Award Expert

2026 WGA Predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 368 users

Updated: Nov 10, 6:33 PM
One Battle After Another
1

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson

WIN:86%
6%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
Hamnet
2

Hamnet

Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell

WIN:9%
9%
change over 30 days
NOM:96%
2%
change over 30 days
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
3

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Rian Johnson

WIN:0%
NOM:90%
5%
change over 30 days
Bugonia
4

Bugonia

Will Tracy

WIN:3%
2%
change over 30 days
NOM:85%
7%
change over 30 days
Wicked: For Good
5

Wicked: For Good

Winnie Holzman, Dana Fox

WIN:1%
NOM:48%
20%
change over 30 days
Frankenstein
6

Frankenstein

Guillermo del Toro

WIN:1%
NOM:40%
19%
change over 30 days
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
7

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Scott Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:13%
39%
change over 30 days
Train Dreams
8

Train Dreams

Greg Kwedar, Clint Bentley

WIN:0%
NOM:10%
6%
change over 30 days
No Other Choice
9

No Other Choice

Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar

WIN:0%
NOM:7%
The Life of Chuck
10

The Life of Chuck

Mike Flanagan

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
3%
change over 30 days
The Naked Gun
11

The Naked Gun

Dan Gregor, Doug Mand, Akiva Schaffer

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
The Smashing Machine
12

The Smashing Machine

Benny Safdie

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Ballad of a Small Player
13

Ballad of a Small Player

Rowan Joffé

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Kiss of the Spider Woman
14

Kiss of the Spider Woman

Bill Condon

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Nuremberg
15

Nuremberg

James Vanderbilt

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
16

Avatar: Fire and Ash

James Cameron, Rick Jaffa, Amanda Silver

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Christy
17

Christy

Mirrah Foulkes, David Michôd

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Hedda
18

Hedda

Nia DaCosta

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Superman
19

Superman

James Gunn

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Lost Bus
20

The Lost Bus

Brad Ingelsby, Paul Greengrass

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Long Walk
21

The Long Walk

JT Mollner

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie
22

Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie

Matt Johnson, Jay McCarrol

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Die My Love
23

Die My Love

Lynne Ramsay, Enda Walsh, Alice Birch

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Running Man
24

The Running Man

Michael Bacall, Edgar Wright

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Thunderbolts*
25

Thunderbolts*

Eric Pearson, Joanna Calo

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

One Battle After Another
Hamnet
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Bugonia
Wicked: For Good
Frankenstein
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Train Dreams
No Other Choice
The Life of Chuck
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 1099%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 10
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 9
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 8
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 7
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 6
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 5
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 4
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 3
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 2
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 1
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 31
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 30
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 29
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 28
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 27
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 26
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 25
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 24
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 23
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 22
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 21
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 20
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 19
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 18
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 17
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 16
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 15
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 14
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 13
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 12
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Nov 10
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Nov 9
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Nov 8
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Nov 7
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Nov 6
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Nov 5
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Nov 4
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Nov 3
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Nov 2
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Nov 1
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Oct 31
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Oct 30
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Oct 29
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Oct 28
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Oct 27
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Oct 26
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Oct 25
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Oct 24
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Oct 23
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Oct 22
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Oct 21
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Oct 20
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Oct 19
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Oct 18
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Oct 17
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Oct 16
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Oct 15
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Oct 14
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Oct 13
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Oct 12
90%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
90% predicting on Nov 10
90%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
90% predicting on Nov 9
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Nov 8
90%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
90% predicting on Nov 7
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Nov 6
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Nov 5
88%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
88% predicting on Nov 4
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Nov 3
88%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
88% predicting on Nov 2
88%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
88% predicting on Nov 1
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Oct 31
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Oct 30
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Oct 29
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Oct 28
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Oct 27
88%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
88% predicting on Oct 26
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Oct 25
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Oct 24
88%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
88% predicting on Oct 23
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Oct 22
89%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
89% predicting on Oct 21
88%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
88% predicting on Oct 20
87%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
87% predicting on Oct 19
86%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
86% predicting on Oct 18
86%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
86% predicting on Oct 17
86%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
86% predicting on Oct 16
86%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
86% predicting on Oct 15
86%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
86% predicting on Oct 14
87%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
87% predicting on Oct 13
85%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
85% predicting on Oct 12
85%
Bugonia
85% predicting on Nov 10
85%
Bugonia
85% predicting on Nov 9
85%
Bugonia
85% predicting on Nov 8
85%
Bugonia
85% predicting on Nov 7
84%
Bugonia
84% predicting on Nov 6
84%
Bugonia
84% predicting on Nov 5
84%
Bugonia
84% predicting on Nov 4
83%
Bugonia
83% predicting on Nov 3
83%
Bugonia
83% predicting on Nov 2
83%
Bugonia
83% predicting on Nov 1
82%
Bugonia
82% predicting on Oct 31
82%
Bugonia
82% predicting on Oct 30
81%
Bugonia
81% predicting on Oct 29
81%
Bugonia
81% predicting on Oct 28
81%
Bugonia
81% predicting on Oct 27
81%
Bugonia
81% predicting on Oct 26
82%
Bugonia
82% predicting on Oct 25
82%
Bugonia
82% predicting on Oct 24
81%
Bugonia
81% predicting on Oct 23
81%
Bugonia
81% predicting on Oct 22
82%
Bugonia
82% predicting on Oct 21
81%
Bugonia
81% predicting on Oct 20
80%
Bugonia
80% predicting on Oct 19
80%
Bugonia
80% predicting on Oct 18
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Oct 17
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Oct 16
78%
Bugonia
78% predicting on Oct 15
78%
Bugonia
78% predicting on Oct 14
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Oct 13
78%
Bugonia
78% predicting on Oct 12
48%
Wicked: For Good
48% predicting on Nov 10
47%
Wicked: For Good
47% predicting on Nov 9
46%
Wicked: For Good
46% predicting on Nov 8
45%
Wicked: For Good
45% predicting on Nov 7
44%
Wicked: For Good
44% predicting on Nov 6
44%
Wicked: For Good
44% predicting on Nov 5
43%
Wicked: For Good
43% predicting on Nov 4
43%
Wicked: For Good
43% predicting on Nov 3
42%
Wicked: For Good
42% predicting on Nov 2
42%
Wicked: For Good
42% predicting on Nov 1
41%
Wicked: For Good
41% predicting on Oct 31
40%
Wicked: For Good
40% predicting on Oct 30
40%
Wicked: For Good
40% predicting on Oct 29
40%
Wicked: For Good
40% predicting on Oct 28
38%
Wicked: For Good
38% predicting on Oct 27
36%
Wicked: For Good
36% predicting on Oct 26
36%
Wicked: For Good
36% predicting on Oct 25
35%
Wicked: For Good
35% predicting on Oct 24
34%
Wicked: For Good
34% predicting on Oct 23
33%
Wicked: For Good
33% predicting on Oct 22
33%
Wicked: For Good
33% predicting on Oct 21
33%
Wicked: For Good
33% predicting on Oct 20
33%
Wicked: For Good
33% predicting on Oct 19
33%
Wicked: For Good
33% predicting on Oct 18
31%
Wicked: For Good
31% predicting on Oct 17
29%
Wicked: For Good
29% predicting on Oct 16
28%
Wicked: For Good
28% predicting on Oct 15
28%
Wicked: For Good
28% predicting on Oct 14
28%
Wicked: For Good
28% predicting on Oct 13
28%
Wicked: For Good
28% predicting on Oct 12
39%
Frankenstein
39% predicting on Nov 10
38%
Frankenstein
38% predicting on Nov 9
36%
Frankenstein
36% predicting on Nov 8
36%
Frankenstein
36% predicting on Nov 7
35%
Frankenstein
35% predicting on Nov 6
35%
Frankenstein
35% predicting on Nov 5
34%
Frankenstein
34% predicting on Nov 4
34%
Frankenstein
34% predicting on Nov 3
33%
Frankenstein
33% predicting on Nov 2
32%
Frankenstein
32% predicting on Nov 1
32%
Frankenstein
32% predicting on Oct 31
30%
Frankenstein
30% predicting on Oct 30
27%
Frankenstein
27% predicting on Oct 29
26%
Frankenstein
26% predicting on Oct 28
26%
Frankenstein
26% predicting on Oct 27
25%
Frankenstein
25% predicting on Oct 26
22%
Frankenstein
22% predicting on Oct 25
22%
Frankenstein
22% predicting on Oct 24
23%
Frankenstein
23% predicting on Oct 23
22%
Frankenstein
22% predicting on Oct 22
22%
Frankenstein
22% predicting on Oct 21
21%
Frankenstein
21% predicting on Oct 20
22%
Frankenstein
22% predicting on Oct 19
21%
Frankenstein
21% predicting on Oct 18
21%
Frankenstein
21% predicting on Oct 17
22%
Frankenstein
22% predicting on Oct 16
22%
Frankenstein
22% predicting on Oct 15
23%
Frankenstein
23% predicting on Oct 14
22%
Frankenstein
22% predicting on Oct 13
21%
Frankenstein
21% predicting on Oct 12
13%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
13% predicting on Nov 10
14%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
14% predicting on Nov 9
15%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
15% predicting on Nov 8
17%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
17% predicting on Nov 7
18%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
18% predicting on Nov 6
18%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
18% predicting on Nov 5
20%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
20% predicting on Nov 4
20%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
20% predicting on Nov 3
22%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
22% predicting on Nov 2
22%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
22% predicting on Nov 1
24%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
24% predicting on Oct 31
26%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
26% predicting on Oct 30
28%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
28% predicting on Oct 29
30%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
30% predicting on Oct 28
32%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
32% predicting on Oct 27
36%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
36% predicting on Oct 26
38%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
38% predicting on Oct 25
39%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
39% predicting on Oct 24
41%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
41% predicting on Oct 23
42%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
42% predicting on Oct 22
43%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
43% predicting on Oct 21
44%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
44% predicting on Oct 20
43%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
43% predicting on Oct 19
44%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
44% predicting on Oct 18
46%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
46% predicting on Oct 17
48%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
48% predicting on Oct 16
49%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
49% predicting on Oct 15
50%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
50% predicting on Oct 14
51%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
51% predicting on Oct 13
52%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
52% predicting on Oct 12
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Nov 10
10%
Train Dreams
10% predicting on Nov 9
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Nov 8
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Nov 7
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Nov 6
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Nov 5
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Nov 4
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Nov 3
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Nov 2
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Nov 1
8%
Train Dreams
8% predicting on Oct 31
8%
Train Dreams
8% predicting on Oct 30
8%
Train Dreams
8% predicting on Oct 29
7%
Train Dreams
7% predicting on Oct 28
6%
Train Dreams
6% predicting on Oct 27
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Oct 26
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Oct 25
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Oct 24
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Oct 23
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Oct 22
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Oct 21
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Oct 20
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Oct 19
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Oct 18
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Oct 17
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Oct 16
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Oct 15
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Oct 14
3%
Train Dreams
3% predicting on Oct 13
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Oct 12
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Nov 10
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Nov 9
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Nov 8
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Nov 7
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Nov 6
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Nov 5
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Nov 4
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Nov 3
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Nov 2
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Nov 1
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 31
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 30
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 29
9%
No Other Choice
9% predicting on Oct 28
9%
No Other Choice
9% predicting on Oct 27
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 26
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 25
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 24
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 23
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 22
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 21
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 20
8%
No Other Choice
8% predicting on Oct 19
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 18
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 17
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 16
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 15
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 14
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 13
7%
No Other Choice
7% predicting on Oct 12
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 10
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 9
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 8
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Nov 7
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Nov 6
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Nov 5
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Nov 4
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Nov 3
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Nov 2
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Nov 1
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 31
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 30
4%
The Life of Chuck
4% predicting on Oct 29
4%
The Life of Chuck
4% predicting on Oct 28
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 27
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 26
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 25
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 24
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 23
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 22
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 21
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 20
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 19
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 18
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 17
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 16
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 15
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 14
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 13
5%
The Life of Chuck
5% predicting on Oct 12
99%96%90%85%48%39%13%9%7%2%