Award Expert

2026 WGA Predictions: Best Original Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 588 users

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Updated: Dec 26, 6:31 AM
Sinners
1

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

WIN:93%
5%
change over 30 days
NOM:100%
Marty Supreme
2

Marty Supreme

Josh Safdie, Ronald Bronstein

WIN:3%
3%
change over 30 days
NOM:97%
1%
change over 30 days
Jay Kelly
3

Jay Kelly

Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach

WIN:0%
NOM:79%
4%
change over 30 days
Weapons
4

Weapons

Zach Cregger

WIN:0%
NOM:73%
4%
change over 30 days
Sentimental Value
5

Sentimental Value

Joachim Trier, Eskil Vogt

WIN:3%
2%
change over 30 days
NOM:69%
6%
change over 30 days
Sorry, Baby
6

Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor

WIN:0%
NOM:38%
19%
change over 30 days
It Was Just an Accident
7

It Was Just an Accident

Jafar Panahi

WIN:1%
NOM:15%
8%
change over 30 days
Is This Thing On?
8

Is This Thing On?

Mark Chappell, Will Arnett, Bradley Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:7%
18%
change over 30 days
Blue Moon
9

Blue Moon

Robert Kaplow

WIN:0%
NOM:7%
5%
change over 30 days
A House of Dynamite
10

A House of Dynamite

Noah Oppenheim

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
12%
change over 30 days
The Testament of Ann Lee
11

The Testament of Ann Lee

Mona Fastvold, Brady Corbet

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
5%
change over 30 days
Rental Family
12

Rental Family

HIKARI, Stephen Blahut

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
13

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Mary Bronstein

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
1%
change over 30 days
The Secret Agent
14

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
After the Hunt
15

After the Hunt

Nora Garrett

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Materialists
16

Materialists

Celine Song

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Splitsville
17

Splitsville

Michael Angelo Covino, Kyle Marvin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Twinless
18

Twinless

James Sweeney

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
The Phoenician Scheme
19

The Phoenician Scheme

Wes Anderson

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
F1
20

F1

Ehren Kruger

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Black Bag
21

Black Bag

David Koepp

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Nouvelle Vague
22

Nouvelle Vague

Vincent Palmo Jr., Holly Gent, Laetitia Masson, Michèle Pétin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Anemone
23

Anemone

Daniel Day-Lewis, Ronan Day-Lewis

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Companion
24

Companion

Drew Hancock

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Ella McCay
25

Ella McCay

James L. Brooks

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Sinners
Marty Supreme
Jay Kelly
Weapons
Sentimental Value
Sorry, Baby
It Was Just an Accident
Is This Thing On?
Blue Moon
A House of Dynamite
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 13Dec 16Dec 19Dec 22Dec 26100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 26
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 25
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 24
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 23
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 22
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 21
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 20
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 19
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 18
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 17
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 16
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 15
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 14
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 13
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 12
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Dec 11
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 10
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 9
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 8
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 7
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 6
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 5
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 4
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 3
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 2
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 1
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 30
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 29
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 28
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 27
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 26
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 25
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 24
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 23
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 22
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 21
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 20
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 19
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 18
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 17
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 16
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 15
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 14
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 13
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 12
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 11
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 10
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 9
97%
Marty Supreme
97% predicting on Dec 8
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 7
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 6
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 5
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 4
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 3
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 2
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 1
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 30
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 29
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 28
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 27
79%
Jay Kelly
79% predicting on Dec 26
80%
Jay Kelly
80% predicting on Dec 25
81%
Jay Kelly
81% predicting on Dec 24
80%
Jay Kelly
80% predicting on Dec 23
81%
Jay Kelly
81% predicting on Dec 22
82%
Jay Kelly
82% predicting on Dec 21
82%
Jay Kelly
82% predicting on Dec 20
82%
Jay Kelly
82% predicting on Dec 19
82%
Jay Kelly
82% predicting on Dec 18
83%
Jay Kelly
83% predicting on Dec 17
83%
Jay Kelly
83% predicting on Dec 16
83%
Jay Kelly
83% predicting on Dec 15
84%
Jay Kelly
84% predicting on Dec 14
85%
Jay Kelly
85% predicting on Dec 13
85%
Jay Kelly
85% predicting on Dec 12
85%
Jay Kelly
85% predicting on Dec 11
86%
Jay Kelly
86% predicting on Dec 10
86%
Jay Kelly
86% predicting on Dec 9
86%
Jay Kelly
86% predicting on Dec 8
86%
Jay Kelly
86% predicting on Dec 7
86%
Jay Kelly
86% predicting on Dec 6
85%
Jay Kelly
85% predicting on Dec 5
85%
Jay Kelly
85% predicting on Dec 4
84%
Jay Kelly
84% predicting on Dec 3
85%
Jay Kelly
85% predicting on Dec 2
85%
Jay Kelly
85% predicting on Dec 1
86%
Jay Kelly
86% predicting on Nov 30
85%
Jay Kelly
85% predicting on Nov 29
84%
Jay Kelly
84% predicting on Nov 28
84%
Jay Kelly
84% predicting on Nov 27
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 26
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 25
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 24
74%
Weapons
74% predicting on Dec 23
74%
Weapons
74% predicting on Dec 22
75%
Weapons
75% predicting on Dec 21
75%
Weapons
75% predicting on Dec 20
74%
Weapons
74% predicting on Dec 19
74%
Weapons
74% predicting on Dec 18
74%
Weapons
74% predicting on Dec 17
74%
Weapons
74% predicting on Dec 16
74%
Weapons
74% predicting on Dec 15
74%
Weapons
74% predicting on Dec 14
75%
Weapons
75% predicting on Dec 13
74%
Weapons
74% predicting on Dec 12
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 11
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 10
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 9
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 8
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 7
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 6
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 5
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 4
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 3
74%
Weapons
74% predicting on Dec 2
73%
Weapons
73% predicting on Dec 1
72%
Weapons
72% predicting on Nov 30
72%
Weapons
72% predicting on Nov 29
71%
Weapons
71% predicting on Nov 28
70%
Weapons
70% predicting on Nov 27
69%
Sentimental Value
69% predicting on Dec 26
68%
Sentimental Value
68% predicting on Dec 25
68%
Sentimental Value
68% predicting on Dec 24
69%
Sentimental Value
69% predicting on Dec 23
68%
Sentimental Value
68% predicting on Dec 22
68%
Sentimental Value
68% predicting on Dec 21
68%
Sentimental Value
68% predicting on Dec 20
67%
Sentimental Value
67% predicting on Dec 19
68%
Sentimental Value
68% predicting on Dec 18
69%
Sentimental Value
69% predicting on Dec 17
68%
Sentimental Value
68% predicting on Dec 16
68%
Sentimental Value
68% predicting on Dec 15
67%
Sentimental Value
67% predicting on Dec 14
67%
Sentimental Value
67% predicting on Dec 13
67%
Sentimental Value
67% predicting on Dec 12
67%
Sentimental Value
67% predicting on Dec 11
66%
Sentimental Value
66% predicting on Dec 10
66%
Sentimental Value
66% predicting on Dec 9
65%
Sentimental Value
65% predicting on Dec 8
65%
Sentimental Value
65% predicting on Dec 7
64%
Sentimental Value
64% predicting on Dec 6
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Dec 5
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Dec 4
64%
Sentimental Value
64% predicting on Dec 3
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Dec 2
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Dec 1
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Nov 30
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Nov 29
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Nov 28
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Nov 27
37%
Sorry, Baby
37% predicting on Dec 26
37%
Sorry, Baby
37% predicting on Dec 25
36%
Sorry, Baby
36% predicting on Dec 24
35%
Sorry, Baby
35% predicting on Dec 23
34%
Sorry, Baby
34% predicting on Dec 22
34%
Sorry, Baby
34% predicting on Dec 21
33%
Sorry, Baby
33% predicting on Dec 20
34%
Sorry, Baby
34% predicting on Dec 19
33%
Sorry, Baby
33% predicting on Dec 18
33%
Sorry, Baby
33% predicting on Dec 17
33%
Sorry, Baby
33% predicting on Dec 16
32%
Sorry, Baby
32% predicting on Dec 15
32%
Sorry, Baby
32% predicting on Dec 14
30%
Sorry, Baby
30% predicting on Dec 13
30%
Sorry, Baby
30% predicting on Dec 12
30%
Sorry, Baby
30% predicting on Dec 11
28%
Sorry, Baby
28% predicting on Dec 10
25%
Sorry, Baby
25% predicting on Dec 9
24%
Sorry, Baby
24% predicting on Dec 8
24%
Sorry, Baby
24% predicting on Dec 7
23%
Sorry, Baby
23% predicting on Dec 6
22%
Sorry, Baby
22% predicting on Dec 5
20%
Sorry, Baby
20% predicting on Dec 4
20%
Sorry, Baby
20% predicting on Dec 3
20%
Sorry, Baby
20% predicting on Dec 2
19%
Sorry, Baby
19% predicting on Dec 1
19%
Sorry, Baby
19% predicting on Nov 30
18%
Sorry, Baby
18% predicting on Nov 29
19%
Sorry, Baby
19% predicting on Nov 28
19%
Sorry, Baby
19% predicting on Nov 27
16%
It Was Just an Accident
16% predicting on Dec 26
15%
It Was Just an Accident
15% predicting on Dec 25
15%
It Was Just an Accident
15% predicting on Dec 24
15%
It Was Just an Accident
15% predicting on Dec 23
14%
It Was Just an Accident
14% predicting on Dec 22
14%
It Was Just an Accident
14% predicting on Dec 21
14%
It Was Just an Accident
14% predicting on Dec 20
13%
It Was Just an Accident
13% predicting on Dec 19
13%
It Was Just an Accident
13% predicting on Dec 18
13%
It Was Just an Accident
13% predicting on Dec 17
12%
It Was Just an Accident
12% predicting on Dec 16
12%
It Was Just an Accident
12% predicting on Dec 15
12%
It Was Just an Accident
12% predicting on Dec 14
11%
It Was Just an Accident
11% predicting on Dec 13
11%
It Was Just an Accident
11% predicting on Dec 12
12%
It Was Just an Accident
12% predicting on Dec 11
11%
It Was Just an Accident
11% predicting on Dec 10
10%
It Was Just an Accident
10% predicting on Dec 9
10%
It Was Just an Accident
10% predicting on Dec 8
9%
It Was Just an Accident
9% predicting on Dec 7
9%
It Was Just an Accident
9% predicting on Dec 6
9%
It Was Just an Accident
9% predicting on Dec 5
9%
It Was Just an Accident
9% predicting on Dec 4
9%
It Was Just an Accident
9% predicting on Dec 3
8%
It Was Just an Accident
8% predicting on Dec 2
7%
It Was Just an Accident
7% predicting on Dec 1
8%
It Was Just an Accident
8% predicting on Nov 30
8%
It Was Just an Accident
8% predicting on Nov 29
7%
It Was Just an Accident
7% predicting on Nov 28
7%
It Was Just an Accident
7% predicting on Nov 27
7%
Is This Thing On?
7% predicting on Dec 26
8%
Is This Thing On?
8% predicting on Dec 25
8%
Is This Thing On?
8% predicting on Dec 24
9%
Is This Thing On?
9% predicting on Dec 23
10%
Is This Thing On?
10% predicting on Dec 22
11%
Is This Thing On?
11% predicting on Dec 21
11%
Is This Thing On?
11% predicting on Dec 20
11%
Is This Thing On?
11% predicting on Dec 19
11%
Is This Thing On?
11% predicting on Dec 18
11%
Is This Thing On?
11% predicting on Dec 17
12%
Is This Thing On?
12% predicting on Dec 16
12%
Is This Thing On?
12% predicting on Dec 15
13%
Is This Thing On?
13% predicting on Dec 14
14%
Is This Thing On?
14% predicting on Dec 13
14%
Is This Thing On?
14% predicting on Dec 12
15%
Is This Thing On?
15% predicting on Dec 11
16%
Is This Thing On?
16% predicting on Dec 10
18%
Is This Thing On?
18% predicting on Dec 9
20%
Is This Thing On?
20% predicting on Dec 8
21%
Is This Thing On?
21% predicting on Dec 7
23%
Is This Thing On?
23% predicting on Dec 6
24%
Is This Thing On?
24% predicting on Dec 5
24%
Is This Thing On?
24% predicting on Dec 4
24%
Is This Thing On?
24% predicting on Dec 3
25%
Is This Thing On?
25% predicting on Dec 2
25%
Is This Thing On?
25% predicting on Dec 1
25%
Is This Thing On?
25% predicting on Nov 30
25%
Is This Thing On?
25% predicting on Nov 29
25%
Is This Thing On?
25% predicting on Nov 28
25%
Is This Thing On?
25% predicting on Nov 27
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 26
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 25
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 24
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 23
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 22
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 21
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 20
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 19
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 18
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 17
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 16
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 15
5%
Blue Moon
5% predicting on Dec 14
5%
Blue Moon
5% predicting on Dec 13
4%
Blue Moon
4% predicting on Dec 12
4%
Blue Moon
4% predicting on Dec 11
4%
Blue Moon
4% predicting on Dec 10
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Dec 9
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Dec 8
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Dec 7
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Dec 6
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Dec 5
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Dec 4
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Dec 3
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Dec 2
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Dec 1
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Nov 30
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Nov 29
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Nov 28
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Nov 27
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 26
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 25
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 24
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 23
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 22
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Dec 21
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 20
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 19
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 18
2%
A House of Dynamite
2% predicting on Dec 17
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Dec 16
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Dec 15
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Dec 14
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Dec 13
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Dec 12
3%
A House of Dynamite
3% predicting on Dec 11
5%
A House of Dynamite
5% predicting on Dec 10
5%
A House of Dynamite
5% predicting on Dec 9
6%
A House of Dynamite
6% predicting on Dec 8
6%
A House of Dynamite
6% predicting on Dec 7
7%
A House of Dynamite
7% predicting on Dec 6
8%
A House of Dynamite
8% predicting on Dec 5
7%
A House of Dynamite
7% predicting on Dec 4
8%
A House of Dynamite
8% predicting on Dec 3
9%
A House of Dynamite
9% predicting on Dec 2
10%
A House of Dynamite
10% predicting on Dec 1
11%
A House of Dynamite
11% predicting on Nov 30
12%
A House of Dynamite
12% predicting on Nov 29
13%
A House of Dynamite
13% predicting on Nov 28
14%
A House of Dynamite
14% predicting on Nov 27
100%97%79%73%69%37%16%7%7%2%