Award Expert

2026 BAFTA Predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 372 users

Updated: Nov 10, 6:33 PM
Hamnet
1

Hamnet

Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell

WIN:76%
3%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
One Battle After Another
2

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson

WIN:19%
4%
change over 30 days
NOM:97%
1%
change over 30 days
Bugonia
3

Bugonia

Will Tracy

WIN:2%
NOM:88%
2%
change over 30 days
No Other Choice
4

No Other Choice

Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar

WIN:1%
NOM:82%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
5

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Rian Johnson

WIN:0%
NOM:42%
10%
change over 30 days
Frankenstein
6

Frankenstein

Guillermo del Toro

WIN:1%
NOM:36%
12%
change over 30 days
Train Dreams
7

Train Dreams

Greg Kwedar, Clint Bentley

WIN:0%
NOM:14%
11%
change over 30 days
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
8

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Scott Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:9%
38%
change over 30 days
Wicked: For Good
9

Wicked: For Good

Winnie Holzman, Dana Fox

WIN:0%
NOM:4%
1%
change over 30 days
Die My Love
10

Die My Love

Lynne Ramsay, Enda Walsh, Alice Birch

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
11

The Ballad of Wallis Island

Tom Basden, Tim Key

WIN:0%
NOM:4%
3%
change over 30 days
Ballad of a Small Player
12

Ballad of a Small Player

Rowan Joffé

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
4%
change over 30 days
The Life of Chuck
13

The Life of Chuck

Mike Flanagan

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
I Swear
14

I Swear

Kirk Jones

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
Nuremberg
15

Nuremberg

James Vanderbilt

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Pillion
16

Pillion

Harry Lighton

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Hedda
17

Hedda

Nia DaCosta

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Christy
18

Christy

Mirrah Foulkes, David Michôd

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Kiss of the Spider Woman
19

Kiss of the Spider Woman

Bill Condon

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Roses
20

The Roses

Tony McNamara

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The History of Sound
21

The History of Sound

Ben Shattuck

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Smashing Machine
22

The Smashing Machine

Benny Safdie

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Long Walk
23

The Long Walk

JT Mollner

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Nouvelle Vague
24

Nouvelle Vague

Vincent Palmo Jr., Holly Gent, Laetitia Masson, Michèle Pétin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Dead Man's Wire
25

Dead Man's Wire

Austin Kolodney

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Hamnet
One Battle After Another
Bugonia
No Other Choice
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Frankenstein
Train Dreams
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Wicked: For Good
Die My Love
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 1099%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 10
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 9
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 8
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 7
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 6
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 5
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 4
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Nov 3
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Nov 2
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Nov 1
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Oct 31
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Oct 30
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Oct 29
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Oct 28
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Oct 27
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 26
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 25
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 24
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Oct 23
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Oct 22
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Oct 21
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Oct 20
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Oct 19
98%
Hamnet
98% predicting on Oct 18
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 17
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 16
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 15
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 14
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 13
99%
Hamnet
99% predicting on Oct 12
97%
One Battle After Another
97% predicting on Nov 10
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Nov 9
97%
One Battle After Another
97% predicting on Nov 8
97%
One Battle After Another
97% predicting on Nov 7
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Nov 6
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Nov 5
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Nov 4
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Nov 3
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Nov 2
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Nov 1
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 31
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 30
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 29
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 28
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 27
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 26
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 25
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 24
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 23
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 22
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 21
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 20
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 19
97%
One Battle After Another
97% predicting on Oct 18
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 17
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 16
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 15
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 14
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 13
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 12
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Nov 10
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Nov 9
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Nov 8
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Nov 7
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Nov 6
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Nov 5
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Nov 4
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Nov 3
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Nov 2
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Nov 1
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Oct 31
87%
Bugonia
87% predicting on Oct 30
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Oct 29
87%
Bugonia
87% predicting on Oct 28
87%
Bugonia
87% predicting on Oct 27
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Oct 26
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Oct 25
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Oct 24
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Oct 23
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Oct 22
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Oct 21
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Oct 20
89%
Bugonia
89% predicting on Oct 19
87%
Bugonia
87% predicting on Oct 18
87%
Bugonia
87% predicting on Oct 17
88%
Bugonia
88% predicting on Oct 16
87%
Bugonia
87% predicting on Oct 15
87%
Bugonia
87% predicting on Oct 14
86%
Bugonia
86% predicting on Oct 13
87%
Bugonia
87% predicting on Oct 12
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Nov 10
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Nov 9
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Nov 8
82%
No Other Choice
82% predicting on Nov 7
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Nov 6
82%
No Other Choice
82% predicting on Nov 5
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Nov 4
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Nov 3
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Nov 2
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Nov 1
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Oct 31
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Oct 30
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Oct 29
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Oct 28
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Oct 27
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Oct 26
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Oct 25
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Oct 24
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Oct 23
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Oct 22
84%
No Other Choice
84% predicting on Oct 21
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Oct 20
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Oct 19
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Oct 18
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Oct 17
82%
No Other Choice
82% predicting on Oct 16
83%
No Other Choice
83% predicting on Oct 15
81%
No Other Choice
81% predicting on Oct 14
81%
No Other Choice
81% predicting on Oct 13
81%
No Other Choice
81% predicting on Oct 12
42%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
42% predicting on Nov 10
42%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
42% predicting on Nov 9
42%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
42% predicting on Nov 8
42%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
42% predicting on Nov 7
43%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
43% predicting on Nov 6
41%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
41% predicting on Nov 5
41%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
41% predicting on Nov 4
41%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
41% predicting on Nov 3
41%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
41% predicting on Nov 2
40%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
40% predicting on Nov 1
41%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
41% predicting on Oct 31
41%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
41% predicting on Oct 30
39%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
39% predicting on Oct 29
39%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
39% predicting on Oct 28
38%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
38% predicting on Oct 27
37%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
37% predicting on Oct 26
35%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
35% predicting on Oct 25
35%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
35% predicting on Oct 24
34%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
34% predicting on Oct 23
33%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
33% predicting on Oct 22
33%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
33% predicting on Oct 21
33%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
33% predicting on Oct 20
32%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
32% predicting on Oct 19
32%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
32% predicting on Oct 18
33%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
33% predicting on Oct 17
33%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
33% predicting on Oct 16
34%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
34% predicting on Oct 15
33%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
33% predicting on Oct 14
34%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
34% predicting on Oct 13
32%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
32% predicting on Oct 12
36%
Frankenstein
36% predicting on Nov 10
34%
Frankenstein
34% predicting on Nov 9
32%
Frankenstein
32% predicting on Nov 8
31%
Frankenstein
31% predicting on Nov 7
30%
Frankenstein
30% predicting on Nov 6
31%
Frankenstein
31% predicting on Nov 5
31%
Frankenstein
31% predicting on Nov 4
29%
Frankenstein
29% predicting on Nov 3
30%
Frankenstein
30% predicting on Nov 2
29%
Frankenstein
29% predicting on Nov 1
28%
Frankenstein
28% predicting on Oct 31
27%
Frankenstein
27% predicting on Oct 30
27%
Frankenstein
27% predicting on Oct 29
26%
Frankenstein
26% predicting on Oct 28
27%
Frankenstein
27% predicting on Oct 27
27%
Frankenstein
27% predicting on Oct 26
26%
Frankenstein
26% predicting on Oct 25
25%
Frankenstein
25% predicting on Oct 24
25%
Frankenstein
25% predicting on Oct 23
25%
Frankenstein
25% predicting on Oct 22
24%
Frankenstein
24% predicting on Oct 21
25%
Frankenstein
25% predicting on Oct 20
24%
Frankenstein
24% predicting on Oct 19
25%
Frankenstein
25% predicting on Oct 18
24%
Frankenstein
24% predicting on Oct 17
24%
Frankenstein
24% predicting on Oct 16
24%
Frankenstein
24% predicting on Oct 15
24%
Frankenstein
24% predicting on Oct 14
24%
Frankenstein
24% predicting on Oct 13
24%
Frankenstein
24% predicting on Oct 12
14%
Train Dreams
14% predicting on Nov 10
14%
Train Dreams
14% predicting on Nov 9
14%
Train Dreams
14% predicting on Nov 8
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 7
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 6
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 5
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 4
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 3
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 2
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 1
12%
Train Dreams
12% predicting on Oct 31
12%
Train Dreams
12% predicting on Oct 30
12%
Train Dreams
12% predicting on Oct 29
11%
Train Dreams
11% predicting on Oct 28
10%
Train Dreams
10% predicting on Oct 27
10%
Train Dreams
10% predicting on Oct 26
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Oct 25
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Oct 24
8%
Train Dreams
8% predicting on Oct 23
7%
Train Dreams
7% predicting on Oct 22
6%
Train Dreams
6% predicting on Oct 21
6%
Train Dreams
6% predicting on Oct 20
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Oct 19
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Oct 18
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Oct 17
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Oct 16
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Oct 15
4%
Train Dreams
4% predicting on Oct 14
3%
Train Dreams
3% predicting on Oct 13
3%
Train Dreams
3% predicting on Oct 12
9%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
9% predicting on Nov 10
11%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
11% predicting on Nov 9
13%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
13% predicting on Nov 8
15%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
15% predicting on Nov 7
15%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
15% predicting on Nov 6
17%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
17% predicting on Nov 5
17%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
17% predicting on Nov 4
19%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
19% predicting on Nov 3
19%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
19% predicting on Nov 2
21%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
21% predicting on Nov 1
22%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
22% predicting on Oct 31
23%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
23% predicting on Oct 30
26%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
26% predicting on Oct 29
27%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
27% predicting on Oct 28
28%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
28% predicting on Oct 27
30%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
30% predicting on Oct 26
32%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
32% predicting on Oct 25
33%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
33% predicting on Oct 24
34%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
34% predicting on Oct 23
35%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
35% predicting on Oct 22
37%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
37% predicting on Oct 21
38%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
38% predicting on Oct 20
39%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
39% predicting on Oct 19
41%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
41% predicting on Oct 18
42%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
42% predicting on Oct 17
43%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
43% predicting on Oct 16
43%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
43% predicting on Oct 15
45%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
45% predicting on Oct 14
46%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
46% predicting on Oct 13
47%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
47% predicting on Oct 12
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Nov 10
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 9
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 8
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 7
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 6
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 5
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 4
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 3
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 2
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 1
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 31
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 30
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 29
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 28
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 27
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 26
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 25
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 24
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 23
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 22
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 21
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 20
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 19
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 18
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 17
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 16
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 15
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 14
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 13
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 12
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Nov 10
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Nov 9
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Nov 8
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Nov 7
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Nov 6
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Nov 5
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Nov 4
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Nov 3
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Nov 2
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Nov 1
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Oct 31
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Oct 30
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Oct 29
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Oct 28
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 27
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 26
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 25
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 24
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 23
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 22
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 21
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 20
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 19
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 18
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 17
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Oct 16
2%
Die My Love
2% predicting on Oct 15
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 14
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 13
3%
Die My Love
3% predicting on Oct 12
99%97%89%83%42%36%14%9%3%3%