Award Expert

2026 WGA Predictions: Best Original Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 384 users

Updated: Nov 10, 6:33 PM
Sinners
1

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

WIN:84%
NOM:99%
Marty Supreme
2

Marty Supreme

Josh Safdie, Ronald Bronstein

WIN:7%
NOM:96%
4%
change over 30 days
Jay Kelly
3

Jay Kelly

Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach

WIN:0%
NOM:79%
10%
change over 30 days
Sentimental Value
4

Sentimental Value

Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier

WIN:7%
2%
change over 30 days
NOM:64%
Weapons
5

Weapons

Zach Cregger

WIN:0%
NOM:59%
22%
change over 30 days
A House of Dynamite
6

A House of Dynamite

Noah Oppenheim

WIN:0%
NOM:39%
16%
change over 30 days
Is This Thing On?
7

Is This Thing On?

Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:22%
6%
change over 30 days
Sorry, Baby
8

Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor

WIN:0%
NOM:16%
4%
change over 30 days
It Was Just an Accident
9

It Was Just an Accident

Jafar Panahi

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
1%
change over 30 days
Rental Family
10

Rental Family

HIKARI, Stephen Blahut

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
18%
change over 30 days
The Testament of Ann Lee
11

The Testament of Ann Lee

Mona Fastvold, Brady Corbet

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
12

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Mary Bronstein

WIN:0%
NOM:4%
2%
change over 30 days
Materialists
13

Materialists

Celine Song

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
After the Hunt
14

After the Hunt

Nora Garrett

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
1%
change over 30 days
The Secret Agent
15

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:1%
NOM:1%
Splitsville
16

Splitsville

Michael Angelo Covino, Kyle Marvin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Blue Moon
17

Blue Moon

Robert Kaplow

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Ella McCay
18

Ella McCay

James L. Brooks

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Black Bag
19

Black Bag

David Koepp

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
The Phoenician Scheme
20

The Phoenician Scheme

Wes Anderson

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
F1
21

F1

Ehren Kruger

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Twinless
22

Twinless

James Sweeney

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Roofman
23

Roofman

Derek Cianfrance, Kirt Gunn

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Eddington
24

Eddington

Ari Aster

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Nouvelle Vague
25

Nouvelle Vague

Vincent Palmo Jr., Holly Gent, Laetitia Masson, Michèle Pétin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Sinners
Marty Supreme
Jay Kelly
Sentimental Value
Weapons
A House of Dynamite
Is This Thing On?
Sorry, Baby
It Was Just an Accident
Rental Family
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 1099%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 10
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 9
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 8
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 7
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 6
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 5
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 4
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 3
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 2
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Nov 1
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Oct 31
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Oct 30
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 29
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 28
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 27
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 26
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 25
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 24
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 23
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 22
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 21
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 20
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 19
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Oct 18
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Oct 17
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Oct 16
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Oct 15
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Oct 14
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Oct 13
100%
Sinners
100% predicting on Oct 12
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 10
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 9
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 8
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 7
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 6
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 5
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 4
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 3
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 2
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 1
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Oct 31
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Oct 30
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Oct 29
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Oct 28
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Oct 27
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Oct 26
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Oct 25
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Oct 24
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Oct 23
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Oct 22
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Oct 21
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Oct 20
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Oct 19
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 18
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 17
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 16
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 15
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 14
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 13
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 12
79%
Jay Kelly
79% predicting on Nov 10
78%
Jay Kelly
78% predicting on Nov 9
77%
Jay Kelly
77% predicting on Nov 8
78%
Jay Kelly
78% predicting on Nov 7
77%
Jay Kelly
77% predicting on Nov 6
78%
Jay Kelly
78% predicting on Nov 5
78%
Jay Kelly
78% predicting on Nov 4
78%
Jay Kelly
78% predicting on Nov 3
78%
Jay Kelly
78% predicting on Nov 2
77%
Jay Kelly
77% predicting on Nov 1
77%
Jay Kelly
77% predicting on Oct 31
77%
Jay Kelly
77% predicting on Oct 30
76%
Jay Kelly
76% predicting on Oct 29
75%
Jay Kelly
75% predicting on Oct 28
76%
Jay Kelly
76% predicting on Oct 27
75%
Jay Kelly
75% predicting on Oct 26
74%
Jay Kelly
74% predicting on Oct 25
74%
Jay Kelly
74% predicting on Oct 24
74%
Jay Kelly
74% predicting on Oct 23
74%
Jay Kelly
74% predicting on Oct 22
73%
Jay Kelly
73% predicting on Oct 21
71%
Jay Kelly
71% predicting on Oct 20
70%
Jay Kelly
70% predicting on Oct 19
70%
Jay Kelly
70% predicting on Oct 18
70%
Jay Kelly
70% predicting on Oct 17
70%
Jay Kelly
70% predicting on Oct 16
70%
Jay Kelly
70% predicting on Oct 15
68%
Jay Kelly
68% predicting on Oct 14
69%
Jay Kelly
69% predicting on Oct 13
69%
Jay Kelly
69% predicting on Oct 12
65%
Sentimental Value
65% predicting on Nov 10
64%
Sentimental Value
64% predicting on Nov 9
65%
Sentimental Value
65% predicting on Nov 8
65%
Sentimental Value
65% predicting on Nov 7
66%
Sentimental Value
66% predicting on Nov 6
66%
Sentimental Value
66% predicting on Nov 5
65%
Sentimental Value
65% predicting on Nov 4
65%
Sentimental Value
65% predicting on Nov 3
65%
Sentimental Value
65% predicting on Nov 2
64%
Sentimental Value
64% predicting on Nov 1
64%
Sentimental Value
64% predicting on Oct 31
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Oct 30
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Oct 29
64%
Sentimental Value
64% predicting on Oct 28
64%
Sentimental Value
64% predicting on Oct 27
64%
Sentimental Value
64% predicting on Oct 26
65%
Sentimental Value
65% predicting on Oct 25
66%
Sentimental Value
66% predicting on Oct 24
65%
Sentimental Value
65% predicting on Oct 23
65%
Sentimental Value
65% predicting on Oct 22
65%
Sentimental Value
65% predicting on Oct 21
64%
Sentimental Value
64% predicting on Oct 20
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Oct 19
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Oct 18
64%
Sentimental Value
64% predicting on Oct 17
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Oct 16
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Oct 15
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Oct 14
64%
Sentimental Value
64% predicting on Oct 13
63%
Sentimental Value
63% predicting on Oct 12
59%
Weapons
59% predicting on Nov 10
58%
Weapons
58% predicting on Nov 9
56%
Weapons
56% predicting on Nov 8
55%
Weapons
55% predicting on Nov 7
54%
Weapons
54% predicting on Nov 6
52%
Weapons
52% predicting on Nov 5
51%
Weapons
51% predicting on Nov 4
50%
Weapons
50% predicting on Nov 3
49%
Weapons
49% predicting on Nov 2
48%
Weapons
48% predicting on Nov 1
48%
Weapons
48% predicting on Oct 31
47%
Weapons
47% predicting on Oct 30
46%
Weapons
46% predicting on Oct 29
46%
Weapons
46% predicting on Oct 28
45%
Weapons
45% predicting on Oct 27
43%
Weapons
43% predicting on Oct 26
42%
Weapons
42% predicting on Oct 25
41%
Weapons
41% predicting on Oct 24
40%
Weapons
40% predicting on Oct 23
40%
Weapons
40% predicting on Oct 22
40%
Weapons
40% predicting on Oct 21
39%
Weapons
39% predicting on Oct 20
39%
Weapons
39% predicting on Oct 19
39%
Weapons
39% predicting on Oct 18
40%
Weapons
40% predicting on Oct 17
39%
Weapons
39% predicting on Oct 16
39%
Weapons
39% predicting on Oct 15
39%
Weapons
39% predicting on Oct 14
38%
Weapons
38% predicting on Oct 13
37%
Weapons
37% predicting on Oct 12
39%
A House of Dynamite
39% predicting on Nov 10
40%
A House of Dynamite
40% predicting on Nov 9
41%
A House of Dynamite
41% predicting on Nov 8
43%
A House of Dynamite
43% predicting on Nov 7
44%
A House of Dynamite
44% predicting on Nov 6
45%
A House of Dynamite
45% predicting on Nov 5
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Nov 4
48%
A House of Dynamite
48% predicting on Nov 3
50%
A House of Dynamite
50% predicting on Nov 2
51%
A House of Dynamite
51% predicting on Nov 1
50%
A House of Dynamite
50% predicting on Oct 31
52%
A House of Dynamite
52% predicting on Oct 30
53%
A House of Dynamite
53% predicting on Oct 29
53%
A House of Dynamite
53% predicting on Oct 28
53%
A House of Dynamite
53% predicting on Oct 27
55%
A House of Dynamite
55% predicting on Oct 26
55%
A House of Dynamite
55% predicting on Oct 25
56%
A House of Dynamite
56% predicting on Oct 24
57%
A House of Dynamite
57% predicting on Oct 23
58%
A House of Dynamite
58% predicting on Oct 22
58%
A House of Dynamite
58% predicting on Oct 21
57%
A House of Dynamite
57% predicting on Oct 20
57%
A House of Dynamite
57% predicting on Oct 19
57%
A House of Dynamite
57% predicting on Oct 18
57%
A House of Dynamite
57% predicting on Oct 17
57%
A House of Dynamite
57% predicting on Oct 16
56%
A House of Dynamite
56% predicting on Oct 15
57%
A House of Dynamite
57% predicting on Oct 14
56%
A House of Dynamite
56% predicting on Oct 13
55%
A House of Dynamite
55% predicting on Oct 12
22%
Is This Thing On?
22% predicting on Nov 10
21%
Is This Thing On?
21% predicting on Nov 9
21%
Is This Thing On?
21% predicting on Nov 8
21%
Is This Thing On?
21% predicting on Nov 7
19%
Is This Thing On?
19% predicting on Nov 6
19%
Is This Thing On?
19% predicting on Nov 5
19%
Is This Thing On?
19% predicting on Nov 4
19%
Is This Thing On?
19% predicting on Nov 3
17%
Is This Thing On?
17% predicting on Nov 2
18%
Is This Thing On?
18% predicting on Nov 1
18%
Is This Thing On?
18% predicting on Oct 31
18%
Is This Thing On?
18% predicting on Oct 30
19%
Is This Thing On?
19% predicting on Oct 29
18%
Is This Thing On?
18% predicting on Oct 28
18%
Is This Thing On?
18% predicting on Oct 27
17%
Is This Thing On?
17% predicting on Oct 26
16%
Is This Thing On?
16% predicting on Oct 25
16%
Is This Thing On?
16% predicting on Oct 24
16%
Is This Thing On?
16% predicting on Oct 23
17%
Is This Thing On?
17% predicting on Oct 22
17%
Is This Thing On?
17% predicting on Oct 21
17%
Is This Thing On?
17% predicting on Oct 20
17%
Is This Thing On?
17% predicting on Oct 19
17%
Is This Thing On?
17% predicting on Oct 18
17%
Is This Thing On?
17% predicting on Oct 17
16%
Is This Thing On?
16% predicting on Oct 16
17%
Is This Thing On?
17% predicting on Oct 15
18%
Is This Thing On?
18% predicting on Oct 14
17%
Is This Thing On?
17% predicting on Oct 13
16%
Is This Thing On?
16% predicting on Oct 12
17%
Sorry, Baby
17% predicting on Nov 10
17%
Sorry, Baby
17% predicting on Nov 9
16%
Sorry, Baby
16% predicting on Nov 8
15%
Sorry, Baby
15% predicting on Nov 7
16%
Sorry, Baby
16% predicting on Nov 6
16%
Sorry, Baby
16% predicting on Nov 5
16%
Sorry, Baby
16% predicting on Nov 4
16%
Sorry, Baby
16% predicting on Nov 3
15%
Sorry, Baby
15% predicting on Nov 2
16%
Sorry, Baby
16% predicting on Nov 1
16%
Sorry, Baby
16% predicting on Oct 31
16%
Sorry, Baby
16% predicting on Oct 30
15%
Sorry, Baby
15% predicting on Oct 29
15%
Sorry, Baby
15% predicting on Oct 28
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Oct 27
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Oct 26
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Oct 25
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Oct 24
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Oct 23
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Oct 22
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Oct 21
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Oct 20
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Oct 19
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Oct 18
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Oct 17
12%
Sorry, Baby
12% predicting on Oct 16
12%
Sorry, Baby
12% predicting on Oct 15
12%
Sorry, Baby
12% predicting on Oct 14
12%
Sorry, Baby
12% predicting on Oct 13
12%
Sorry, Baby
12% predicting on Oct 12
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Nov 10
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Nov 9
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Nov 8
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Nov 7
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Nov 6
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Nov 5
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Nov 4
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Nov 3
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Nov 2
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Nov 1
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 31
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 30
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 29
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 28
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 27
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 26
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Oct 25
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 24
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 23
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 22
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Oct 21
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Oct 20
5%
It Was Just an Accident
5% predicting on Oct 19
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 18
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 17
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 16
4%
It Was Just an Accident
4% predicting on Oct 15
3%
It Was Just an Accident
3% predicting on Oct 14
3%
It Was Just an Accident
3% predicting on Oct 13
3%
It Was Just an Accident
3% predicting on Oct 12
3%
Rental Family
3% predicting on Nov 10
3%
Rental Family
3% predicting on Nov 9
3%
Rental Family
3% predicting on Nov 8
4%
Rental Family
4% predicting on Nov 7
4%
Rental Family
4% predicting on Nov 6
4%
Rental Family
4% predicting on Nov 5
4%
Rental Family
4% predicting on Nov 4
4%
Rental Family
4% predicting on Nov 3
4%
Rental Family
4% predicting on Nov 2
5%
Rental Family
5% predicting on Nov 1
5%
Rental Family
5% predicting on Oct 31
5%
Rental Family
5% predicting on Oct 30
6%
Rental Family
6% predicting on Oct 29
7%
Rental Family
7% predicting on Oct 28
7%
Rental Family
7% predicting on Oct 27
8%
Rental Family
8% predicting on Oct 26
9%
Rental Family
9% predicting on Oct 25
9%
Rental Family
9% predicting on Oct 24
10%
Rental Family
10% predicting on Oct 23
10%
Rental Family
10% predicting on Oct 22
11%
Rental Family
11% predicting on Oct 21
12%
Rental Family
12% predicting on Oct 20
13%
Rental Family
13% predicting on Oct 19
13%
Rental Family
13% predicting on Oct 18
14%
Rental Family
14% predicting on Oct 17
15%
Rental Family
15% predicting on Oct 16
16%
Rental Family
16% predicting on Oct 15
17%
Rental Family
17% predicting on Oct 14
20%
Rental Family
20% predicting on Oct 13
22%
Rental Family
22% predicting on Oct 12
99%96%79%65%59%39%22%17%5%3%