Award Expert

2026 Venice Predictions: Golden Lion (Best Film)

Aggregated predictions from 1,403 users

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Updated: Sep 6, 2:30 PM
No Other Choice
1

No Other Choice

Neon

WIN:51%
NOM:80%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2

The Voice of Hind Rajab

WIN:30%
NOM:63%
The Testament of Ann Lee
3

The Testament of Ann Lee

Searchlight

WIN:3%
NOM:40%
Bugonia
4

Bugonia

Focus Features

WIN:3%
NOM:28%
Jay Kelly
5

Jay Kelly

Netflix

WIN:5%
NOM:18%
Silent Friend
6

Silent Friend

WIN:4%
NOM:19%
A House of Dynamite
7

A House of Dynamite

Netflix

WIN:2%
NOM:17%
Father Mother Sister Brother
8

Father Mother Sister Brother

WIN:1%
NOM:7%
Frankenstein
9

Frankenstein

Netflix

WIN:0%
NOM:4%
The Smashing Machine
10

The Smashing Machine

A24

WIN:0%
NOM:4%
La Grazia
11

La Grazia

Mubi

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
12

The Wizard of the Kremlin

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
The Stranger
13

The Stranger

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
At Work
14

At Work

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Hamnet
15

Hamnet

Focus Features

WIN:0%
NOM:1%

Percentage Predicting over time

No Other Choice
The Voice of Hind Rajab
Jay Kelly
The Testament of Ann Lee
Bugonia
A House of Dynamite
Silent Friend
Father Mother Sister Brother
Frankenstein
The Smashing Machine
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 13Dec 16Dec 19Dec 22Dec 2657%
No Other Choice
57% predicting on Dec 26
62%
No Other Choice
62% predicting on Dec 25
65%
No Other Choice
65% predicting on Dec 24
69%
No Other Choice
69% predicting on Dec 23
67%
No Other Choice
67% predicting on Dec 22
64%
No Other Choice
64% predicting on Dec 21
60%
No Other Choice
60% predicting on Dec 20
54%
No Other Choice
54% predicting on Dec 19
44%
No Other Choice
44% predicting on Dec 18
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Dec 17
42%
No Other Choice
42% predicting on Dec 16
42%
No Other Choice
42% predicting on Dec 15
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Dec 14
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Dec 13
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Dec 12
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Dec 11
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Dec 10
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Dec 9
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Dec 8
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Dec 7
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Dec 6
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Dec 5
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Dec 4
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Dec 3
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Dec 2
40%
No Other Choice
40% predicting on Dec 1
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Nov 30
41%
No Other Choice
41% predicting on Nov 29
42%
No Other Choice
42% predicting on Nov 28
43%
No Other Choice
43% predicting on Nov 27
26%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
26% predicting on Dec 26
20%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
20% predicting on Dec 25
14%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
14% predicting on Dec 24
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Dec 23
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Dec 22
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Dec 21
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Dec 20
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Dec 19
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Dec 18
6%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
6% predicting on Dec 17
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Dec 16
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Dec 15
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Dec 14
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Dec 13
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Dec 12
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Dec 11
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Dec 10
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Dec 9
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Dec 8
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Dec 7
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Dec 6
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Dec 5
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Dec 4
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Dec 3
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Dec 2
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Dec 1
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Nov 30
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Nov 29
5%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
5% predicting on Nov 28
4%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
4% predicting on Nov 27
6%
Jay Kelly
6% predicting on Dec 26
7%
Jay Kelly
7% predicting on Dec 25
7%
Jay Kelly
7% predicting on Dec 24
8%
Jay Kelly
8% predicting on Dec 23
10%
Jay Kelly
10% predicting on Dec 22
12%
Jay Kelly
12% predicting on Dec 21
14%
Jay Kelly
14% predicting on Dec 20
19%
Jay Kelly
19% predicting on Dec 19
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Dec 18
35%
Jay Kelly
35% predicting on Dec 17
35%
Jay Kelly
35% predicting on Dec 16
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 15
34%
Jay Kelly
34% predicting on Dec 14
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 13
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 12
34%
Jay Kelly
34% predicting on Dec 11
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 10
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 9
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 8
34%
Jay Kelly
34% predicting on Dec 7
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 6
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 5
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 4
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 3
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 2
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 1
31%
Jay Kelly
31% predicting on Nov 30
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Nov 29
27%
Jay Kelly
27% predicting on Nov 28
25%
Jay Kelly
25% predicting on Nov 27
3%
The Testament of Ann Lee
3% predicting on Dec 26
4%
The Testament of Ann Lee
4% predicting on Dec 25
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Dec 24
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Dec 23
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Dec 22
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 21
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Dec 20
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 19
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 18
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Dec 17
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Dec 16
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 15
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 14
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 13
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 12
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 11
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 10
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 9
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Dec 8
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Dec 7
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 6
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 5
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 4
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 3
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Dec 2
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Dec 1
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Nov 30
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Nov 29
10%
The Testament of Ann Lee
10% predicting on Nov 28
11%
The Testament of Ann Lee
11% predicting on Nov 27
3%
Bugonia
3% predicting on Dec 26
4%
Bugonia
4% predicting on Dec 25
4%
Bugonia
4% predicting on Dec 24
4%
Bugonia
4% predicting on Dec 23
5%
Bugonia
5% predicting on Dec 22
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Dec 21
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Dec 20
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Dec 19
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Dec 18
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Dec 17
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Dec 16
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Dec 15
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Dec 14
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Dec 13
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Dec 12
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Dec 11
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Dec 10
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Dec 9
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Dec 8
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Dec 7
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Dec 6
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Dec 5
9%
Bugonia
9% predicting on Dec 4
9%
Bugonia
9% predicting on Dec 3
9%
Bugonia
9% predicting on Dec 2
9%
Bugonia
9% predicting on Dec 1
9%
Bugonia
9% predicting on Nov 30
10%
Bugonia
10% predicting on Nov 29
10%
Bugonia
10% predicting on Nov 28
11%
Bugonia
11% predicting on Nov 27
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 26
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 25
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 24
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 23
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 22
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 21
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 20
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 19
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 18
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 17
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 16
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 15
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 14
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 13
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 12
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 11
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 10
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 9
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 8
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 7
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 6
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 5
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 4
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 3
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 2
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 1
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Nov 30
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Nov 29
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Nov 28
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Nov 27
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 26
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 25
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 24
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 23
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 22
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 21
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 20
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 19
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 18
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 17
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 16
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 15
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 14
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 13
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 12
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 11
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 10
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 9
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 8
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 7
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 6
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 5
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 4
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 3
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 2
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 1
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Nov 30
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Nov 29
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Nov 28
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 27
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Dec 26
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Dec 25
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Dec 24
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Dec 23
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Dec 22
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 21
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 20
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 19
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 18
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 17
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 16
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 15
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 14
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 13
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Dec 12
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Dec 11
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Dec 10
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 9
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 8
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 7
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Dec 6
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Dec 5
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Dec 4
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Dec 3
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 2
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Dec 1
0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
0% predicting on Nov 30
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Nov 29
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Nov 28
1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
1% predicting on Nov 27
0%
Frankenstein
0% predicting on Dec 26
0%
Frankenstein
0% predicting on Dec 25
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 24
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 23
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 22
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 21
2%
Frankenstein
2% predicting on Dec 20
2%
Frankenstein
2% predicting on Dec 19
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 18
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 17
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 16
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 15
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 14
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 13
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 12
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 11
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 10
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 9
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 8
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 7
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 6
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 5
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 4
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 3
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 2
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Dec 1
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Nov 30
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Nov 29
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Nov 28
1%
Frankenstein
1% predicting on Nov 27
0%
The Smashing Machine
0% predicting on Dec 26
0%
The Smashing Machine
0% predicting on Dec 25
0%
The Smashing Machine
0% predicting on Dec 24
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Dec 23
0%
The Smashing Machine
0% predicting on Dec 22
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Dec 21
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Dec 20
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Dec 19
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Dec 18
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Dec 17
1%
The Smashing Machine
1% predicting on Dec 16
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 15
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 14
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 13
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 12
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 11
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 10
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 9
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 8
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 7
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 6
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 5
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 4
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 3
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 2
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Dec 1
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Nov 30
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Nov 29
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Nov 28
2%
The Smashing Machine
2% predicting on Nov 27
57%26%6%3%3%2%1%1%0%0%