Award Expert

2026 Critics Choice Awards Predictions: Best Original Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 523 users

Updated: Nov 10, 6:33 PM
Sinners
1

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

WIN:89%
3%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
Sentimental Value
2

Sentimental Value

Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier

WIN:6%
4%
change over 30 days
NOM:98%
Marty Supreme
3

Marty Supreme

Josh Safdie, Ronald Bronstein

WIN:3%
NOM:96%
Weapons
4

Weapons

Zach Cregger

WIN:1%
NOM:77%
21%
change over 30 days
Jay Kelly
5

Jay Kelly

Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach

WIN:0%
NOM:73%
7%
change over 30 days
It Was Just an Accident
6

It Was Just an Accident

Jafar Panahi

WIN:1%
NOM:67%
20%
change over 30 days
A House of Dynamite
7

A House of Dynamite

Noah Oppenheim

WIN:0%
NOM:35%
38%
change over 30 days
Sorry, Baby
8

Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor

WIN:0%
NOM:15%
4%
change over 30 days
Is This Thing On?
9

Is This Thing On?

Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:12%
2%
change over 30 days
The Testament of Ann Lee
10

The Testament of Ann Lee

Mona Fastvold, Brady Corbet

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
Blue Moon
11

Blue Moon

Robert Kaplow

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
3%
change over 30 days
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
12

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Mary Bronstein

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
2%
change over 30 days
Rental Family
13

Rental Family

HIKARI, Stephen Blahut

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
19%
change over 30 days
The Secret Agent
14

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
1%
change over 30 days
After the Hunt
15

After the Hunt

Nora Garrett

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Materialists
16

Materialists

Celine Song

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Splitsville
17

Splitsville

Michael Angelo Covino, Kyle Marvin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Smashing Machine
18

The Smashing Machine

Benny Safdie

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Black Bag
19

Black Bag

David Koepp

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
F1
20

F1

Ehren Kruger

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Omaha
21

Omaha

Robert Machoian

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Eddington
22

Eddington

Ari Aster

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Twinless
23

Twinless

James Sweeney

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
24

The Voice of Hind Rajab

Kaouther Ben Hania

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Phoenician Scheme
25

The Phoenician Scheme

Wes Anderson

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Rivals of Amziah King
26

The Rivals of Amziah King

Andrew Patterson

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
27

Father Mother Sister Brother

Jim Jarmusch

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Ella McCay
28

Ella McCay

James L. Brooks

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Warfare
29

Warfare

Alex Garland, Ray Mendoza

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Sirāt
30

Sirāt

Oliver Laxe, Santiago Fillol

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Sinners
Sentimental Value
Marty Supreme
Weapons
Jay Kelly
It Was Just an Accident
A House of Dynamite
Sorry, Baby
Is This Thing On?
The Testament of Ann Lee
Blue Moon
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 1099%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 10
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Nov 9
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Nov 8
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Nov 7
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Nov 6
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Nov 5
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Nov 4
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Nov 3
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Nov 2
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Nov 1
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Oct 31
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Oct 30
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 29
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 28
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 27
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 26
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 25
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 24
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 23
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 22
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 21
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 20
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 19
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 18
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 17
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 16
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 15
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 14
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 13
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 12
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 10
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 9
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 8
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 7
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 6
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 5
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 4
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 3
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 2
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 1
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 31
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 30
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 29
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 28
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 27
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 26
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 25
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Oct 24
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 23
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 22
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 21
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 20
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 19
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 18
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 17
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 16
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 15
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 14
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 13
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Oct 12
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Nov 10
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Nov 9
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Nov 8
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Nov 7
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Nov 6
98%
Marty Supreme
98% predicting on Nov 5
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Nov 4
98%
Marty Supreme
98% predicting on Nov 3
98%
Marty Supreme
98% predicting on Nov 2
98%
Marty Supreme
98% predicting on Nov 1
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 31
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 30
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 29
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 28
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 27
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 26
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 25
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 24
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 23
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 22
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 21
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 20
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 19
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 18
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 17
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 16
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 15
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 14
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 13
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Oct 12
77%
Weapons
77% predicting on Nov 10
77%
Weapons
77% predicting on Nov 9
77%
Weapons
77% predicting on Nov 8
76%
Weapons
76% predicting on Nov 7
76%
Weapons
76% predicting on Nov 6
76%
Weapons
76% predicting on Nov 5
75%
Weapons
75% predicting on Nov 4
75%
Weapons
75% predicting on Nov 3
74%
Weapons
74% predicting on Nov 2
74%
Weapons
74% predicting on Nov 1
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Oct 31
72%
Weapons
72% predicting on Oct 30
71%
Weapons
71% predicting on Oct 29
70%
Weapons
70% predicting on Oct 28
68%
Weapons
68% predicting on Oct 27
68%
Weapons
68% predicting on Oct 26
66%
Weapons
66% predicting on Oct 25
66%
Weapons
66% predicting on Oct 24
66%
Weapons
66% predicting on Oct 23
64%
Weapons
64% predicting on Oct 22
63%
Weapons
63% predicting on Oct 21
63%
Weapons
63% predicting on Oct 20
63%
Weapons
63% predicting on Oct 19
62%
Weapons
62% predicting on Oct 18
61%
Weapons
61% predicting on Oct 17
61%
Weapons
61% predicting on Oct 16
59%
Weapons
59% predicting on Oct 15
58%
Weapons
58% predicting on Oct 14
57%
Weapons
57% predicting on Oct 13
56%
Weapons
56% predicting on Oct 12
72%
Jay Kelly
72% predicting on Nov 10
72%
Jay Kelly
72% predicting on Nov 9
72%
Jay Kelly
72% predicting on Nov 8
72%
Jay Kelly
72% predicting on Nov 7
72%
Jay Kelly
72% predicting on Nov 6
72%
Jay Kelly
72% predicting on Nov 5
71%
Jay Kelly
71% predicting on Nov 4
70%
Jay Kelly
70% predicting on Nov 3
70%
Jay Kelly
70% predicting on Nov 2
70%
Jay Kelly
70% predicting on Nov 1
70%
Jay Kelly
70% predicting on Oct 31
70%
Jay Kelly
70% predicting on Oct 30
71%
Jay Kelly
71% predicting on Oct 29
70%
Jay Kelly
70% predicting on Oct 28
69%
Jay Kelly
69% predicting on Oct 27
69%
Jay Kelly
69% predicting on Oct 26
66%
Jay Kelly
66% predicting on Oct 25
64%
Jay Kelly
64% predicting on Oct 24
65%
Jay Kelly
65% predicting on Oct 23
66%
Jay Kelly
66% predicting on Oct 22
65%
Jay Kelly
65% predicting on Oct 21
65%
Jay Kelly
65% predicting on Oct 20
65%
Jay Kelly
65% predicting on Oct 19
65%
Jay Kelly
65% predicting on Oct 18
66%
Jay Kelly
66% predicting on Oct 17
66%
Jay Kelly
66% predicting on Oct 16
66%
Jay Kelly
66% predicting on Oct 15
65%
Jay Kelly
65% predicting on Oct 14
65%
Jay Kelly
65% predicting on Oct 13
66%
Jay Kelly
66% predicting on Oct 12
66%
It Was Just an Accident
66% predicting on Nov 10
66%
It Was Just an Accident
66% predicting on Nov 9
66%
It Was Just an Accident
66% predicting on Nov 8
65%
It Was Just an Accident
65% predicting on Nov 7
65%
It Was Just an Accident
65% predicting on Nov 6
64%
It Was Just an Accident
64% predicting on Nov 5
63%
It Was Just an Accident
63% predicting on Nov 4
62%
It Was Just an Accident
62% predicting on Nov 3
61%
It Was Just an Accident
61% predicting on Nov 2
60%
It Was Just an Accident
60% predicting on Nov 1
58%
It Was Just an Accident
58% predicting on Oct 31
57%
It Was Just an Accident
57% predicting on Oct 30
57%
It Was Just an Accident
57% predicting on Oct 29
55%
It Was Just an Accident
55% predicting on Oct 28
54%
It Was Just an Accident
54% predicting on Oct 27
53%
It Was Just an Accident
53% predicting on Oct 26
53%
It Was Just an Accident
53% predicting on Oct 25
51%
It Was Just an Accident
51% predicting on Oct 24
50%
It Was Just an Accident
50% predicting on Oct 23
49%
It Was Just an Accident
49% predicting on Oct 22
49%
It Was Just an Accident
49% predicting on Oct 21
48%
It Was Just an Accident
48% predicting on Oct 20
47%
It Was Just an Accident
47% predicting on Oct 19
47%
It Was Just an Accident
47% predicting on Oct 18
46%
It Was Just an Accident
46% predicting on Oct 17
45%
It Was Just an Accident
45% predicting on Oct 16
46%
It Was Just an Accident
46% predicting on Oct 15
46%
It Was Just an Accident
46% predicting on Oct 14
46%
It Was Just an Accident
46% predicting on Oct 13
47%
It Was Just an Accident
47% predicting on Oct 12
38%
A House of Dynamite
38% predicting on Nov 10
39%
A House of Dynamite
39% predicting on Nov 9
40%
A House of Dynamite
40% predicting on Nov 8
43%
A House of Dynamite
43% predicting on Nov 7
45%
A House of Dynamite
45% predicting on Nov 6
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Nov 5
49%
A House of Dynamite
49% predicting on Nov 4
51%
A House of Dynamite
51% predicting on Nov 3
53%
A House of Dynamite
53% predicting on Nov 2
55%
A House of Dynamite
55% predicting on Nov 1
58%
A House of Dynamite
58% predicting on Oct 31
60%
A House of Dynamite
60% predicting on Oct 30
61%
A House of Dynamite
61% predicting on Oct 29
63%
A House of Dynamite
63% predicting on Oct 28
65%
A House of Dynamite
65% predicting on Oct 27
67%
A House of Dynamite
67% predicting on Oct 26
70%
A House of Dynamite
70% predicting on Oct 25
72%
A House of Dynamite
72% predicting on Oct 24
73%
A House of Dynamite
73% predicting on Oct 23
72%
A House of Dynamite
72% predicting on Oct 22
74%
A House of Dynamite
74% predicting on Oct 21
74%
A House of Dynamite
74% predicting on Oct 20
75%
A House of Dynamite
75% predicting on Oct 19
75%
A House of Dynamite
75% predicting on Oct 18
75%
A House of Dynamite
75% predicting on Oct 17
75%
A House of Dynamite
75% predicting on Oct 16
74%
A House of Dynamite
74% predicting on Oct 15
73%
A House of Dynamite
73% predicting on Oct 14
73%
A House of Dynamite
73% predicting on Oct 13
73%
A House of Dynamite
73% predicting on Oct 12
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Nov 10
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Nov 9
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Nov 8
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Nov 7
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Nov 6
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Nov 5
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Nov 4
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Nov 3
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Nov 2
12%
Sorry, Baby
12% predicting on Nov 1
12%
Sorry, Baby
12% predicting on Oct 31
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Oct 30
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Oct 29
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Oct 28
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Oct 27
10%
Sorry, Baby
10% predicting on Oct 26
10%
Sorry, Baby
10% predicting on Oct 25
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Oct 24
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Oct 23
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Oct 22
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Oct 21
10%
Sorry, Baby
10% predicting on Oct 20
10%
Sorry, Baby
10% predicting on Oct 19
10%
Sorry, Baby
10% predicting on Oct 18
10%
Sorry, Baby
10% predicting on Oct 17
10%
Sorry, Baby
10% predicting on Oct 16
10%
Sorry, Baby
10% predicting on Oct 15
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Oct 14
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Oct 13
10%
Sorry, Baby
10% predicting on Oct 12
13%
Is This Thing On?
13% predicting on Nov 10
13%
Is This Thing On?
13% predicting on Nov 9
13%
Is This Thing On?
13% predicting on Nov 8
12%
Is This Thing On?
12% predicting on Nov 7
12%
Is This Thing On?
12% predicting on Nov 6
12%
Is This Thing On?
12% predicting on Nov 5
12%
Is This Thing On?
12% predicting on Nov 4
12%
Is This Thing On?
12% predicting on Nov 3
11%
Is This Thing On?
11% predicting on Nov 2
12%
Is This Thing On?
12% predicting on Nov 1
12%
Is This Thing On?
12% predicting on Oct 31
12%
Is This Thing On?
12% predicting on Oct 30
13%
Is This Thing On?
13% predicting on Oct 29
13%
Is This Thing On?
13% predicting on Oct 28
13%
Is This Thing On?
13% predicting on Oct 27
13%
Is This Thing On?
13% predicting on Oct 26
12%
Is This Thing On?
12% predicting on Oct 25
13%
Is This Thing On?
13% predicting on Oct 24
13%
Is This Thing On?
13% predicting on Oct 23
14%
Is This Thing On?
14% predicting on Oct 22
13%
Is This Thing On?
13% predicting on Oct 21
14%
Is This Thing On?
14% predicting on Oct 20
13%
Is This Thing On?
13% predicting on Oct 19
14%
Is This Thing On?
14% predicting on Oct 18
14%
Is This Thing On?
14% predicting on Oct 17
14%
Is This Thing On?
14% predicting on Oct 16
15%
Is This Thing On?
15% predicting on Oct 15
14%
Is This Thing On?
14% predicting on Oct 14
15%
Is This Thing On?
15% predicting on Oct 13
14%
Is This Thing On?
14% predicting on Oct 12
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Nov 10
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Nov 9
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Nov 8
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Nov 7
4%
The Testament of Ann Lee
4% predicting on Nov 6
4%
The Testament of Ann Lee
4% predicting on Nov 5
4%
The Testament of Ann Lee
4% predicting on Nov 4
4%
The Testament of Ann Lee
4% predicting on Nov 3
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Nov 2
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Nov 1
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 31
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 30
4%
The Testament of Ann Lee
4% predicting on Oct 29
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 28
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 27
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 26
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 25
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 24
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 23
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 22
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 21
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 20
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 19
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 18
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 17
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 16
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 15
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 14
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 13
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Oct 12
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Nov 10
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Nov 9
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Nov 8
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Nov 7
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Nov 6
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Nov 5
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Nov 4
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Nov 3
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Nov 2
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Nov 1
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Oct 31
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Oct 30
1%
Blue Moon
1% predicting on Oct 29
1%
Blue Moon
1% predicting on Oct 28
1%
Blue Moon
1% predicting on Oct 27
1%
Blue Moon
1% predicting on Oct 26
1%
Blue Moon
1% predicting on Oct 25
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 24
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 23
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 22
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 21
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 20
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 19
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 18
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 17
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 16
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 15
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 14
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 13
0%
Blue Moon
0% predicting on Oct 12
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Nov 10
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Nov 9
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Nov 8
3%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
3% predicting on Nov 7
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Nov 6
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Nov 5
3%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
3% predicting on Nov 4
3%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
3% predicting on Nov 3
3%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
3% predicting on Nov 2
3%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
3% predicting on Nov 1
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Oct 31
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
2% predicting on Oct 30
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 29
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 28
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 27
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 26
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 25
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 24
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 23
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 22
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 21
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 20
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 19
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 18
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 17
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 16
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 15
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 14
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 13
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
1% predicting on Oct 12
99%98%97%77%72%66%38%14%13%5%3%2%