Award Expert

2026 Venice Predictions: Best Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 1,200 users

Updated: Sep 6, 2:30 PM
Father Mother Sister Brother
1

Father Mother Sister Brother

Jim Jarmusch

WIN:46%
NOM:46%
Bugonia
2

Bugonia

Will Tracy

WIN:24%
NOM:24%
No Other Choice
3

No Other Choice

Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar

WIN:8%
NOM:8%
Jay Kelly
4

Jay Kelly

Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach

WIN:6%
NOM:6%
A House of Dynamite
5

A House of Dynamite

Noah Oppenheim

WIN:5%
NOM:5%
The Stranger
6

The Stranger

François Ozon

WIN:2%
NOM:2%
Silent Friend
7

Silent Friend

Ildikó Enyedi

WIN:2%
NOM:2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
8

The Voice of Hind Rajab

Kaouther Ben Hania

WIN:1%
NOM:1%
At Work
9

At Work

Valérie Donzelli, Gilles Marchand

WIN:2%
NOM:2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
10

The Wizard of the Kremlin

Olivier Assayas, Emmanuel Carrère

WIN:1%
NOM:1%

Percentage Predicting over time

Father Mother Sister Brother
Bugonia
No Other Choice
Jay Kelly
A House of Dynamite
The Stranger
Silent Friend
The Voice of Hind Rajab
The Wizard of the Kremlin
At Work
0%10%20%30%40%50%Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 838%
Father Mother Sister Brother
38% predicting on Nov 8
34%
Father Mother Sister Brother
34% predicting on Nov 7
31%
Father Mother Sister Brother
31% predicting on Nov 6
28%
Father Mother Sister Brother
28% predicting on Nov 5
24%
Father Mother Sister Brother
24% predicting on Nov 4
20%
Father Mother Sister Brother
20% predicting on Nov 3
17%
Father Mother Sister Brother
17% predicting on Nov 2
16%
Father Mother Sister Brother
16% predicting on Nov 1
14%
Father Mother Sister Brother
14% predicting on Oct 31
14%
Father Mother Sister Brother
14% predicting on Oct 30
13%
Father Mother Sister Brother
13% predicting on Oct 29
13%
Father Mother Sister Brother
13% predicting on Oct 28
13%
Father Mother Sister Brother
13% predicting on Oct 27
13%
Father Mother Sister Brother
13% predicting on Oct 26
13%
Father Mother Sister Brother
13% predicting on Oct 25
12%
Father Mother Sister Brother
12% predicting on Oct 24
12%
Father Mother Sister Brother
12% predicting on Oct 23
12%
Father Mother Sister Brother
12% predicting on Oct 22
12%
Father Mother Sister Brother
12% predicting on Oct 21
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Oct 20
12%
Father Mother Sister Brother
12% predicting on Oct 19
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Oct 18
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Oct 17
12%
Father Mother Sister Brother
12% predicting on Oct 16
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Oct 15
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Oct 14
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Oct 13
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Oct 12
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Oct 11
11%
Father Mother Sister Brother
11% predicting on Oct 10
30%
Bugonia
30% predicting on Nov 8
33%
Bugonia
33% predicting on Nov 7
34%
Bugonia
34% predicting on Nov 6
36%
Bugonia
36% predicting on Nov 5
38%
Bugonia
38% predicting on Nov 4
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Nov 3
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Nov 2
38%
Bugonia
38% predicting on Nov 1
36%
Bugonia
36% predicting on Oct 31
33%
Bugonia
33% predicting on Oct 30
34%
Bugonia
34% predicting on Oct 29
35%
Bugonia
35% predicting on Oct 28
35%
Bugonia
35% predicting on Oct 27
35%
Bugonia
35% predicting on Oct 26
36%
Bugonia
36% predicting on Oct 25
36%
Bugonia
36% predicting on Oct 24
36%
Bugonia
36% predicting on Oct 23
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Oct 22
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Oct 21
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Oct 20
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Oct 19
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Oct 18
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Oct 17
37%
Bugonia
37% predicting on Oct 16
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Oct 15
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Oct 14
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Oct 13
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Oct 12
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Oct 11
39%
Bugonia
39% predicting on Oct 10
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Nov 8
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Nov 7
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Nov 6
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Nov 5
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Nov 4
13%
No Other Choice
13% predicting on Nov 3
13%
No Other Choice
13% predicting on Nov 2
11%
No Other Choice
11% predicting on Nov 1
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Oct 31
11%
No Other Choice
11% predicting on Oct 30
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Oct 29
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 28
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 27
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 26
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 25
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 24
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 23
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 22
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 21
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 20
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 19
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 18
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 17
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 16
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Oct 15
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Oct 14
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Oct 13
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Oct 12
5%
No Other Choice
5% predicting on Oct 11
5%
No Other Choice
5% predicting on Oct 10
7%
Jay Kelly
7% predicting on Nov 8
7%
Jay Kelly
7% predicting on Nov 7
8%
Jay Kelly
8% predicting on Nov 6
9%
Jay Kelly
9% predicting on Nov 5
11%
Jay Kelly
11% predicting on Nov 4
12%
Jay Kelly
12% predicting on Nov 3
14%
Jay Kelly
14% predicting on Nov 2
18%
Jay Kelly
18% predicting on Nov 1
24%
Jay Kelly
24% predicting on Oct 31
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 30
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Oct 29
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 28
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 27
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Oct 26
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 25
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 24
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 23
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 22
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 21
27%
Jay Kelly
27% predicting on Oct 20
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 19
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 18
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Oct 17
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 16
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 15
28%
Jay Kelly
28% predicting on Oct 14
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Oct 13
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Oct 12
30%
Jay Kelly
30% predicting on Oct 11
31%
Jay Kelly
31% predicting on Oct 10
7%
A House of Dynamite
7% predicting on Nov 8
5%
A House of Dynamite
5% predicting on Nov 7
5%
A House of Dynamite
5% predicting on Nov 6
5%
A House of Dynamite
5% predicting on Nov 5
4%
A House of Dynamite
4% predicting on Nov 4
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Nov 3
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Nov 2
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Nov 1
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 31
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 30
1%
A House of Dynamite
1% predicting on Oct 29
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 28
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 27
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 26
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 25
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 24
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 23
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 22
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 21
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 20
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 19
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 18
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 17
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 16
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 15
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 14
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 13
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 12
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 11
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Oct 10
2%
The Stranger
2% predicting on Nov 8
2%
The Stranger
2% predicting on Nov 7
3%
The Stranger
3% predicting on Nov 6
3%
The Stranger
3% predicting on Nov 5
4%
The Stranger
4% predicting on Nov 4
4%
The Stranger
4% predicting on Nov 3
4%
The Stranger
4% predicting on Nov 2
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Nov 1
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 31
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 30
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 29
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 28
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 27
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 26
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 25
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 24
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 23
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 22
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 21
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 20
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 19
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 18
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Oct 17
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Oct 16
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Oct 15
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Oct 14
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Oct 13
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Oct 12
5%
The Stranger
5% predicting on Oct 11
6%
The Stranger
6% predicting on Oct 10
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 8
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 7
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 6
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 5
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 4
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Nov 3
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Nov 2
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Nov 1
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 31
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 30
0%
Silent Friend
0% predicting on Oct 29
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 28
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 27
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 26
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 25
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 24
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 23
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 22
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 21
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 20
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 19
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 18
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 17
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 16
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 15
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 14
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 13
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 12
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 11
1%
Silent Friend
1% predicting on Oct 10
1%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
1% predicting on Nov 8
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Nov 7
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Nov 6
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Nov 5
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Nov 4
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Nov 3
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Nov 2
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Nov 1
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 31
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 30
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 29
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 28
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 27
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 26
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 25
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 24
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 23
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 22
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 21
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 20
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 19
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 18
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 17
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 16
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 15
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 14
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 13
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 12
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 11
2%
The Voice of Hind Rajab
2% predicting on Oct 10
1%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
1% predicting on Nov 8
1%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
1% predicting on Nov 7
1%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
1% predicting on Nov 6
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Nov 5
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Nov 4
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Nov 3
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Nov 2
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Nov 1
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 31
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 30
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 29
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 28
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 27
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 26
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 25
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 24
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 23
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Oct 22
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Oct 21
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 20
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Oct 19
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Oct 18
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Oct 17
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 16
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 15
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Oct 14
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Oct 13
3%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
3% predicting on Oct 12
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Oct 11
2%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
2% predicting on Oct 10
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Nov 8
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Nov 7
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Nov 6
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Nov 5
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Nov 4
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Nov 3
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Nov 2
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Nov 1
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 31
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 30
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 29
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 28
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 27
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 26
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 25
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 24
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 23
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 22
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 21
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 20
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 19
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 18
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 17
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 16
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 15
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 14
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 13
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 12
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 11
0%
At Work
0% predicting on Oct 10
38%30%10%7%7%2%1%1%1%0%