Award Expert

2026 Golden Globes Predictions: Best Picture - Drama

Aggregated predictions from 1,529 users

Updated: Nov 10, 6:33 PM
Hamnet
1

Hamnet

Focus Features

WIN:75%
13%
change over 30 days
NOM:98%
Sinners
2

Sinners

Warner Bros.

WIN:19%
9%
change over 30 days
NOM:98%
Sentimental Value
3

Sentimental Value

Neon

WIN:3%
3%
change over 30 days
NOM:96%
It Was Just an Accident
4

It Was Just an Accident

Neon

WIN:0%
NOM:89%
11%
change over 30 days
Frankenstein
5

Frankenstein

Netflix

WIN:1%
NOM:80%
48%
change over 30 days
Avatar: Fire and Ash
6

Avatar: Fire and Ash

20th Century Studios

WIN:1%
NOM:47%
14%
change over 30 days
The Secret Agent
7

The Secret Agent

Neon

WIN:1%
NOM:28%
21%
change over 30 days
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
8

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

20th Century Studios

WIN:0%
NOM:19%
48%
change over 30 days
A House of Dynamite
9

A House of Dynamite

Netflix

WIN:0%
NOM:14%
33%
change over 30 days
Train Dreams
10

Train Dreams

Netflix

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
5%
change over 30 days
No Other Choice
11

No Other Choice

Neon

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
6%
change over 30 days
The Smashing Machine
12

The Smashing Machine

A24

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
6%
change over 30 days
Is This Thing On?
13

Is This Thing On?

Searchlight

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
One Battle After Another
14

One Battle After Another

Warner Bros.

WIN:0%
2%
change over 30 days
NOM:1%
5%
change over 30 days
After the Hunt
15

After the Hunt

Amazon MGM Studios

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Weapons
16

Weapons

Warner Bros.

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Marty Supreme
17

Marty Supreme

A24

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
2%
change over 30 days
F1
18

F1

Warner Bros.

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Die My Love
19

Die My Love

Mubi

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Nuremberg
20

Nuremberg

Sony Pictures Classics

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
21

The Voice of Hind Rajab

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Bugonia
22

Bugonia

Focus Features

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Ballad of a Small Player
23

Ballad of a Small Player

Netflix

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Life of Chuck
24

The Life of Chuck

Neon

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Superman
25

Superman

Warner Bros.

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Sorry, Baby
26

Sorry, Baby

A24

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Sound of Falling
27

Sound of Falling

Mubi

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Blue Moon
28

Blue Moon

Sony Pictures Classics

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Sirāt
29

Sirāt

Neon

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Warfare
30

Warfare

A24

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Hamnet
Sinners
Sentimental Value
It Was Just an Accident
Frankenstein
Avatar: Fire and Ash
The Secret Agent
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
A House of Dynamite
Train Dreams
No Other Choice
The Smashing Machine
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 1098%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Nov 10
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 9
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 8
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 7
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 6
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 5
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 4
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 3
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 2
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 1
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 31
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 30
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 29
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 28
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 27
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 26
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 25
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 24
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 23
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 22
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 21
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 20
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 19
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 18
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 17
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 16
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 15
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 14
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 13
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 12
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 10
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 9
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 8
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 7
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 6
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 5
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 4
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 3
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 2
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 1
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 31
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 30
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 29
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 28
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 27
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 26
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 25
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 24
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 23
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 22
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 21
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 20
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 19
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 18
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 17
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 16
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 15
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 14
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 13
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 12
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 10
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 9
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Nov 8
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Nov 7
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Nov 6
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Nov 5
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Nov 4
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Nov 3
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Nov 2
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Nov 1
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Oct 31
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Oct 30
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Oct 29
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 28
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 27
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 26
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 25
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Oct 24
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 23
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 22
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 21
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 20
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 19
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 18
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 17
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 16
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 15
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 14
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 13
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 12
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Nov 10
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Nov 9
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Nov 8
88%
It Was Just an Accident
88% predicting on Nov 7
88%
It Was Just an Accident
88% predicting on Nov 6
88%
It Was Just an Accident
88% predicting on Nov 5
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Nov 4
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Nov 3
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Nov 2
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Nov 1
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Oct 31
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Oct 30
86%
It Was Just an Accident
86% predicting on Oct 29
86%
It Was Just an Accident
86% predicting on Oct 28
86%
It Was Just an Accident
86% predicting on Oct 27
86%
It Was Just an Accident
86% predicting on Oct 26
85%
It Was Just an Accident
85% predicting on Oct 25
84%
It Was Just an Accident
84% predicting on Oct 24
84%
It Was Just an Accident
84% predicting on Oct 23
84%
It Was Just an Accident
84% predicting on Oct 22
83%
It Was Just an Accident
83% predicting on Oct 21
83%
It Was Just an Accident
83% predicting on Oct 20
82%
It Was Just an Accident
82% predicting on Oct 19
81%
It Was Just an Accident
81% predicting on Oct 18
81%
It Was Just an Accident
81% predicting on Oct 17
80%
It Was Just an Accident
80% predicting on Oct 16
79%
It Was Just an Accident
79% predicting on Oct 15
79%
It Was Just an Accident
79% predicting on Oct 14
78%
It Was Just an Accident
78% predicting on Oct 13
78%
It Was Just an Accident
78% predicting on Oct 12
79%
Frankenstein
79% predicting on Nov 10
78%
Frankenstein
78% predicting on Nov 9
75%
Frankenstein
75% predicting on Nov 8
75%
Frankenstein
75% predicting on Nov 7
73%
Frankenstein
73% predicting on Nov 6
72%
Frankenstein
72% predicting on Nov 5
71%
Frankenstein
71% predicting on Nov 4
69%
Frankenstein
69% predicting on Nov 3
68%
Frankenstein
68% predicting on Nov 2
66%
Frankenstein
66% predicting on Nov 1
64%
Frankenstein
64% predicting on Oct 31
63%
Frankenstein
63% predicting on Oct 30
61%
Frankenstein
61% predicting on Oct 29
59%
Frankenstein
59% predicting on Oct 28
57%
Frankenstein
57% predicting on Oct 27
54%
Frankenstein
54% predicting on Oct 26
50%
Frankenstein
50% predicting on Oct 25
48%
Frankenstein
48% predicting on Oct 24
44%
Frankenstein
44% predicting on Oct 23
41%
Frankenstein
41% predicting on Oct 22
39%
Frankenstein
39% predicting on Oct 21
38%
Frankenstein
38% predicting on Oct 20
37%
Frankenstein
37% predicting on Oct 19
36%
Frankenstein
36% predicting on Oct 18
35%
Frankenstein
35% predicting on Oct 17
34%
Frankenstein
34% predicting on Oct 16
34%
Frankenstein
34% predicting on Oct 15
33%
Frankenstein
33% predicting on Oct 14
33%
Frankenstein
33% predicting on Oct 13
32%
Frankenstein
32% predicting on Oct 12
47%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
47% predicting on Nov 10
47%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
47% predicting on Nov 9
47%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
47% predicting on Nov 8
47%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
47% predicting on Nov 7
46%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
46% predicting on Nov 6
46%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
46% predicting on Nov 5
46%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
46% predicting on Nov 4
45%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
45% predicting on Nov 3
45%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
45% predicting on Nov 2
44%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
44% predicting on Nov 1
43%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
43% predicting on Oct 31
42%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
42% predicting on Oct 30
41%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
41% predicting on Oct 29
40%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
40% predicting on Oct 28
40%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
40% predicting on Oct 27
38%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
38% predicting on Oct 26
37%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
37% predicting on Oct 25
37%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
37% predicting on Oct 24
36%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
36% predicting on Oct 23
36%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
36% predicting on Oct 22
35%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
35% predicting on Oct 21
35%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
35% predicting on Oct 20
35%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
35% predicting on Oct 19
35%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
35% predicting on Oct 18
34%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
34% predicting on Oct 17
33%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
33% predicting on Oct 16
33%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
33% predicting on Oct 15
33%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
33% predicting on Oct 14
33%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
33% predicting on Oct 13
33%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
33% predicting on Oct 12
27%
The Secret Agent
27% predicting on Nov 10
26%
The Secret Agent
26% predicting on Nov 9
25%
The Secret Agent
25% predicting on Nov 8
24%
The Secret Agent
24% predicting on Nov 7
24%
The Secret Agent
24% predicting on Nov 6
23%
The Secret Agent
23% predicting on Nov 5
22%
The Secret Agent
22% predicting on Nov 4
22%
The Secret Agent
22% predicting on Nov 3
22%
The Secret Agent
22% predicting on Nov 2
21%
The Secret Agent
21% predicting on Nov 1
20%
The Secret Agent
20% predicting on Oct 31
20%
The Secret Agent
20% predicting on Oct 30
18%
The Secret Agent
18% predicting on Oct 29
17%
The Secret Agent
17% predicting on Oct 28
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Oct 27
15%
The Secret Agent
15% predicting on Oct 26
14%
The Secret Agent
14% predicting on Oct 25
13%
The Secret Agent
13% predicting on Oct 24
13%
The Secret Agent
13% predicting on Oct 23
11%
The Secret Agent
11% predicting on Oct 22
11%
The Secret Agent
11% predicting on Oct 21
11%
The Secret Agent
11% predicting on Oct 20
10%
The Secret Agent
10% predicting on Oct 19
10%
The Secret Agent
10% predicting on Oct 18
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Oct 17
8%
The Secret Agent
8% predicting on Oct 16
8%
The Secret Agent
8% predicting on Oct 15
7%
The Secret Agent
7% predicting on Oct 14
7%
The Secret Agent
7% predicting on Oct 13
7%
The Secret Agent
7% predicting on Oct 12
20%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
20% predicting on Nov 10
22%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
22% predicting on Nov 9
24%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
24% predicting on Nov 8
26%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
26% predicting on Nov 7
27%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
27% predicting on Nov 6
28%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
28% predicting on Nov 5
29%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
29% predicting on Nov 4
31%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
31% predicting on Nov 3
32%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
32% predicting on Nov 2
33%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
33% predicting on Nov 1
36%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
36% predicting on Oct 31
38%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
38% predicting on Oct 30
39%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
39% predicting on Oct 29
41%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
41% predicting on Oct 28
43%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
43% predicting on Oct 27
45%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
45% predicting on Oct 26
48%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
48% predicting on Oct 25
50%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
50% predicting on Oct 24
52%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
52% predicting on Oct 23
55%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
55% predicting on Oct 22
57%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
57% predicting on Oct 21
58%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
58% predicting on Oct 20
59%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
59% predicting on Oct 19
60%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
60% predicting on Oct 18
62%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
62% predicting on Oct 17
64%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
64% predicting on Oct 16
66%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
66% predicting on Oct 15
66%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
66% predicting on Oct 14
66%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
66% predicting on Oct 13
67%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
67% predicting on Oct 12
15%
A House of Dynamite
15% predicting on Nov 10
16%
A House of Dynamite
16% predicting on Nov 9
18%
A House of Dynamite
18% predicting on Nov 8
19%
A House of Dynamite
19% predicting on Nov 7
20%
A House of Dynamite
20% predicting on Nov 6
21%
A House of Dynamite
21% predicting on Nov 5
22%
A House of Dynamite
22% predicting on Nov 4
22%
A House of Dynamite
22% predicting on Nov 3
23%
A House of Dynamite
23% predicting on Nov 2
25%
A House of Dynamite
25% predicting on Nov 1
28%
A House of Dynamite
28% predicting on Oct 31
29%
A House of Dynamite
29% predicting on Oct 30
31%
A House of Dynamite
31% predicting on Oct 29
33%
A House of Dynamite
33% predicting on Oct 28
35%
A House of Dynamite
35% predicting on Oct 27
37%
A House of Dynamite
37% predicting on Oct 26
40%
A House of Dynamite
40% predicting on Oct 25
42%
A House of Dynamite
42% predicting on Oct 24
44%
A House of Dynamite
44% predicting on Oct 23
45%
A House of Dynamite
45% predicting on Oct 22
46%
A House of Dynamite
46% predicting on Oct 21
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 20
46%
A House of Dynamite
46% predicting on Oct 19
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 18
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 17
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 16
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 15
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 14
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 13
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 12
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Nov 10
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Nov 9
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Nov 8
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Nov 7
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Nov 6
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Nov 5
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Nov 4
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Nov 3
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Nov 2
3%
Train Dreams
3% predicting on Nov 1
3%
Train Dreams
3% predicting on Oct 31
3%
Train Dreams
3% predicting on Oct 30
3%
Train Dreams
3% predicting on Oct 29
2%
Train Dreams
2% predicting on Oct 28
2%
Train Dreams
2% predicting on Oct 27
2%
Train Dreams
2% predicting on Oct 26
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 25
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 24
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 23
2%
Train Dreams
2% predicting on Oct 22
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 21
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 20
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 19
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 18
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 17
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 16
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 15
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 14
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 13
1%
Train Dreams
1% predicting on Oct 12
3%
No Other Choice
3% predicting on Nov 10
4%
No Other Choice
4% predicting on Nov 9
4%
No Other Choice
4% predicting on Nov 8
4%
No Other Choice
4% predicting on Nov 7
4%
No Other Choice
4% predicting on Nov 6
4%
No Other Choice
4% predicting on Nov 5
4%
No Other Choice
4% predicting on Nov 4
5%
No Other Choice
5% predicting on Nov 3
5%
No Other Choice
5% predicting on Nov 2
5%
No Other Choice
5% predicting on Nov 1
5%
No Other Choice
5% predicting on Oct 31
5%
No Other Choice
5% predicting on Oct 30
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Oct 29
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Oct 28
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Oct 27
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Oct 26
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Oct 25
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Oct 24
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 23
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 22
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 21
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 20
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 19
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 18
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 17
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 16
9%
No Other Choice
9% predicting on Oct 15
9%
No Other Choice
9% predicting on Oct 14
9%
No Other Choice
9% predicting on Oct 13
9%
No Other Choice
9% predicting on Oct 12
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Nov 10
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Nov 9
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Nov 8
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Nov 7
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Nov 6
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Nov 5
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Nov 4
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Nov 3
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Nov 2
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Nov 1
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 31
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 30
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 29
3%
The Smashing Machine
3% predicting on Oct 28
3%
The Smashing Machine
3% predicting on Oct 27
3%
The Smashing Machine
3% predicting on Oct 26
3%
The Smashing Machine
3% predicting on Oct 25
3%
The Smashing Machine
3% predicting on Oct 24
4%
The Smashing Machine
4% predicting on Oct 23
4%
The Smashing Machine
4% predicting on Oct 22
4%
The Smashing Machine
4% predicting on Oct 21
5%
The Smashing Machine
5% predicting on Oct 20
5%
The Smashing Machine
5% predicting on Oct 19
5%
The Smashing Machine
5% predicting on Oct 18
5%
The Smashing Machine
5% predicting on Oct 17
5%
The Smashing Machine
5% predicting on Oct 16
6%
The Smashing Machine
6% predicting on Oct 15
6%
The Smashing Machine
6% predicting on Oct 14
6%
The Smashing Machine
6% predicting on Oct 13
7%
The Smashing Machine
7% predicting on Oct 12
98%98%96%89%79%47%27%20%15%5%3%1%