Award Expert

2026 Venice Predictions: Golden Lion (Best Film)

Aggregated predictions from 1,403 users

Updated: Sep 6, 2:30 PM
No Other Choice
1

No Other Choice

Neon

WIN:51%
NOM:80%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2

The Voice of Hind Rajab

WIN:30%
NOM:63%
The Testament of Ann Lee
3

The Testament of Ann Lee

Searchlight

WIN:3%
NOM:40%
Bugonia
4

Bugonia

Focus Features

WIN:3%
NOM:28%
Jay Kelly
5

Jay Kelly

Netflix

WIN:5%
NOM:18%
Silent Friend
6

Silent Friend

WIN:4%
NOM:19%
A House of Dynamite
7

A House of Dynamite

Netflix

WIN:2%
NOM:17%
Father Mother Sister Brother
8

Father Mother Sister Brother

WIN:1%
NOM:7%
Frankenstein
9

Frankenstein

Netflix

WIN:0%
NOM:4%
The Smashing Machine
10

The Smashing Machine

A24

WIN:0%
NOM:4%
La Grazia
11

La Grazia

Mubi

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
12

The Wizard of the Kremlin

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
The Stranger
13

The Stranger

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
At Work
14

At Work

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Hamnet
15

Hamnet

Focus Features

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

Percentage Predicting over time

No Other Choice
The Voice of Hind Rajab
Jay Kelly
The Testament of Ann Lee
Bugonia
A House of Dynamite
Silent Friend
Father Mother Sister Brother
Frankenstein
The Smashing Machine
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 857%
No Other Choice
57% predicting on Nov 8
62%
No Other Choice
62% predicting on Nov 7
65%
No Other Choice
65% predicting on Nov 6
69%
No Other Choice
69% predicting on Nov 5
67%
No Other Choice
67% predicting on Nov 4
64%
No Other Choice
64% predicting on Nov 3
60%
No Other Choice
60% predicting on Nov 2
54%
No Other Choice
54% predicting on Nov 1
44%
No Other Choice
44% predicting on Oct 31
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Oct 30
42%
No Other Choice
42% predicting on Oct 29
42%
No Other Choice
42% predicting on Oct 28
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Oct 27
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Oct 26
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Oct 25
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Oct 24
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Oct 23
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Oct 22
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Oct 21
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Oct 20
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Oct 19
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Oct 18
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Oct 17
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Oct 16
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Oct 15
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Oct 14
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Oct 13
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Oct 12
42%
No Other Choice
42% predicting on Oct 11
43%
No Other Choice
43% predicting on Oct 10
26%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
26% predicting on Nov 8
20%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
20% predicting on Nov 7
14%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
14% predicting on Nov 6
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Nov 5
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Nov 4
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Nov 3
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Nov 2
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Nov 1
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Oct 31
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Oct 30
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Oct 29
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Oct 28
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Oct 27
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Oct 26
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Oct 25
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Oct 24
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Oct 23
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Oct 22
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Oct 21
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Oct 20
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Oct 19
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Oct 18
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Oct 17
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Oct 16
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Oct 15
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Oct 14
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Oct 13
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Oct 12
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Oct 11
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Oct 10
6%
Jay Kelly
6% predicting on Nov 8
7%
Jay Kelly
7% predicting on Nov 7
7%
Jay Kelly
7% predicting on Nov 6
8%
Jay Kelly
8% predicting on Nov 5
10%
Jay Kelly
10% predicting on Nov 4
12%
Jay Kelly
12% predicting on Nov 3
14%
Jay Kelly
14% predicting on Nov 2
19%
Jay Kelly
19% predicting on Nov 1
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Oct 31
35%
Jay Kelly
35% predicting on Oct 30
35%
Jay Kelly
35% predicting on Oct 29
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Oct 28
34%
Jay Kelly
34% predicting on Oct 27
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Oct 26
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Oct 25
34%
Jay Kelly
34% predicting on Oct 24
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Oct 23
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Oct 22
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Oct 21
34%
Jay Kelly
34% predicting on Oct 20
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Oct 19
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Oct 18
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Oct 17
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Oct 16
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Oct 15
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Oct 14
31%
Jay Kelly
31% predicting on Oct 13
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Oct 12
27%
Jay Kelly
27% predicting on Oct 11
25%
Jay Kelly
25% predicting on Oct 10
3%
The Testament of Ann Lee
3% predicting on Nov 8
4%
The Testament of Ann Lee
4% predicting on Nov 7
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Nov 6
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Nov 5
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Nov 4
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Nov 3
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Nov 2
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Nov 1
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 31
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Oct 30
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Oct 29
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 28
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 27
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 26
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 25
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 24
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 23
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 22
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Oct 21
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Oct 20
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 19
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 18
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 17
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 16
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Oct 15
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Oct 14
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Oct 13
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Oct 12
10%
The Testament of Ann Lee
10% predicting on Oct 11
11%
The Testament of Ann Lee
11% predicting on Oct 10
3%
Bugonia
3% predicting on Nov 8
4%
Bugonia
4% predicting on Nov 7
4%
Bugonia
4% predicting on Nov 6
4%
Bugonia
4% predicting on Nov 5
5%
Bugonia
5% predicting on Nov 4
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Nov 3
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Nov 2
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Nov 1
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 31
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Oct 30
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Oct 29
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 28
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 27
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 26
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 25
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 24
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 23
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 22
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 21
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 20
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 19
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 18
9%
Bugonia
9% predicting on Oct 17
9%
Bugonia
9% predicting on Oct 16
9%
Bugonia
9% predicting on Oct 15
9%
Bugonia
9% predicting on Oct 14
9%
Bugonia
9% predicting on Oct 13
10%
Bugonia
10% predicting on Oct 12
10%
Bugonia
10% predicting on Oct 11
11%
Bugonia
11% predicting on Oct 10
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Nov 8
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Nov 7
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Nov 6
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Nov 5
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Nov 4
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Nov 3
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Nov 2
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Nov 1
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 31
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 30
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 29
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 28
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 27
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 26
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 25
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 24
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 23
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 22
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 21
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 20
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 19
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 18
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 17
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 16
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 15
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 14
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 13
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 12
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 11
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 10
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 8
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Nov 7
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Nov 6
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Nov 5
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Nov 4
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Nov 3
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 2
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 1
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 31
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 30
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 29
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 28
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 27
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 26
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 25
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 24
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 23
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 22
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 21
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 20
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 19
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 18
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 17
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 16
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 15
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 14
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 13
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 12
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 11
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 10
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Nov 8
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Nov 7
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Nov 6
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Nov 5
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Nov 4
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Nov 3
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Nov 2
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Nov 1
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Oct 31
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Oct 30
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Oct 29
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Oct 28
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Oct 27
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Oct 26
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Oct 25
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Oct 24
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Oct 23
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Oct 22
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Oct 21
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Oct 20
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Oct 19
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Oct 18
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Oct 17
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Oct 16
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Oct 15
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Oct 14
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Oct 13
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Oct 12
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Oct 11
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Oct 10
0%
Frankenstein
0% predicting on Nov 8
0%
Frankenstein
0% predicting on Nov 7
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Nov 6
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Nov 5
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Nov 4
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Nov 3
2%
Frankenstein
2% predicting on Nov 2
2%
Frankenstein
2% predicting on Nov 1
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 31
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 30
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 29
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 28
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 27
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 26
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 25
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 24
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 23
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 22
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 21
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 20
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 19
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 18
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 17
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 16
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 15
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 14
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 13
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 12
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 11
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Oct 10
0%
The Smashing Machine
0% predicting on Nov 8
0%
The Smashing Machine
0% predicting on Nov 7
0%
The Smashing Machine
0% predicting on Nov 6
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Nov 5
0%
The Smashing Machine
0% predicting on Nov 4
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Nov 3
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Nov 2
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Nov 1
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Oct 31
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Oct 30
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Oct 29
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 28
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 27
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 26
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 25
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 24
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 23
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 22
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 21
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 20
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 19
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 18
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 17
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 16
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 15
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 14
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 13
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 12
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 11
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Oct 10
57%26%6%3%3%2%1%1%0%0%