Award Expert

2026 Critics Choice Awards Predictions: Best Leading Actor

Aggregated predictions from 2,710 users

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Updated: Dec 26, 10:31 AM
Timothée Chalamet
1

Timothée Chalamet

Marty Supreme

WIN:79%
7%
change over 30 days
Leonardo DiCaprio
2

Leonardo DiCaprio

One Battle After Another

WIN:14%
5%
change over 30 days
Michael B. Jordan
3

Michael B. Jordan

Sinners

WIN:2%
Ethan Hawke
4

Ethan Hawke

Blue Moon

WIN:2%
Wagner Moura
5

Wagner Moura

The Secret Agent

WIN:2%
1%
change over 30 days
Joel Edgerton
6

Joel Edgerton

Train Dreams

WIN:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 13Dec 16Dec 19Dec 22Dec 2679%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
79% predicting on Dec 26
79%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
79% predicting on Dec 25
79%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
79% predicting on Dec 24
80%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
80% predicting on Dec 23
80%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
80% predicting on Dec 22
80%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
80% predicting on Dec 21
81%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
81% predicting on Dec 20
81%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
81% predicting on Dec 19
81%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
81% predicting on Dec 18
81%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
81% predicting on Dec 17
81%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
81% predicting on Dec 16
82%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
82% predicting on Dec 15
82%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
82% predicting on Dec 14
82%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
82% predicting on Dec 13
82%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
82% predicting on Dec 12
83%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
83% predicting on Dec 11
83%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
83% predicting on Dec 10
84%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
84% predicting on Dec 9
84%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
84% predicting on Dec 8
85%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
85% predicting on Dec 7
86%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
86% predicting on Dec 6
86%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
86% predicting on Dec 5
87%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
87% predicting on Dec 4
88%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
88% predicting on Dec 3
88%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
88% predicting on Dec 2
88%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
88% predicting on Dec 1
87%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
87% predicting on Nov 30
87%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
87% predicting on Nov 29
87%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
87% predicting on Nov 28
86%
Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme)
86% predicting on Nov 27
14%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
14% predicting on Dec 26
14%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
14% predicting on Dec 25
14%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
14% predicting on Dec 24
14%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
14% predicting on Dec 23
14%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
14% predicting on Dec 22
14%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
14% predicting on Dec 21
13%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
13% predicting on Dec 20
14%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
14% predicting on Dec 19
13%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
13% predicting on Dec 18
13%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
13% predicting on Dec 17
13%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
13% predicting on Dec 16
13%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
13% predicting on Dec 15
13%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
13% predicting on Dec 14
13%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
13% predicting on Dec 13
13%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
13% predicting on Dec 12
13%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
13% predicting on Dec 11
13%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
13% predicting on Dec 10
12%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
12% predicting on Dec 9
12%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
12% predicting on Dec 8
12%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
12% predicting on Dec 7
11%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
11% predicting on Dec 6
10%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
10% predicting on Dec 5
9%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
9% predicting on Dec 4
8%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
8% predicting on Dec 3
8%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
8% predicting on Dec 2
8%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
8% predicting on Dec 1
8%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
8% predicting on Nov 30
8%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
8% predicting on Nov 29
8%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
8% predicting on Nov 28
9%
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
9% predicting on Nov 27
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 26
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 25
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 24
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 23
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 22
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 21
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 20
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 19
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 18
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 17
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 16
1%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
1% predicting on Dec 15
1%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
1% predicting on Dec 14
1%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
1% predicting on Dec 13
1%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
1% predicting on Dec 12
1%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
1% predicting on Dec 11
1%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
1% predicting on Dec 10
1%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
1% predicting on Dec 9
1%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
1% predicting on Dec 8
1%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
1% predicting on Dec 7
1%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
1% predicting on Dec 6
1%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
1% predicting on Dec 5
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 4
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 3
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 2
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Dec 1
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Nov 30
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Nov 29
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Nov 28
2%
Michael B. Jordan (Sinners)
2% predicting on Nov 27
2%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
2% predicting on Dec 26
2%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
2% predicting on Dec 25
2%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
2% predicting on Dec 24
2%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
2% predicting on Dec 23
2%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
2% predicting on Dec 22
2%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
2% predicting on Dec 21
2%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
2% predicting on Dec 20
2%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
2% predicting on Dec 19
2%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
2% predicting on Dec 18
2%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
2% predicting on Dec 17
2%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
2% predicting on Dec 16
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 15
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 14
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 13
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 12
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 11
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 10
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 9
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 8
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 7
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 6
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 5
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 4
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 3
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 2
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Dec 1
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Nov 30
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Nov 29
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Nov 28
1%
Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)
1% predicting on Nov 27
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 26
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 25
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 24
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 23
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 22
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 21
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 20
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 19
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 18
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 17
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 16
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 15
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 14
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 13
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 12
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 11
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 10
2%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
2% predicting on Dec 9
1%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
1% predicting on Dec 8
1%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
1% predicting on Dec 7
1%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
1% predicting on Dec 6
1%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
1% predicting on Dec 5
1%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
1% predicting on Dec 4
1%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
1% predicting on Dec 3
1%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
1% predicting on Dec 2
1%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
1% predicting on Dec 1
1%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
1% predicting on Nov 30
1%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
1% predicting on Nov 29
1%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
1% predicting on Nov 28
1%
Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent)
1% predicting on Nov 27
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 26
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 25
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 24
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 23
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 22
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 21
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 20
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 19
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 18
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 17
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 16
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 15
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 14
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 13
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 12
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 11
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 10
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 9
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 8
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 7
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 6
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 5
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 4
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 3
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 2
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Dec 1
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Nov 30
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Nov 29
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Nov 28
0%
Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams)
0% predicting on Nov 27
79%14%2%2%2%0%