Award Expert

2026 Venice Predictions: Best Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 1,200 users

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Updated: Sep 6, 2:30 PM
Father Mother Sister Brother
1

Father Mother Sister Brother

Jim Jarmusch

WIN:46%
NOM:46%
Bugonia
2

Bugonia

Will Tracy

WIN:24%
NOM:24%
No Other Choice
3

No Other Choice

Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar

WIN:8%
NOM:8%
Jay Kelly
4

Jay Kelly

Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach

WIN:6%
NOM:6%
A House of Dynamite
5

A House of Dynamite

Noah Oppenheim

WIN:5%
NOM:5%
The Stranger
6

The Stranger

François Ozon

WIN:2%
NOM:2%
Silent Friend
7

Silent Friend

Ildikó Enyedi

WIN:2%
NOM:2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
8

The Voice of Hind Rajab

Kaouther Ben Hania

WIN:1%
NOM:1%
At Work
9

At Work

Valérie Donzelli, Gilles Marchand

WIN:2%
NOM:2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
10

The Wizard of the Kremlin

Olivier Assayas, Emmanuel Carrère

WIN:1%
NOM:1%

Percentage Predicting over time

Father Mother Sister Brother
Bugonia
No Other Choice
Jay Kelly
A House of Dynamite
The Stranger
Silent Friend
The Voice of Hind Rajab
The Wizard of the Kremlin
At Work
0%10%20%30%40%50%Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 13Dec 16Dec 19Dec 22Dec 2638%
Father Mother Sister Brother
38% predicting on Dec 26
34%
Father Mother Sister Brother
34% predicting on Dec 25
31%
Father Mother Sister Brother
31% predicting on Dec 24
28%
Father Mother Sister Brother
28% predicting on Dec 23
24%
Father Mother Sister Brother
24% predicting on Dec 22
20%
Father Mother Sister Brother
20% predicting on Dec 21
17%
Father Mother Sister Brother
17% predicting on Dec 20
16%
Father Mother Sister Brother
16% predicting on Dec 19
14%
Father Mother Sister Brother
14% predicting on Dec 18
14%
Father Mother Sister Brother
14% predicting on Dec 17
13%
Father Mother Sister Brother
13% predicting on Dec 16
13%
Father Mother Sister Brother
13% predicting on Dec 15
13%
Father Mother Sister Brother
13% predicting on Dec 14
13%
Father Mother Sister Brother
13% predicting on Dec 13
13%
Father Mother Sister Brother
13% predicting on Dec 12
12%
Father Mother Sister Brother
12% predicting on Dec 11
12%
Father Mother Sister Brother
12% predicting on Dec 10
12%
Father Mother Sister Brother
12% predicting on Dec 9
12%
Father Mother Sister Brother
12% predicting on Dec 8
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Dec 7
12%
Father Mother Sister Brother
12% predicting on Dec 6
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Dec 5
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Dec 4
12%
Father Mother Sister Brother
12% predicting on Dec 3
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Dec 2
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Dec 1
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Nov 30
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Nov 29
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Nov 28
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Nov 27
30%
Bugonia
30% predicting on Dec 26
33%
Bugonia
33% predicting on Dec 25
34%
Bugonia
34% predicting on Dec 24
36%
Bugonia
36% predicting on Dec 23
38%
Bugonia
38% predicting on Dec 22
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Dec 21
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Dec 20
38%
Bugonia
38% predicting on Dec 19
36%
Bugonia
36% predicting on Dec 18
33%
Bugonia
33% predicting on Dec 17
34%
Bugonia
34% predicting on Dec 16
35%
Bugonia
35% predicting on Dec 15
35%
Bugonia
35% predicting on Dec 14
35%
Bugonia
35% predicting on Dec 13
36%
Bugonia
36% predicting on Dec 12
36%
Bugonia
36% predicting on Dec 11
36%
Bugonia
36% predicting on Dec 10
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Dec 9
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Dec 8
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Dec 7
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Dec 6
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Dec 5
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Dec 4
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Dec 3
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Dec 2
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Dec 1
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Nov 30
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Nov 29
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Nov 28
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Nov 27
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Dec 26
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Dec 25
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Dec 24
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Dec 23
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Dec 22
13%
No Other Choice
13% predicting on Dec 21
13%
No Other Choice
13% predicting on Dec 20
11%
No Other Choice
11% predicting on Dec 19
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Dec 18
11%
No Other Choice
11% predicting on Dec 17
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Dec 16
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Dec 15
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Dec 14
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Dec 13
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Dec 12
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Dec 11
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Dec 10
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Dec 9
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Dec 8
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Dec 7
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 6
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 5
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 4
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 3
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Dec 2
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Dec 1
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Nov 30
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Nov 29
5%
No Other Choice
5% predicting on Nov 28
5%
No Other Choice
5% predicting on Nov 27
7%
Jay Kelly
7% predicting on Dec 26
7%
Jay Kelly
7% predicting on Dec 25
8%
Jay Kelly
8% predicting on Dec 24
9%
Jay Kelly
9% predicting on Dec 23
11%
Jay Kelly
11% predicting on Dec 22
12%
Jay Kelly
12% predicting on Dec 21
14%
Jay Kelly
14% predicting on Dec 20
18%
Jay Kelly
18% predicting on Dec 19
24%
Jay Kelly
24% predicting on Dec 18
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 17
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Dec 16
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 15
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 14
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Dec 13
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 12
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 11
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 10
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 9
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 8
27%
Jay Kelly
27% predicting on Dec 7
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 6
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 5
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Dec 4
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 3
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 2
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Dec 1
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Nov 30
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Nov 29
30%
Jay Kelly
30% predicting on Nov 28
31%
Jay Kelly
31% predicting on Nov 27
7%
A House of Dynamite
7% predicting on Dec 26
5%
A House of Dynamite
5% predicting on Dec 25
5%
A House of Dynamite
5% predicting on Dec 24
5%
A House of Dynamite
5% predicting on Dec 23
4%
A House of Dynamite
4% predicting on Dec 22
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Dec 21
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Dec 20
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Dec 19
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 18
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 17
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Dec 16
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 15
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 14
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 13
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 12
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 11
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 10
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 9
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 8
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 7
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 6
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 5
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 4
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 3
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 2
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 1
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Nov 30
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Nov 29
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Nov 28
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Nov 27
2%
The Stranger
2% predicting on Dec 26
2%
The Stranger
2% predicting on Dec 25
3%
The Stranger
3% predicting on Dec 24
3%
The Stranger
3% predicting on Dec 23
4%
The Stranger
4% predicting on Dec 22
4%
The Stranger
4% predicting on Dec 21
4%
The Stranger
4% predicting on Dec 20
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 19
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 18
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 17
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 16
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 15
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 14
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 13
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 12
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 11
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 10
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 9
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 8
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 7
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 6
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Dec 5
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Dec 4
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Dec 3
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Dec 2
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Dec 1
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Nov 30
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Nov 29
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Nov 28
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Nov 27
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 26
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 25
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 24
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 23
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 22
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 21
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 20
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 19
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 18
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 17
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Dec 16
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 15
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 14
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 13
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 12
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 11
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 10
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 9
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 8
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 7
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 6
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 5
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 4
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 3
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 2
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Dec 1
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 30
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 29
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 28
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 27
1%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
1% predicting on Dec 26
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 25
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 24
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 23
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 22
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 21
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 20
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 19
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 18
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 17
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 16
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 15
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 14
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 13
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 12
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 11
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 10
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 9
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 8
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 7
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 6
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 5
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 4
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 3
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 2
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Dec 1
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Nov 30
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Nov 29
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Nov 28
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Nov 27
1%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
1% predicting on Dec 26
1%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
1% predicting on Dec 25
1%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
1% predicting on Dec 24
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Dec 23
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Dec 22
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 21
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 20
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 19
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 18
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 17
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 16
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 15
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 14
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 13
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 12
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 11
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 10
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Dec 9
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Dec 8
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 7
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Dec 6
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Dec 5
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Dec 4
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 3
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Dec 2
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Dec 1
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Nov 30
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Nov 29
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Nov 28
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Nov 27
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 26
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 25
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 24
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 23
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 22
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 21
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 20
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 19
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 18
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 17
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 16
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 15
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 14
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 13
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 12
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 11
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 10
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 9
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 8
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 7
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 6
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 5
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 4
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 3
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 2
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Dec 1
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Nov 30
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Nov 29
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Nov 28
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Nov 27
38%30%10%7%7%2%1%1%1%0%