Award Expert

2026 BAFTA Predictions: Best British Debut

Aggregated predictions from 267 users

Updated: Nov 10, 6:33 PM
Urchin
1

Urchin

WIN:72%
43%
change over 30 days
NOM:98%
3%
change over 30 days
Pillion
2

Pillion

A24

WIN:9%
3%
change over 30 days
NOM:93%
2%
change over 30 days
Anemone
3

Anemone

Focus Features

WIN:10%
52%
change over 30 days
NOM:79%
16%
change over 30 days
My Father's Shadow
4

My Father's Shadow

WIN:4%
4%
change over 30 days
NOM:79%
5%
change over 30 days
The History of Sound
5

The History of Sound

Mubi

WIN:1%
NOM:61%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
6

The Ballad of Wallis Island

Focus Features

WIN:2%
1%
change over 30 days
NOM:36%
13%
change over 30 days
Warfare
7

Warfare

A24

WIN:1%
NOM:11%
6%
change over 30 days
Dreamers
8

Dreamers

WIN:0%
NOM:7%
2%
change over 30 days
Hot Milk
9

Hot Milk

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
1%
change over 30 days
The Assessment
10

The Assessment

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
On Falling
11

On Falling

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
Jane Austen Wrecked My Life
12

Jane Austen Wrecked My Life

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
Wasteman
13

Wasteman

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
Bring Them Down
14

Bring Them Down

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
The Salt Path
15

The Salt Path

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Steve
16

Steve

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Brides
17

Brides

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Christy
18

Christy

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Lollipop
19

Lollipop

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Straight Circle
20

Straight Circle

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
LifeHack
21

LifeHack

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Goodbye June
22

Goodbye June

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Urchin
Pillion
My Father's Shadow
Anemone
The History of Sound
The Ballad of Wallis Island
Warfare
Dreamers
Hot Milk
The Assessment
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 1098%
Urchin
98% predicting on Nov 10
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Nov 9
97%
Urchin
97% predicting on Nov 8
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Nov 7
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Nov 6
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Nov 5
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Nov 4
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Nov 3
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Nov 2
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Nov 1
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Oct 31
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Oct 30
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Oct 29
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Oct 28
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Oct 27
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Oct 26
98%
Urchin
98% predicting on Oct 25
97%
Urchin
97% predicting on Oct 24
97%
Urchin
97% predicting on Oct 23
97%
Urchin
97% predicting on Oct 22
97%
Urchin
97% predicting on Oct 21
96%
Urchin
96% predicting on Oct 20
97%
Urchin
97% predicting on Oct 19
96%
Urchin
96% predicting on Oct 18
97%
Urchin
97% predicting on Oct 17
96%
Urchin
96% predicting on Oct 16
96%
Urchin
96% predicting on Oct 15
96%
Urchin
96% predicting on Oct 14
96%
Urchin
96% predicting on Oct 13
96%
Urchin
96% predicting on Oct 12
93%
Pillion
93% predicting on Nov 10
93%
Pillion
93% predicting on Nov 9
92%
Pillion
92% predicting on Nov 8
93%
Pillion
93% predicting on Nov 7
92%
Pillion
92% predicting on Nov 6
93%
Pillion
93% predicting on Nov 5
93%
Pillion
93% predicting on Nov 4
92%
Pillion
92% predicting on Nov 3
92%
Pillion
92% predicting on Nov 2
92%
Pillion
92% predicting on Nov 1
91%
Pillion
91% predicting on Oct 31
91%
Pillion
91% predicting on Oct 30
91%
Pillion
91% predicting on Oct 29
92%
Pillion
92% predicting on Oct 28
92%
Pillion
92% predicting on Oct 27
92%
Pillion
92% predicting on Oct 26
92%
Pillion
92% predicting on Oct 25
93%
Pillion
93% predicting on Oct 24
92%
Pillion
92% predicting on Oct 23
92%
Pillion
92% predicting on Oct 22
92%
Pillion
92% predicting on Oct 21
91%
Pillion
91% predicting on Oct 20
91%
Pillion
91% predicting on Oct 19
90%
Pillion
90% predicting on Oct 18
90%
Pillion
90% predicting on Oct 17
90%
Pillion
90% predicting on Oct 16
91%
Pillion
91% predicting on Oct 15
90%
Pillion
90% predicting on Oct 14
91%
Pillion
91% predicting on Oct 13
91%
Pillion
91% predicting on Oct 12
80%
My Father's Shadow
80% predicting on Nov 10
79%
My Father's Shadow
79% predicting on Nov 9
78%
My Father's Shadow
78% predicting on Nov 8
79%
My Father's Shadow
79% predicting on Nov 7
78%
My Father's Shadow
78% predicting on Nov 6
78%
My Father's Shadow
78% predicting on Nov 5
78%
My Father's Shadow
78% predicting on Nov 4
79%
My Father's Shadow
79% predicting on Nov 3
79%
My Father's Shadow
79% predicting on Nov 2
78%
My Father's Shadow
78% predicting on Nov 1
78%
My Father's Shadow
78% predicting on Oct 31
78%
My Father's Shadow
78% predicting on Oct 30
78%
My Father's Shadow
78% predicting on Oct 29
78%
My Father's Shadow
78% predicting on Oct 28
78%
My Father's Shadow
78% predicting on Oct 27
78%
My Father's Shadow
78% predicting on Oct 26
77%
My Father's Shadow
77% predicting on Oct 25
77%
My Father's Shadow
77% predicting on Oct 24
77%
My Father's Shadow
77% predicting on Oct 23
76%
My Father's Shadow
76% predicting on Oct 22
77%
My Father's Shadow
77% predicting on Oct 21
77%
My Father's Shadow
77% predicting on Oct 20
75%
My Father's Shadow
75% predicting on Oct 19
76%
My Father's Shadow
76% predicting on Oct 18
76%
My Father's Shadow
76% predicting on Oct 17
76%
My Father's Shadow
76% predicting on Oct 16
75%
My Father's Shadow
75% predicting on Oct 15
75%
My Father's Shadow
75% predicting on Oct 14
75%
My Father's Shadow
75% predicting on Oct 13
75%
My Father's Shadow
75% predicting on Oct 12
79%
Anemone
79% predicting on Nov 10
80%
Anemone
80% predicting on Nov 9
80%
Anemone
80% predicting on Nov 8
81%
Anemone
81% predicting on Nov 7
81%
Anemone
81% predicting on Nov 6
81%
Anemone
81% predicting on Nov 5
82%
Anemone
82% predicting on Nov 4
84%
Anemone
84% predicting on Nov 3
84%
Anemone
84% predicting on Nov 2
85%
Anemone
85% predicting on Nov 1
86%
Anemone
86% predicting on Oct 31
86%
Anemone
86% predicting on Oct 30
86%
Anemone
86% predicting on Oct 29
87%
Anemone
87% predicting on Oct 28
87%
Anemone
87% predicting on Oct 27
87%
Anemone
87% predicting on Oct 26
88%
Anemone
88% predicting on Oct 25
88%
Anemone
88% predicting on Oct 24
88%
Anemone
88% predicting on Oct 23
89%
Anemone
89% predicting on Oct 22
89%
Anemone
89% predicting on Oct 21
90%
Anemone
90% predicting on Oct 20
91%
Anemone
91% predicting on Oct 19
91%
Anemone
91% predicting on Oct 18
91%
Anemone
91% predicting on Oct 17
92%
Anemone
92% predicting on Oct 16
93%
Anemone
93% predicting on Oct 15
93%
Anemone
93% predicting on Oct 14
94%
Anemone
94% predicting on Oct 13
95%
Anemone
95% predicting on Oct 12
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Nov 10
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Nov 9
63%
The History of Sound
63% predicting on Nov 8
63%
The History of Sound
63% predicting on Nov 7
63%
The History of Sound
63% predicting on Nov 6
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Nov 5
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Nov 4
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Nov 3
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Nov 2
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Nov 1
63%
The History of Sound
63% predicting on Oct 31
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Oct 30
61%
The History of Sound
61% predicting on Oct 29
61%
The History of Sound
61% predicting on Oct 28
61%
The History of Sound
61% predicting on Oct 27
61%
The History of Sound
61% predicting on Oct 26
61%
The History of Sound
61% predicting on Oct 25
61%
The History of Sound
61% predicting on Oct 24
61%
The History of Sound
61% predicting on Oct 23
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Oct 22
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Oct 21
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Oct 20
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Oct 19
61%
The History of Sound
61% predicting on Oct 18
61%
The History of Sound
61% predicting on Oct 17
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Oct 16
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Oct 15
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Oct 14
62%
The History of Sound
62% predicting on Oct 13
61%
The History of Sound
61% predicting on Oct 12
36%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
36% predicting on Nov 10
36%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
36% predicting on Nov 9
37%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
37% predicting on Nov 8
35%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
35% predicting on Nov 7
34%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
34% predicting on Nov 6
34%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
34% predicting on Nov 5
33%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
33% predicting on Nov 4
33%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
33% predicting on Nov 3
32%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
32% predicting on Nov 2
32%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
32% predicting on Nov 1
31%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
31% predicting on Oct 31
31%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
31% predicting on Oct 30
30%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
30% predicting on Oct 29
29%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
29% predicting on Oct 28
28%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
28% predicting on Oct 27
27%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
27% predicting on Oct 26
27%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
27% predicting on Oct 25
27%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
27% predicting on Oct 24
27%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
27% predicting on Oct 23
27%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
27% predicting on Oct 22
27%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
27% predicting on Oct 21
27%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
27% predicting on Oct 20
26%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
26% predicting on Oct 19
25%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
25% predicting on Oct 18
26%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
26% predicting on Oct 17
25%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
25% predicting on Oct 16
24%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
24% predicting on Oct 15
23%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
23% predicting on Oct 14
23%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
23% predicting on Oct 13
22%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
22% predicting on Oct 12
10%
Warfare
10% predicting on Nov 10
10%
Warfare
10% predicting on Nov 9
11%
Warfare
11% predicting on Nov 8
11%
Warfare
11% predicting on Nov 7
11%
Warfare
11% predicting on Nov 6
11%
Warfare
11% predicting on Nov 5
12%
Warfare
12% predicting on Nov 4
13%
Warfare
13% predicting on Nov 3
13%
Warfare
13% predicting on Nov 2
13%
Warfare
13% predicting on Nov 1
13%
Warfare
13% predicting on Oct 31
13%
Warfare
13% predicting on Oct 30
14%
Warfare
14% predicting on Oct 29
13%
Warfare
13% predicting on Oct 28
13%
Warfare
13% predicting on Oct 27
13%
Warfare
13% predicting on Oct 26
13%
Warfare
13% predicting on Oct 25
14%
Warfare
14% predicting on Oct 24
14%
Warfare
14% predicting on Oct 23
15%
Warfare
15% predicting on Oct 22
16%
Warfare
16% predicting on Oct 21
15%
Warfare
15% predicting on Oct 20
16%
Warfare
16% predicting on Oct 19
16%
Warfare
16% predicting on Oct 18
16%
Warfare
16% predicting on Oct 17
17%
Warfare
17% predicting on Oct 16
17%
Warfare
17% predicting on Oct 15
17%
Warfare
17% predicting on Oct 14
18%
Warfare
18% predicting on Oct 13
17%
Warfare
17% predicting on Oct 12
7%
Dreamers
7% predicting on Nov 10
7%
Dreamers
7% predicting on Nov 9
7%
Dreamers
7% predicting on Nov 8
7%
Dreamers
7% predicting on Nov 7
7%
Dreamers
7% predicting on Nov 6
8%
Dreamers
8% predicting on Nov 5
9%
Dreamers
9% predicting on Nov 4
9%
Dreamers
9% predicting on Nov 3
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Nov 2
9%
Dreamers
9% predicting on Nov 1
9%
Dreamers
9% predicting on Oct 31
9%
Dreamers
9% predicting on Oct 30
9%
Dreamers
9% predicting on Oct 29
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 28
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 27
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 26
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 25
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 24
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 23
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 22
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 21
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 20
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 19
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 18
9%
Dreamers
9% predicting on Oct 17
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 16
9%
Dreamers
9% predicting on Oct 15
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 14
10%
Dreamers
10% predicting on Oct 13
9%
Dreamers
9% predicting on Oct 12
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Nov 10
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Nov 9
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Nov 8
4%
Hot Milk
4% predicting on Nov 7
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Nov 6
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Nov 5
4%
Hot Milk
4% predicting on Nov 4
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Nov 3
4%
Hot Milk
4% predicting on Nov 2
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Nov 1
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Oct 31
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Oct 30
4%
Hot Milk
4% predicting on Oct 29
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Oct 28
4%
Hot Milk
4% predicting on Oct 27
4%
Hot Milk
4% predicting on Oct 26
4%
Hot Milk
4% predicting on Oct 25
4%
Hot Milk
4% predicting on Oct 24
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Oct 23
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Oct 22
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Oct 21
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Oct 20
3%
Hot Milk
3% predicting on Oct 19
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Oct 18
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Oct 17
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Oct 16
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Oct 15
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Oct 14
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Oct 13
2%
Hot Milk
2% predicting on Oct 12
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Nov 10
3%
The Assessment
3% predicting on Nov 9
3%
The Assessment
3% predicting on Nov 8
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Nov 7
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Nov 6
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Nov 5
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Nov 4
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Nov 3
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Nov 2
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Nov 1
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 31
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 30
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 29
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 28
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 27
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 26
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 25
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 24
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 23
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 22
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 21
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 20
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 19
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 18
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 17
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 16
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 15
1%
The Assessment
1% predicting on Oct 14
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 13
2%
The Assessment
2% predicting on Oct 12
98%93%80%79%62%36%10%7%3%2%