 30 days
The President's Cake
7

The President's Cake

Hasan Hadi

WIN:0%
NOM:17%
1%
change over 30 days
Eleanor the Great
8

Eleanor the Great

Scarlett Johansson

WIN:0%
NOM:15%
11%
change over 30 days
My Father's Shadow
9

My Father's Shadow

Akinola Davies Jr.

WIN:0%
NOM:17%
6%
change over 30 days
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
10

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Mary Bronstein

WIN:0%
NOM:13%
13%
change over 30 days
Omaha
11

Omaha

Cole Webley

WIN:0%
NOM:4%
2%
change over 30 days
Together
12

Together

Michael Shanks

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
3%
change over 30 days
Warfare
13

Warfare

Ray Mendoza, Alex Garland

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
1%
change over 30 days
Preparation for the Next Life
14

Preparation for the Next Life

Bing Liu

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
1%
change over 30 days
Friendship
15

Friendship

Andrew DeYoung

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
1%
change over 30 days
One of Them Days
16

One of Them Days

Lawrence Lamont

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Left-Handed Girl
17

Left-Handed Girl

Shih-Ching Tsou

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Blue Heron
18

Blue Heron

Sophy Romvari

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
2%
change over 30 days
Tuner
19

Tuner

Daniel Roher

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
2%
change over 30 days
The Plague
20

The Plague

Charlie Polinger

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
The Assessment
21

The Assessment

Fleur Fortuné

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Good Boy
22

Good Boy

Ben Leonberg

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Hot Milk
23

Hot Milk

Rebecca Lenkiewicz

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Manas
24

Manas

Mariana Brennand Fortes

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Rosemead
25

Rosemead

Eric Lin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Sorry, Baby
Urchin
Sound of Falling
The Chronology of Water
Anemone
Pillion
The President's Cake
My Father's Shadow
Eleanor the Great
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 1099%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Nov 10
100%
Sorry, Baby
100% predicting on Nov 9
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Nov 8
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Nov 7
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Nov 6
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Nov 5
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Nov 4
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Nov 3
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Nov 2
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Nov 1
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 31
100%
Sorry, Baby
100% predicting on Oct 30
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 29
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 28
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 27
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 26
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 25
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 24
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 23
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 22
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 21
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 20
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 19
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 18
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 17
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 16
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 15
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 14
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 13
99%
Sorry, Baby
99% predicting on Oct 12
91%
Urchin
91% predicting on Nov 10
91%
Urchin
91% predicting on Nov 9
92%
Urchin
92% predicting on Nov 8
91%
Urchin
91% predicting on Nov 7
91%
Urchin
91% predicting on Nov 6
91%
Urchin
91% predicting on Nov 5
90%
Urchin
90% predicting on Nov 4
90%
Urchin
90% predicting on Nov 3
89%
Urchin
89% predicting on Nov 2
89%
Urchin
89% predicting on Nov 1
90%
Urchin
90% predicting on Oct 31
89%
Urchin
89% predicting on Oct 30
88%
Urchin
88% predicting on Oct 29
88%
Urchin
88% predicting on Oct 28
88%
Urchin
88% predicting on Oct 27
87%
Urchin
87% predicting on Oct 26
88%
Urchin
88% predicting on Oct 25
87%
Urchin
87% predicting on Oct 24
86%
Urchin
86% predicting on Oct 23
87%
Urchin
87% predicting on Oct 22
87%
Urchin
87% predicting on Oct 21
86%
Urchin
86% predicting on Oct 20
87%
Urchin
87% predicting on Oct 19
86%
Urchin
86% predicting on Oct 18
87%
Urchin
87% predicting on Oct 17
86%
Urchin
86% predicting on Oct 16
86%
Urchin
86% predicting on Oct 15
85%
Urchin
85% predicting on Oct 14
85%
Urchin
85% predicting on Oct 13
85%
Urchin
85% predicting on Oct 12
72%
Sound of Falling
72% predicting on Nov 10
72%
Sound of Falling
72% predicting on Nov 9
71%
Sound of Falling
71% predicting on Nov 8
72%
Sound of Falling
72% predicting on Nov 7
71%
Sound of Falling
71% predicting on Nov 6
71%
Sound of Falling
71% predicting on Nov 5
71%
Sound of Falling
71% predicting on Nov 4
71%
Sound of Falling
71% predicting on Nov 3
70%
Sound of Falling
70% predicting on Nov 2
69%
Sound of Falling
69% predicting on Nov 1
69%
Sound of Falling
69% predicting on Oct 31
69%
Sound of Falling
69% predicting on Oct 30
68%
Sound of Falling
68% predicting on Oct 29
69%
Sound of Falling
69% predicting on Oct 28
69%
Sound of Falling
69% predicting on Oct 27
68%
Sound of Falling
68% predicting on Oct 26
67%
Sound of Falling
67% predicting on Oct 25
67%
Sound of Falling
67% predicting on Oct 24
68%
Sound of Falling
68% predicting on Oct 23
69%
Sound of Falling
69% predicting on Oct 22
68%
Sound of Falling
68% predicting on Oct 21
68%
Sound of Falling
68% predicting on Oct 20
67%
Sound of Falling
67% predicting on Oct 19
67%
Sound of Falling
67% predicting on Oct 18
67%
Sound of Falling
67% predicting on Oct 17
66%
Sound of Falling
66% predicting on Oct 16
66%
Sound of Falling
66% predicting on Oct 15
66%
Sound of Falling
66% predicting on Oct 14
66%
Sound of Falling
66% predicting on Oct 13
66%
Sound of Falling
66% predicting on Oct 12
53%
The Chronology of Water
53% predicting on Nov 10
51%
The Chronology of Water
51% predicting on Nov 9
53%
The Chronology of Water
53% predicting on Nov 8
52%
The Chronology of Water
52% predicting on Nov 7
53%
The Chronology of Water
53% predicting on Nov 6
52%
The Chronology of Water
52% predicting on Nov 5
51%
The Chronology of Water
51% predicting on Nov 4
53%
The Chronology of Water
53% predicting on Nov 3
53%
The Chronology of Water
53% predicting on Nov 2
52%
The Chronology of Water
52% predicting on Nov 1
52%
The Chronology of Water
52% predicting on Oct 31
52%
The Chronology of Water
52% predicting on Oct 30
53%
The Chronology of Water
53% predicting on Oct 29
53%
The Chronology of Water
53% predicting on Oct 28
53%
The Chronology of Water
53% predicting on Oct 27
53%
The Chronology of Water
53% predicting on Oct 26
54%
The Chronology of Water
54% predicting on Oct 25
55%
The Chronology of Water
55% predicting on Oct 24
55%
The Chronology of Water
55% predicting on Oct 23
56%
The Chronology of Water
56% predicting on Oct 22
55%
The Chronology of Water
55% predicting on Oct 21
54%
The Chronology of Water
54% predicting on Oct 20
53%
The Chronology of Water
53% predicting on Oct 19
52%
The Chronology of Water
52% predicting on Oct 18
52%
The Chronology of Water
52% predicting on Oct 17
52%
The Chronology of Water
52% predicting on Oct 16
50%
The Chronology of Water
50% predicting on Oct 15
50%
The Chronology of Water
50% predicting on Oct 14
51%
The Chronology of Water
51% predicting on Oct 13
50%
The Chronology of Water
50% predicting on Oct 12
48%
Anemone
48% predicting on Nov 10
47%
Anemone
47% predicting on Nov 9
49%
Anemone
49% predicting on Nov 8
51%
Anemone
51% predicting on Nov 7
51%
Anemone
51% predicting on Nov 6
51%
Anemone
51% predicting on Nov 5
51%
Anemone
51% predicting on Nov 4
52%
Anemone
52% predicting on Nov 3
52%
Anemone
52% predicting on Nov 2
53%
Anemone
53% predicting on Nov 1
54%
Anemone
54% predicting on Oct 31
56%
Anemone
56% predicting on Oct 30
58%
Anemone
58% predicting on Oct 29
58%
Anemone
58% predicting on Oct 28
60%
Anemone
60% predicting on Oct 27
61%
Anemone
61% predicting on Oct 26
61%
Anemone
61% predicting on Oct 25
63%
Anemone
63% predicting on Oct 24
65%
Anemone
65% predicting on Oct 23
66%
Anemone
66% predicting on Oct 22
67%
Anemone
67% predicting on Oct 21
68%
Anemone
68% predicting on Oct 20
69%
Anemone
69% predicting on Oct 19
70%
Anemone
70% predicting on Oct 18
72%
Anemone
72% predicting on Oct 17
73%
Anemone
73% predicting on Oct 16
75%
Anemone
75% predicting on Oct 15
77%
Anemone
77% predicting on Oct 14
79%
Anemone
79% predicting on Oct 13
79%
Anemone
79% predicting on Oct 12
47%
Pillion
47% predicting on Nov 10
47%
Pillion
47% predicting on Nov 9
46%
Pillion
46% predicting on Nov 8
45%
Pillion
45% predicting on Nov 7
44%
Pillion
44% predicting on Nov 6
44%
Pillion
44% predicting on Nov 5
43%
Pillion
43% predicting on Nov 4
42%
Pillion
42% predicting on Nov 3
42%
Pillion
42% predicting on Nov 2
41%
Pillion
41% predicting on Nov 1
40%
Pillion
40% predicting on Oct 31
39%
Pillion
39% predicting on Oct 30
37%
Pillion
37% predicting on Oct 29
37%
Pillion
37% predicting on Oct 28
36%
Pillion
36% predicting on Oct 27
35%
Pillion
35% predicting on Oct 26
34%
Pillion
34% predicting on Oct 25
33%
Pillion
33% predicting on Oct 24
31%
Pillion
31% predicting on Oct 23
30%
Pillion
30% predicting on Oct 22
30%
Pillion
30% predicting on Oct 21
29%
Pillion
29% predicting on Oct 20
29%
Pillion
29% predicting on Oct 19
28%
Pillion
28% predicting on Oct 18
28%
Pillion
28% predicting on Oct 17
27%
Pillion
27% predicting on Oct 16
27%
Pillion
27% predicting on Oct 15
26%
Pillion
26% predicting on Oct 14
24%
Pillion
24% predicting on Oct 13
24%
Pillion
24% predicting on Oct 12
18%
The President's Cake
18% predicting on Nov 10
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Nov 9
18%
The President's Cake
18% predicting on Nov 8
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Nov 7
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Nov 6
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Nov 5
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Nov 4
20%
The President's Cake
20% predicting on Nov 3
20%
The President's Cake
20% predicting on Nov 2
20%
The President's Cake
20% predicting on Nov 1
21%
The President's Cake
21% predicting on Oct 31
21%
The President's Cake
21% predicting on Oct 30
22%
The President's Cake
22% predicting on Oct 29
21%
The President's Cake
21% predicting on Oct 28
21%
The President's Cake
21% predicting on Oct 27
21%
The President's Cake
21% predicting on Oct 26
21%
The President's Cake
21% predicting on Oct 25
21%
The President's Cake
21% predicting on Oct 24
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Oct 23
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Oct 22
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Oct 21
20%
The President's Cake
20% predicting on Oct 20
20%
The President's Cake
20% predicting on Oct 19
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Oct 18
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Oct 17
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Oct 16
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Oct 15
19%
The President's Cake
19% predicting on Oct 14
18%
The President's Cake
18% predicting on Oct 13
18%
The President's Cake
18% predicting on Oct 12
17%
My Father's Shadow
17% predicting on Nov 10
18%
My Father's Shadow
18% predicting on Nov 9
17%
My Father's Shadow
17% predicting on Nov 8
17%
My Father's Shadow
17% predicting on Nov 7
17%
My Father's Shadow
17% predicting on Nov 6
17%
My Father's Shadow
17% predicting on Nov 5
16%
My Father's Shadow
16% predicting on Nov 4
16%
My Father's Shadow
16% predicting on Nov 3
16%
My Father's Shadow
16% predicting on Nov 2
15%
My Father's Shadow
15% predicting on Nov 1
15%
My Father's Shadow
15% predicting on Oct 31
15%
My Father's Shadow
15% predicting on Oct 30
15%
My Father's Shadow
15% predicting on Oct 29
15%
My Father's Shadow
15% predicting on Oct 28
15%
My Father's Shadow
15% predicting on Oct 27
15%
My Father's Shadow
15% predicting on Oct 26
15%
My Father's Shadow
15% predicting on Oct 25
15%
My Father's Shadow
15% predicting on Oct 24
14%
My Father's Shadow
14% predicting on Oct 23
13%
My Father's Shadow
13% predicting on Oct 22
13%
My Father's Shadow
13% predicting on Oct 21
12%
My Father's Shadow
12% predicting on Oct 20
12%
My Father's Shadow
12% predicting on Oct 19
11%
My Father's Shadow
11% predicting on Oct 18
11%
My Father's Shadow
11% predicting on Oct 17
11%
My Father's Shadow
11% predicting on Oct 16
11%
My Father's Shadow
11% predicting on Oct 15
11%
My Father's Shadow
11% predicting on Oct 14
11%
My Father's Shadow
11% predicting on Oct 13
11%
My Father's Shadow
11% predicting on Oct 12
14%
Eleanor the Great
14% predicting on Nov 10
16%
Eleanor the Great
16% predicting on Nov 9
16%
Eleanor the Great
16% predicting on Nov 8
16%
Eleanor the Great
16% predicting on Nov 7
16%
Eleanor the Great
16% predicting on Nov 6
17%
Eleanor the Great
17% predicting on Nov 5
18%
Eleanor the Great
18% predicting on Nov 4
18%
Eleanor the Great
18% predicting on Nov 3
20%
Eleanor the Great
20% predicting on Nov 2
19%
Eleanor the Great
19% predicting on Nov 1
20%
Eleanor the Great
20% predicting on Oct 31
20%
Eleanor the Great
20% predicting on Oct 30
21%
Eleanor the Great
21% predicting on Oct 29
21%
Eleanor the Great
21% predicting on Oct 28
22%
Eleanor the Great
22% predicting on Oct 27
22%
Eleanor the Great
22% predicting on Oct 26
22%
Eleanor the Great
22% predicting on Oct 25
22%
Eleanor the Great
22% predicting on Oct 24
23%
Eleanor the Great
23% predicting on Oct 23
24%
Eleanor the Great
24% predicting on Oct 22
24%
Eleanor the Great
24% predicting on Oct 21
23%
Eleanor the Great
23% predicting on Oct 20
23%
Eleanor the Great
23% predicting on Oct 19
24%
Eleanor the Great
24% predicting on Oct 18
24%
Eleanor the Great
24% predicting on Oct 17
24%
Eleanor the Great
24% predicting on Oct 16
24%
Eleanor the Great
24% predicting on Oct 15
24%
Eleanor the Great
24% predicting on Oct 14
25%
Eleanor the Great
25% predicting on Oct 13
26%
Eleanor the Great
26% predicting on Oct 12
13%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
13% predicting on Nov 10
12%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
12% predicting on Nov 9
10%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
10% predicting on Nov 8
9%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
9% predicting on Nov 7
9%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
9% predicting on Nov 6
9%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
9% predicting on Nov 5
8%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
8% predicting on Nov 4
7%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
7% predicting on Nov 3
7%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
7% predicting on Nov 2
7%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
7% predicting on Nov 1
6%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
6% predicting on Oct 31
5%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
5% predicting on Oct 30
4%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
4% predicting on Oct 29
4%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
4% predicting on Oct 28
4%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
4% predicting on Oct 27
3%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
3% predicting on Oct 26
3%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
3% predicting on Oct 25
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Oct 24
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Oct 23
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Oct 22
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Oct 21
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Oct 20
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Oct 19
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 18
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 17
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 16
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 15
0%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
0% predicting on Oct 14
0%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
0% predicting on Oct 13
0%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
0% predicting on Oct 12
99%91%72%53%48%47%18%17%14%13%