Award Expert

2026 BAFTA Predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 704 users

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Updated: Dec 26, 10:31 AM
Hamnet
1

Hamnet

Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell

WIN:79%
NOM:99%
One Battle After Another
2

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson

WIN:19%
2%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
Bugonia
3

Bugonia

Will Tracy

WIN:1%
NOM:92%
2%
change over 30 days
No Other Choice
4

No Other Choice

Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar

WIN:0%
NOM:84%
2%
change over 30 days
Frankenstein
5

Frankenstein

Guillermo del Toro

WIN:0%
NOM:76%
13%
change over 30 days
Train Dreams
6

Train Dreams

Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar

WIN:0%
NOM:25%
13%
change over 30 days
Pillion
7

Pillion

Harry Lighton

WIN:0%
NOM:9%
8%
change over 30 days
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
8

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Rian Johnson

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
27%
change over 30 days
The Ballad of Wallis Island
9

The Ballad of Wallis Island

Tom Basden, Tim Key

WIN:0%
NOM:4%
Die My Love
10

Die My Love

Enda Walsh, Lynne Ramsay, Alice Birch

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
2%
change over 30 days
Wicked: For Good
11

Wicked: For Good

Winnie Holzman, Dana Fox

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
1%
change over 30 days
I Swear
12

I Swear

Kirk Jones

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
3%
change over 30 days
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
13

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Scott Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Nuremberg
14

Nuremberg

James Vanderbilt

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Hedda
15

Hedda

Nia DaCosta

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Life of Chuck
16

The Life of Chuck

Mike Flanagan

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Ballad of a Small Player
17

Ballad of a Small Player

Rowan Joffé

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
28 Years Later
18

28 Years Later

Alex Garland

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Roses
19

The Roses

Tony McNamara

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Long Walk
20

The Long Walk

JT Mollner

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Christy
21

Christy

David Michôd, Mirrah Foulkes

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The History of Sound
22

The History of Sound

Ben Shattuck

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Thursday Murder Club
23

The Thursday Murder Club

Katy Brand, Suzanne Heathcote

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Materialists
24

Materialists

Celine Song

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Wizard of the Kremlin
25

The Wizard of the Kremlin

Olivier Assayas, Emmanuel Carrère

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Hamnet
One Battle After Another
Bugonia
No Other Choice
Frankenstein
Train Dreams
Pillion
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
The Ballad of Wallis Island
Die My Love
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 13Dec 16Dec 19Dec 22Dec 2699%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 26
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 25
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 24
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 23
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 22
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 21
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 20
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 19
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 18
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 17
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 16
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 15
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 14
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 13
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 12
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 11
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 10
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 9
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 8
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 7
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 6
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 5
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 4
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 3
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 2
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Dec 1
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 30
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 29
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 28
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 27
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 26
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 25
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 24
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 23
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 22
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 21
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 20
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 19
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 18
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 17
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 16
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 15
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 14
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 13
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 12
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 11
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 10
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Dec 9
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Dec 8
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Dec 7
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Dec 6
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Dec 5
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Dec 4
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Dec 3
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Dec 2
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Dec 1
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Nov 30
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Nov 29
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Nov 28
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Nov 27
92%
Bugonia
92% predicting on Dec 26
92%
Bugonia
92% predicting on Dec 25
92%
Bugonia
92% predicting on Dec 24
92%
Bugonia
92% predicting on Dec 23
92%
Bugonia
92% predicting on Dec 22
92%
Bugonia
92% predicting on Dec 21
92%
Bugonia
92% predicting on Dec 20
92%
Bugonia
92% predicting on Dec 19
92%
Bugonia
92% predicting on Dec 18
91%
Bugonia
91% predicting on Dec 17
91%
Bugonia
91% predicting on Dec 16
91%
Bugonia
91% predicting on Dec 15
91%
Bugonia
91% predicting on Dec 14
91%
Bugonia
91% predicting on Dec 13
91%
Bugonia
91% predicting on Dec 12
91%
Bugonia
91% predicting on Dec 11
90%
Bugonia
90% predicting on Dec 10
90%
Bugonia
90% predicting on Dec 9
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Dec 8
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Dec 7
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Dec 6
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Dec 5
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Dec 4
90%
Bugonia
90% predicting on Dec 3
91%
Bugonia
91% predicting on Dec 2
91%
Bugonia
91% predicting on Dec 1
90%
Bugonia
90% predicting on Nov 30
90%
Bugonia
90% predicting on Nov 29
90%
Bugonia
90% predicting on Nov 28
90%
Bugonia
90% predicting on Nov 27
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Dec 26
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Dec 25
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Dec 24
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Dec 23
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Dec 22
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Dec 21
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Dec 20
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Dec 19
85%
No Other Choice
85% predicting on Dec 18
85%
No Other Choice
85% predicting on Dec 17
85%
No Other Choice
85% predicting on Dec 16
86%
No Other Choice
86% predicting on Dec 15
86%
No Other Choice
86% predicting on Dec 14
86%
No Other Choice
86% predicting on Dec 13
85%
No Other Choice
85% predicting on Dec 12
86%
No Other Choice
86% predicting on Dec 11
85%
No Other Choice
85% predicting on Dec 10
85%
No Other Choice
85% predicting on Dec 9
85%
No Other Choice
85% predicting on Dec 8
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Dec 7
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Dec 6
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Dec 5
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Dec 4
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Dec 3
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Dec 2
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Dec 1
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Nov 30
82%
No Other Choice
82% predicting on Nov 29
82%
No Other Choice
82% predicting on Nov 28
81%
No Other Choice
81% predicting on Nov 27
76%
Frankenstein
76% predicting on Dec 26
76%
Frankenstein
76% predicting on Dec 25
76%
Frankenstein
76% predicting on Dec 24
76%
Frankenstein
76% predicting on Dec 23
76%
Frankenstein
76% predicting on Dec 22
77%
Frankenstein
77% predicting on Dec 21
76%
Frankenstein
76% predicting on Dec 20
76%
Frankenstein
76% predicting on Dec 19
76%
Frankenstein
76% predicting on Dec 18
75%
Frankenstein
75% predicting on Dec 17
76%
Frankenstein
76% predicting on Dec 16
76%
Frankenstein
76% predicting on Dec 15
75%
Frankenstein
75% predicting on Dec 14
75%
Frankenstein
75% predicting on Dec 13
75%
Frankenstein
75% predicting on Dec 12
74%
Frankenstein
74% predicting on Dec 11
74%
Frankenstein
74% predicting on Dec 10
74%
Frankenstein
74% predicting on Dec 9
73%
Frankenstein
73% predicting on Dec 8
73%
Frankenstein
73% predicting on Dec 7
72%
Frankenstein
72% predicting on Dec 6
71%
Frankenstein
71% predicting on Dec 5
70%
Frankenstein
70% predicting on Dec 4
71%
Frankenstein
71% predicting on Dec 3
70%
Frankenstein
70% predicting on Dec 2
69%
Frankenstein
69% predicting on Dec 1
69%
Frankenstein
69% predicting on Nov 30
67%
Frankenstein
67% predicting on Nov 29
66%
Frankenstein
66% predicting on Nov 28
63%
Frankenstein
63% predicting on Nov 27
25%
Train Dreams
25% predicting on Dec 26
24%
Train Dreams
24% predicting on Dec 25
24%
Train Dreams
24% predicting on Dec 24
24%
Train Dreams
24% predicting on Dec 23
23%
Train Dreams
23% predicting on Dec 22
23%
Train Dreams
23% predicting on Dec 21
23%
Train Dreams
23% predicting on Dec 20
23%
Train Dreams
23% predicting on Dec 19
23%
Train Dreams
23% predicting on Dec 18
23%
Train Dreams
23% predicting on Dec 17
23%
Train Dreams
23% predicting on Dec 16
23%
Train Dreams
23% predicting on Dec 15
22%
Train Dreams
22% predicting on Dec 14
21%
Train Dreams
21% predicting on Dec 13
21%
Train Dreams
21% predicting on Dec 12
20%
Train Dreams
20% predicting on Dec 11
20%
Train Dreams
20% predicting on Dec 10
19%
Train Dreams
19% predicting on Dec 9
18%
Train Dreams
18% predicting on Dec 8
16%
Train Dreams
16% predicting on Dec 7
16%
Train Dreams
16% predicting on Dec 6
15%
Train Dreams
15% predicting on Dec 5
15%
Train Dreams
15% predicting on Dec 4
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Dec 3
14%
Train Dreams
14% predicting on Dec 2
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Dec 1
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 30
12%
Train Dreams
12% predicting on Nov 29
12%
Train Dreams
12% predicting on Nov 28
12%
Train Dreams
12% predicting on Nov 27
9%
Pillion
9% predicting on Dec 26
9%
Pillion
9% predicting on Dec 25
9%
Pillion
9% predicting on Dec 24
9%
Pillion
9% predicting on Dec 23
8%
Pillion
8% predicting on Dec 22
8%
Pillion
8% predicting on Dec 21
8%
Pillion
8% predicting on Dec 20
8%
Pillion
8% predicting on Dec 19
7%
Pillion
7% predicting on Dec 18
7%
Pillion
7% predicting on Dec 17
7%
Pillion
7% predicting on Dec 16
6%
Pillion
6% predicting on Dec 15
6%
Pillion
6% predicting on Dec 14
6%
Pillion
6% predicting on Dec 13
6%
Pillion
6% predicting on Dec 12
6%
Pillion
6% predicting on Dec 11
5%
Pillion
5% predicting on Dec 10
5%
Pillion
5% predicting on Dec 9
5%
Pillion
5% predicting on Dec 8
4%
Pillion
4% predicting on Dec 7
4%
Pillion
4% predicting on Dec 6
4%
Pillion
4% predicting on Dec 5
4%
Pillion
4% predicting on Dec 4
4%
Pillion
4% predicting on Dec 3
2%
Pillion
2% predicting on Dec 2
1%
Pillion
1% predicting on Dec 1
1%
Pillion
1% predicting on Nov 30
1%
Pillion
1% predicting on Nov 29
1%
Pillion
1% predicting on Nov 28
1%
Pillion
1% predicting on Nov 27
5%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
5% predicting on Dec 26
5%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
5% predicting on Dec 25
5%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
5% predicting on Dec 24
5%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
5% predicting on Dec 23
5%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
5% predicting on Dec 22
6%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
6% predicting on Dec 21
6%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
6% predicting on Dec 20
7%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
7% predicting on Dec 19
7%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
7% predicting on Dec 18
7%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
7% predicting on Dec 17
7%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
7% predicting on Dec 16
8%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
8% predicting on Dec 15
8%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
8% predicting on Dec 14
10%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
10% predicting on Dec 13
11%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
11% predicting on Dec 12
12%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
12% predicting on Dec 11
13%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
13% predicting on Dec 10
15%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
15% predicting on Dec 9
17%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
17% predicting on Dec 8
18%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
18% predicting on Dec 7
20%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
20% predicting on Dec 6
21%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
21% predicting on Dec 5
22%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
22% predicting on Dec 4
23%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
23% predicting on Dec 3
24%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
24% predicting on Dec 2
25%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
25% predicting on Dec 1
27%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
27% predicting on Nov 30
28%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
28% predicting on Nov 29
30%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
30% predicting on Nov 28
31%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
31% predicting on Nov 27
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 26
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 25
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 24
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 23
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 22
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 21
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 20
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 19
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 18
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 17
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 16
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 15
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 14
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 13
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 12
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 11
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 10
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 9
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 8
3%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
3% predicting on Dec 7
3%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
3% predicting on Dec 6
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 5
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 4
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 3
4%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
4% predicting on Dec 2
3%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
3% predicting on Dec 1
3%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
3% predicting on Nov 30
3%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
3% predicting on Nov 29
3%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
3% predicting on Nov 28
3%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
3% predicting on Nov 27
0%
Die My Love
0% predicting on Dec 26
0%
Die My Love
0% predicting on Dec 25
0%
Die My Love
0% predicting on Dec 24
0%
Die My Love
0% predicting on Dec 23
0%
Die My Love
0% predicting on Dec 22
0%
Die My Love
0% predicting on Dec 21
0%
Die My Love
0% predicting on Dec 20
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 19
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 18
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 17
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 16
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 15
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 14
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 13
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 12
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 11
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 10
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 9
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 8
1%
Die My Love
1% predicting on Dec 7
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Dec 6
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Dec 5
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Dec 4
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Dec 3
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Dec 2
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Dec 1
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Nov 30
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Nov 29
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Nov 28
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Nov 27
99%99%92%84%76%25%9%5%4%0%