Award Expert

2026 BAFTA Predictions: Best British Debut

Aggregated predictions from 504 users

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Updated: Dec 26, 12:31 PM
Urchin
1

Urchin

WIN:73%
8%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
Pillion
2

Pillion

A24

WIN:19%
12%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
3%
change over 30 days
My Father's Shadow
3

My Father's Shadow

WIN:4%
NOM:93%
7%
change over 30 days
Anemone
4

Anemone

Focus Features

WIN:2%
3%
change over 30 days
NOM:70%
7%
change over 30 days
The History of Sound
5

The History of Sound

Mubi

WIN:0%
1%
change over 30 days
NOM:63%
1%
change over 30 days
The Ballad of Wallis Island
6

The Ballad of Wallis Island

Focus Features

WIN:2%
NOM:43%
8%
change over 30 days
Warfare
7

Warfare

A24

WIN:0%
NOM:9%
Dreamers
8

Dreamers

WIN:0%
NOM:6%
1%
change over 30 days
Wasteman
9

Wasteman

WIN:0%
NOM:4%
Hot Milk
10

Hot Milk

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
1%
change over 30 days
On Falling
11

On Falling

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
2%
change over 30 days
The Assessment
12

The Assessment

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Jane Austen Wrecked My Life
13

Jane Austen Wrecked My Life

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Bring Them Down
14

Bring Them Down

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Steve
15

Steve

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Brides
16

Brides

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Goodbye June
17

Goodbye June

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Christy
18

Christy

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Salt Path
19

The Salt Path

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Ish
20

Ish

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Lollipop
21

Lollipop

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Fackham Hall
22

Fackham Hall

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Straight Circle
23

Straight Circle

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Son and the Sea
24

The Son and the Sea

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
LifeHack
25

LifeHack

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Urchin
Pillion
My Father's Shadow
Anemone
The History of Sound
The Ballad of Wallis Island
Warfare
Dreamers
Wasteman
Hot Milk
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 13Dec 16Dec 19Dec 22Dec 2699%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 26
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 25
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 24
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 23
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 22
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 21
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 20
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 19
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 18
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 17
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 16
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 15
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 14
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 13
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 12
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 11
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 10
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 9
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 8
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 7
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 6
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 5
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 4
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 3
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 2
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Dec 1
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Nov 30
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Nov 29
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Nov 28
99%
Urchin
99% predicting on Nov 27
99%
Pillion
99% predicting on Dec 26
99%
Pillion
99% predicting on Dec 25
99%
Pillion
99% predicting on Dec 24
99%
Pillion
99% predicting on Dec 23
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 22
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 21
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 20
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 19
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 18
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 17
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 16
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 15
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 14
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 13
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 12
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 11
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 10
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 9
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 8
98%
Pillion
98% predicting on Dec 7
97%
Pillion
97% predicting on Dec 6
97%
Pillion
97% predicting on Dec 5
97%
Pillion
97% predicting on Dec 4
97%
Pillion
97% predicting on Dec 3
97%
Pillion
97% predicting on Dec 2
97%
Pillion
97% predicting on Dec 1
97%
Pillion
97% predicting on Nov 30
97%
Pillion
97% predicting on Nov 29
97%
Pillion
97% predicting on Nov 28
96%
Pillion
96% predicting on Nov 27
93%
My Father's Shadow
93% predicting on Dec 26
93%
My Father's Shadow
93% predicting on Dec 25
93%
My Father's Shadow
93% predicting on Dec 24
93%
My Father's Shadow
93% predicting on Dec 23
92%
My Father's Shadow
92% predicting on Dec 22
92%
My Father's Shadow
92% predicting on Dec 21
92%
My Father's Shadow
92% predicting on Dec 20
92%
My Father's Shadow
92% predicting on Dec 19
92%
My Father's Shadow
92% predicting on Dec 18
91%
My Father's Shadow
91% predicting on Dec 17
91%
My Father's Shadow
91% predicting on Dec 16
91%
My Father's Shadow
91% predicting on Dec 15
91%
My Father's Shadow
91% predicting on Dec 14
91%
My Father's Shadow
91% predicting on Dec 13
91%
My Father's Shadow
91% predicting on Dec 12
91%
My Father's Shadow
91% predicting on Dec 11
91%
My Father's Shadow
91% predicting on Dec 10
90%
My Father's Shadow
90% predicting on Dec 9
90%
My Father's Shadow
90% predicting on Dec 8
89%
My Father's Shadow
89% predicting on Dec 7
88%
My Father's Shadow
88% predicting on Dec 6
88%
My Father's Shadow
88% predicting on Dec 5
89%
My Father's Shadow
89% predicting on Dec 4
88%
My Father's Shadow
88% predicting on Dec 3
88%
My Father's Shadow
88% predicting on Dec 2
88%
My Father's Shadow
88% predicting on Dec 1
87%
My Father's Shadow
87% predicting on Nov 30
87%
My Father's Shadow
87% predicting on Nov 29
86%
My Father's Shadow
86% predicting on Nov 28
86%
My Father's Shadow
86% predicting on Nov 27
70%
Anemone
70% predicting on Dec 26
70%
Anemone
70% predicting on Dec 25
70%
Anemone
70% predicting on Dec 24
70%
Anemone
70% predicting on Dec 23
71%
Anemone
71% predicting on Dec 22
71%
Anemone
71% predicting on Dec 21
72%
Anemone
72% predicting on Dec 20
72%
Anemone
72% predicting on Dec 19
73%
Anemone
73% predicting on Dec 18
73%
Anemone
73% predicting on Dec 17
74%
Anemone
74% predicting on Dec 16
74%
Anemone
74% predicting on Dec 15
75%
Anemone
75% predicting on Dec 14
75%
Anemone
75% predicting on Dec 13
75%
Anemone
75% predicting on Dec 12
76%
Anemone
76% predicting on Dec 11
76%
Anemone
76% predicting on Dec 10
77%
Anemone
77% predicting on Dec 9
77%
Anemone
77% predicting on Dec 8
77%
Anemone
77% predicting on Dec 7
76%
Anemone
76% predicting on Dec 6
76%
Anemone
76% predicting on Dec 5
76%
Anemone
76% predicting on Dec 4
77%
Anemone
77% predicting on Dec 3
77%
Anemone
77% predicting on Dec 2
77%
Anemone
77% predicting on Dec 1
78%
Anemone
78% predicting on Nov 30
77%
Anemone
77% predicting on Nov 29
78%
Anemone
78% predicting on Nov 28
77%
Anemone
77% predicting on Nov 27
63%
The History of Sound
63% predicting on Dec 26
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 25
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 24
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 23
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 22
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 21
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 20
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 19
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 18
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 17
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 16
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 15
65%
The History of Sound
65% predicting on Dec 14
65%
The History of Sound
65% predicting on Dec 13
65%
The History of Sound
65% predicting on Dec 12
66%
The History of Sound
66% predicting on Dec 11
66%
The History of Sound
66% predicting on Dec 10
66%
The History of Sound
66% predicting on Dec 9
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 8
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 7
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 6
65%
The History of Sound
65% predicting on Dec 5
65%
The History of Sound
65% predicting on Dec 4
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Dec 3
65%
The History of Sound
65% predicting on Dec 2
66%
The History of Sound
66% predicting on Dec 1
65%
The History of Sound
65% predicting on Nov 30
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Nov 29
64%
The History of Sound
64% predicting on Nov 28
65%
The History of Sound
65% predicting on Nov 27
43%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
43% predicting on Dec 26
43%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
43% predicting on Dec 25
42%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
42% predicting on Dec 24
42%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
42% predicting on Dec 23
41%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
41% predicting on Dec 22
41%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
41% predicting on Dec 21
41%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
41% predicting on Dec 20
41%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
41% predicting on Dec 19
40%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
40% predicting on Dec 18
39%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
39% predicting on Dec 17
40%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
40% predicting on Dec 16
39%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
39% predicting on Dec 15
38%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
38% predicting on Dec 14
38%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
38% predicting on Dec 13
38%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
38% predicting on Dec 12
37%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
37% predicting on Dec 11
37%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
37% predicting on Dec 10
36%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
36% predicting on Dec 9
35%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
35% predicting on Dec 8
35%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
35% predicting on Dec 7
35%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
35% predicting on Dec 6
35%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
35% predicting on Dec 5
35%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
35% predicting on Dec 4
36%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
36% predicting on Dec 3
36%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
36% predicting on Dec 2
35%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
35% predicting on Dec 1
35%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
35% predicting on Nov 30
35%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
35% predicting on Nov 29
35%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
35% predicting on Nov 28
35%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
35% predicting on Nov 27
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 26
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 25
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 24
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 23
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 22
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 21
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 20
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 19
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 18
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 17
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 16
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 15
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 14
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 13
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 12
8%
Warfare
8% predicting on Dec 11
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 10
9%
Warfare
9% predicting on Dec 9
8%
Warfare
8% predicting on Dec 8
8%
Warfare
8% predicting on Dec 7
8%
Warfare
8% predicting on Dec 6
8%
Warfare
8% predicting on Dec 5
7%
Warfare
7% predicting on Dec 4
7%
Warfare
7% predicting on Dec 3
7%
Warfare
7% predicting on Dec 2
7%
Warfare
7% predicting on Dec 1
7%
Warfare
7% predicting on Nov 30
7%
Warfare
7% predicting on Nov 29
7%
Warfare
7% predicting on Nov 28
8%
Warfare
8% predicting on Nov 27
6%
Dreamers
6% predicting on Dec 26
6%
Dreamers
6% predicting on Dec 25
6%
Dreamers
6% predicting on Dec 24
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 23
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 22
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 21
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 20
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 19
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 18
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 17
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 16
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 15
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 14
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 13
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 12
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 11
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 10
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 9
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 8
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 7
6%
Dreamers
6% predicting on Dec 6
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 5
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 4
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 3
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Dec 2
4%
Dreamers
4% predicting on Dec 1
4%
Dreamers
4% predicting on Nov 30
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Nov 29
5%
Dreamers
5% predicting on Nov 28
4%
Dreamers
4% predicting on Nov 27
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 26
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 25
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 24
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 23
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 22
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 21
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 20
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 19
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 18
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 17
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 16
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 15
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 14
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 13
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 12
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 11
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 10
5%
Wasteman
5% predicting on Dec 9
5%
Wasteman
5% predicting on Dec 8
5%
Wasteman
5% predicting on Dec 7
5%
Wasteman
5% predicting on Dec 6
5%
Wasteman
5% predicting on Dec 5
5%
Wasteman
5% predicting on Dec 4
5%
Wasteman
5% predicting on Dec 3
5%
Wasteman
5% predicting on Dec 2
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Dec 1
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Nov 30
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Nov 29
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Nov 28
4%
Wasteman
4% predicting on Nov 27
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 26
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 25
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 24
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 23
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 22
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 21
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 20
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 19
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 18
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 17
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 16
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Dec 15
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 14
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 13
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 12
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 11
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 10
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 9
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 8
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 7
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Dec 6
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Dec 5
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Dec 4
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 3
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Dec 2
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Dec 1
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Nov 30
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Nov 29
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Nov 28
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Nov 27
99%99%93%70%63%43%9%6%4%2%