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2026 WGA Predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 598 users

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Updated: Dec 26, 6:31 AM
One Battle After Another
1

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson

WIN:90%
3%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
Hamnet
2

Hamnet

Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell

WIN:6%
2%
change over 30 days
NOM:97%
Bugonia
3

Bugonia

Will Tracy

WIN:2%
1%
change over 30 days
NOM:89%
6%
change over 30 days
Frankenstein
4

Frankenstein

Guillermo del Toro

WIN:1%
NOM:87%
18%
change over 30 days
Train Dreams
5

Train Dreams

Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar

WIN:0%
NOM:56%
41%
change over 30 days
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
6

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Rian Johnson

WIN:0%
NOM:54%
35%
change over 30 days
No Other Choice
7

No Other Choice

Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar

WIN:0%
NOM:8%
4%
change over 30 days
Wicked: For Good
8

Wicked: For Good

Winnie Holzman, Dana Fox

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
26%
change over 30 days
The Life of Chuck
9

The Life of Chuck

Mike Flanagan

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
2%
change over 30 days
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
10

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Scott Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
1%
change over 30 days
The Naked Gun
11

The Naked Gun

Dan Gregor, Doug Mand, Akiva Schaffer

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
1%
change over 30 days
Nuremberg
12

Nuremberg

James Vanderbilt

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Hedda
13

Hedda

Nia DaCosta

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
The Long Walk
14

The Long Walk

JT Mollner

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
The Smashing Machine
15

The Smashing Machine

Benny Safdie

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Superman
16

Superman

James Gunn

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
28 Years Later
17

28 Years Later

Alex Garland

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Ballad of a Small Player
18

Ballad of a Small Player

Rowan Joffé

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Die My Love
19

Die My Love

Enda Walsh, Lynne Ramsay, Alice Birch

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Lost Bus
20

The Lost Bus

Brad Ingelsby, Paul Greengrass

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie
21

Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie

Matt Johnson, Jay McCarrol

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Nouvelle Vague
22

Nouvelle Vague

Vincent Palmo Jr., Holly Gent, Laetitia Masson, Michèle Pétin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
23

Avatar: Fire and Ash

James Cameron, Rick Jaffa, Amanda Silver

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Mickey 17
24

Mickey 17

Bong Joon Ho

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Running Man
25

The Running Man

Michael Bacall, Edgar Wright

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

One Battle After Another
Hamnet
Bugonia
Frankenstein
Train Dreams
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
No Other Choice
Wicked: For Good
The Life of Chuck
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 13Dec 16Dec 19Dec 22Dec 26100%
One Battle After Another
100% predicting on Dec 26
100%
One Battle After Another
100% predicting on Dec 25
100%
One Battle After Another
100% predicting on Dec 24
100%
One Battle After Another
100% predicting on Dec 23
100%
One Battle After Another
100% predicting on Dec 22
100%
One Battle After Another
100% predicting on Dec 21
100%
One Battle After Another
100% predicting on Dec 20
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 19
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 18
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 17
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 16
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 15
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 14
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 13
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 12
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 11
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 10
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 9
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 8
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 7
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 6
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 5
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 4
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 3
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 2
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 1
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 30
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 29
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 28
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 27
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 26
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 25
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 24
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 23
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 22
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 21
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 20
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 19
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 18
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 17
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 16
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 15
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 14
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 13
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 12
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 11
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 10
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 9
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 8
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 7
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Dec 6
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 5
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 4
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 3
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 2
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 1
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Nov 30
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Nov 29
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Nov 28
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Nov 27
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Dec 26
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Dec 25
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Dec 24
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Dec 23
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Dec 22
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Dec 21
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Dec 20
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Dec 19
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Dec 18
87%
Bugonia
87% predicting on Dec 17
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Dec 16
87%
Bugonia
87% predicting on Dec 15
86%
Bugonia
86% predicting on Dec 14
87%
Bugonia
87% predicting on Dec 13
87%
Bugonia
87% predicting on Dec 12
86%
Bugonia
86% predicting on Dec 11
86%
Bugonia
86% predicting on Dec 10
84%
Bugonia
84% predicting on Dec 9
83%
Bugonia
83% predicting on Dec 8
83%
Bugonia
83% predicting on Dec 7
82%
Bugonia
82% predicting on Dec 6
82%
Bugonia
82% predicting on Dec 5
82%
Bugonia
82% predicting on Dec 4
83%
Bugonia
83% predicting on Dec 3
84%
Bugonia
84% predicting on Dec 2
84%
Bugonia
84% predicting on Dec 1
85%
Bugonia
85% predicting on Nov 30
84%
Bugonia
84% predicting on Nov 29
84%
Bugonia
84% predicting on Nov 28
83%
Bugonia
83% predicting on Nov 27
87%
Frankenstein
87% predicting on Dec 26
87%
Frankenstein
87% predicting on Dec 25
88%
Frankenstein
88% predicting on Dec 24
88%
Frankenstein
88% predicting on Dec 23
88%
Frankenstein
88% predicting on Dec 22
88%
Frankenstein
88% predicting on Dec 21
88%
Frankenstein
88% predicting on Dec 20
87%
Frankenstein
87% predicting on Dec 19
87%
Frankenstein
87% predicting on Dec 18
86%
Frankenstein
86% predicting on Dec 17
86%
Frankenstein
86% predicting on Dec 16
86%
Frankenstein
86% predicting on Dec 15
85%
Frankenstein
85% predicting on Dec 14
85%
Frankenstein
85% predicting on Dec 13
84%
Frankenstein
84% predicting on Dec 12
83%
Frankenstein
83% predicting on Dec 11
82%
Frankenstein
82% predicting on Dec 10
80%
Frankenstein
80% predicting on Dec 9
78%
Frankenstein
78% predicting on Dec 8
78%
Frankenstein
78% predicting on Dec 7
76%
Frankenstein
76% predicting on Dec 6
75%
Frankenstein
75% predicting on Dec 5
75%
Frankenstein
75% predicting on Dec 4
74%
Frankenstein
74% predicting on Dec 3
74%
Frankenstein
74% predicting on Dec 2
74%
Frankenstein
74% predicting on Dec 1
73%
Frankenstein
73% predicting on Nov 30
72%
Frankenstein
72% predicting on Nov 29
70%
Frankenstein
70% predicting on Nov 28
70%
Frankenstein
70% predicting on Nov 27
56%
Train Dreams
56% predicting on Dec 26
56%
Train Dreams
56% predicting on Dec 25
55%
Train Dreams
55% predicting on Dec 24
54%
Train Dreams
54% predicting on Dec 23
53%
Train Dreams
53% predicting on Dec 22
53%
Train Dreams
53% predicting on Dec 21
51%
Train Dreams
51% predicting on Dec 20
51%
Train Dreams
51% predicting on Dec 19
50%
Train Dreams
50% predicting on Dec 18
49%
Train Dreams
49% predicting on Dec 17
49%
Train Dreams
49% predicting on Dec 16
48%
Train Dreams
48% predicting on Dec 15
48%
Train Dreams
48% predicting on Dec 14
47%
Train Dreams
47% predicting on Dec 13
46%
Train Dreams
46% predicting on Dec 12
44%
Train Dreams
44% predicting on Dec 11
41%
Train Dreams
41% predicting on Dec 10
37%
Train Dreams
37% predicting on Dec 9
34%
Train Dreams
34% predicting on Dec 8
31%
Train Dreams
31% predicting on Dec 7
28%
Train Dreams
28% predicting on Dec 6
24%
Train Dreams
24% predicting on Dec 5
23%
Train Dreams
23% predicting on Dec 4
22%
Train Dreams
22% predicting on Dec 3
20%
Train Dreams
20% predicting on Dec 2
20%
Train Dreams
20% predicting on Dec 1
18%
Train Dreams
18% predicting on Nov 30
17%
Train Dreams
17% predicting on Nov 29
16%
Train Dreams
16% predicting on Nov 28
15%
Train Dreams
15% predicting on Nov 27
54%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
54% predicting on Dec 26
55%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
55% predicting on Dec 25
55%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
55% predicting on Dec 24
55%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
55% predicting on Dec 23
56%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
56% predicting on Dec 22
57%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
57% predicting on Dec 21
58%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
58% predicting on Dec 20
59%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
59% predicting on Dec 19
60%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
60% predicting on Dec 18
61%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
61% predicting on Dec 17
61%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
61% predicting on Dec 16
62%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
62% predicting on Dec 15
62%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
62% predicting on Dec 14
63%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
63% predicting on Dec 13
64%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
64% predicting on Dec 12
66%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
66% predicting on Dec 11
69%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
69% predicting on Dec 10
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Dec 9
77%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
77% predicting on Dec 8
79%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
79% predicting on Dec 7
83%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
83% predicting on Dec 6
84%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
84% predicting on Dec 5
85%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
85% predicting on Dec 4
85%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
85% predicting on Dec 3
85%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
85% predicting on Dec 2
86%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
86% predicting on Dec 1
86%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
86% predicting on Nov 30
87%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
87% predicting on Nov 29
88%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
88% predicting on Nov 28
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Nov 27
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 26
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 25
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 24
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 23
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 22
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 21
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 20
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 19
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 18
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 17
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 16
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 15
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 14
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 13
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 12
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 11
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 10
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 9
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Dec 8
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 7
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Dec 6
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 5
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 4
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Dec 3
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Dec 2
6%
No Other Choice
6% predicting on Dec 1
5%
No Other Choice
5% predicting on Nov 30
4%
No Other Choice
4% predicting on Nov 29
4%
No Other Choice
4% predicting on Nov 28
4%
No Other Choice
4% predicting on Nov 27
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Dec 26
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Dec 25
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Dec 24
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Dec 23
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Dec 22
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Dec 21
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Dec 20
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Dec 19
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Dec 18
5%
Wicked: For Good
5% predicting on Dec 17
5%
Wicked: For Good
5% predicting on Dec 16
6%
Wicked: For Good
6% predicting on Dec 15
6%
Wicked: For Good
6% predicting on Dec 14
7%
Wicked: For Good
7% predicting on Dec 13
8%
Wicked: For Good
8% predicting on Dec 12
9%
Wicked: For Good
9% predicting on Dec 11
10%
Wicked: For Good
10% predicting on Dec 10
12%
Wicked: For Good
12% predicting on Dec 9
14%
Wicked: For Good
14% predicting on Dec 8
15%
Wicked: For Good
15% predicting on Dec 7
16%
Wicked: For Good
16% predicting on Dec 6
18%
Wicked: For Good
18% predicting on Dec 5
19%
Wicked: For Good
19% predicting on Dec 4
20%
Wicked: For Good
20% predicting on Dec 3
21%
Wicked: For Good
21% predicting on Dec 2
22%
Wicked: For Good
22% predicting on Dec 1
24%
Wicked: For Good
24% predicting on Nov 30
25%
Wicked: For Good
25% predicting on Nov 29
27%
Wicked: For Good
27% predicting on Nov 28
29%
Wicked: For Good
29% predicting on Nov 27
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 26
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 25
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 24
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 23
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 22
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 21
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 20
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 19
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 18
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 17
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 16
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 15
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 14
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 13
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 12
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 11
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 10
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 9
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 8
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 7
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 6
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 5
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 4
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 3
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 2
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 1
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 30
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 29
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 28
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 27
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 26
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 25
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 24
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 23
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 22
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 21
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 20
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 19
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 18
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 17
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 16
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 15
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 14
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 13
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 12
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 11
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 10
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 9
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 8
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 7
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 6
2%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
2% predicting on Dec 5
2%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
2% predicting on Dec 4
2%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
2% predicting on Dec 3
2%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
2% predicting on Dec 2
2%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
2% predicting on Dec 1
2%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
2% predicting on Nov 30
2%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
2% predicting on Nov 29
2%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
2% predicting on Nov 28
2%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
2% predicting on Nov 27
100%97%89%87%56%54%7%3%1%1%