Award Expert

2026 BAFTA Predictions: Best Original Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 378 users

Updated: Nov 10, 6:33 PM
Sentimental Value
1

Sentimental Value

Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier

WIN:79%
10%
change over 30 days
NOM:98%
Sinners
2

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

WIN:8%
1%
change over 30 days
NOM:94%
It Was Just an Accident
3

It Was Just an Accident

Jafar Panahi

WIN:7%
6%
change over 30 days
NOM:94%
5%
change over 30 days
Marty Supreme
4

Marty Supreme

Josh Safdie, Ronald Bronstein

WIN:2%
NOM:95%
5%
change over 30 days
A House of Dynamite
5

A House of Dynamite

Noah Oppenheim

WIN:1%
NOM:35%
12%
change over 30 days
Jay Kelly
6

Jay Kelly

Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach

WIN:0%
NOM:22%
9%
change over 30 days
The Secret Agent
7

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:1%
NOM:13%
8%
change over 30 days
The Testament of Ann Lee
8

The Testament of Ann Lee

Mona Fastvold, Brady Corbet

WIN:0%
NOM:12%
6%
change over 30 days
Anemone
9

Anemone

Daniel Day-Lewis, Ronan Day-Lewis

WIN:0%
NOM:10%
17%
change over 30 days
Is This Thing On?
10

Is This Thing On?

Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper

WIN:1%
NOM:5%
Urchin
11

Urchin

Harris Dickinson

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
1%
change over 30 days
Blue Moon
12

Blue Moon

Robert Kaplow

WIN:0%
NOM:4%
4%
change over 30 days
Weapons
13

Weapons

Zach Cregger

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
1%
change over 30 days
Sorry, Baby
14

Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Rental Family
15

Rental Family

HIKARI, Stephen Blahut

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
8%
change over 30 days
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
16

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Mary Bronstein

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
After the Hunt
17

After the Hunt

Nora Garrett

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
I Swear
18

I Swear

Kirk Jones

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Pillion
19

Pillion

Harry Lighton

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Nouvelle Vague
20

Nouvelle Vague

Vincent Palmo Jr., Holly Gent, Laetitia Masson, Michèle Pétin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Father Mother Sister Brother
21

Father Mother Sister Brother

Jim Jarmusch

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Sound of Falling
22

Sound of Falling

Louise Peter, Mascha Schilinski

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Mastermind
23

The Mastermind

Kelly Reichardt

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Splitsville
24

Splitsville

Michael Angelo Covino, Kyle Marvin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Rivals of Amziah King
25

The Rivals of Amziah King

Andrew Patterson

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Sentimental Value
Marty Supreme
Sinners
It Was Just an Accident
A House of Dynamite
Jay Kelly
The Secret Agent
The Testament of Ann Lee
Anemone
Is This Thing On?
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 1098%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 10
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 9
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 8
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 7
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 6
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 5
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 4
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Nov 3
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 2
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 1
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 31
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 30
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 29
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 28
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 27
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 26
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 25
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 24
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 23
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 22
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 21
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 20
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 19
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 18
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 17
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 16
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 15
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 14
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 13
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Oct 12
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 10
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 9
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 8
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 7
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 6
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 5
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 4
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 3
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 2
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 1
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Oct 31
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Oct 30
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 29
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 28
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 27
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 26
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 25
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 24
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 23
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 22
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 21
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 20
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 19
91%
Marty Supreme
91% predicting on Oct 18
91%
Marty Supreme
91% predicting on Oct 17
91%
Marty Supreme
91% predicting on Oct 16
91%
Marty Supreme
91% predicting on Oct 15
90%
Marty Supreme
90% predicting on Oct 14
90%
Marty Supreme
90% predicting on Oct 13
90%
Marty Supreme
90% predicting on Oct 12
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 10
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 9
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 8
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 7
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 6
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 5
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 4
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 3
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 2
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 1
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Oct 31
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Oct 30
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Oct 29
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Oct 28
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Oct 27
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Oct 26
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Oct 25
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Oct 24
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Oct 23
93%
Sinners
93% predicting on Oct 22
93%
Sinners
93% predicting on Oct 21
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Oct 20
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Oct 19
93%
Sinners
93% predicting on Oct 18
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Oct 17
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Oct 16
93%
Sinners
93% predicting on Oct 15
93%
Sinners
93% predicting on Oct 14
93%
Sinners
93% predicting on Oct 13
93%
Sinners
93% predicting on Oct 12
94%
It Was Just an Accident
94% predicting on Nov 10
95%
It Was Just an Accident
95% predicting on Nov 9
94%
It Was Just an Accident
94% predicting on Nov 8
94%
It Was Just an Accident
94% predicting on Nov 7
94%
It Was Just an Accident
94% predicting on Nov 6
94%
It Was Just an Accident
94% predicting on Nov 5
94%
It Was Just an Accident
94% predicting on Nov 4
94%
It Was Just an Accident
94% predicting on Nov 3
94%
It Was Just an Accident
94% predicting on Nov 2
94%
It Was Just an Accident
94% predicting on Nov 1
94%
It Was Just an Accident
94% predicting on Oct 31
93%
It Was Just an Accident
93% predicting on Oct 30
93%
It Was Just an Accident
93% predicting on Oct 29
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Oct 28
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Oct 27
93%
It Was Just an Accident
93% predicting on Oct 26
93%
It Was Just an Accident
93% predicting on Oct 25
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Oct 24
91%
It Was Just an Accident
91% predicting on Oct 23
91%
It Was Just an Accident
91% predicting on Oct 22
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Oct 21
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Oct 20
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Oct 19
91%
It Was Just an Accident
91% predicting on Oct 18
91%
It Was Just an Accident
91% predicting on Oct 17
91%
It Was Just an Accident
91% predicting on Oct 16
91%
It Was Just an Accident
91% predicting on Oct 15
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Oct 14
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Oct 13
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Oct 12
36%
A House of Dynamite
36% predicting on Nov 10
37%
A House of Dynamite
37% predicting on Nov 9
38%
A House of Dynamite
38% predicting on Nov 8
40%
A House of Dynamite
40% predicting on Nov 7
41%
A House of Dynamite
41% predicting on Nov 6
41%
A House of Dynamite
41% predicting on Nov 5
43%
A House of Dynamite
43% predicting on Nov 4
44%
A House of Dynamite
44% predicting on Nov 3
44%
A House of Dynamite
44% predicting on Nov 2
44%
A House of Dynamite
44% predicting on Nov 1
46%
A House of Dynamite
46% predicting on Oct 31
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 30
49%
A House of Dynamite
49% predicting on Oct 29
49%
A House of Dynamite
49% predicting on Oct 28
50%
A House of Dynamite
50% predicting on Oct 27
52%
A House of Dynamite
52% predicting on Oct 26
53%
A House of Dynamite
53% predicting on Oct 25
54%
A House of Dynamite
54% predicting on Oct 24
53%
A House of Dynamite
53% predicting on Oct 23
53%
A House of Dynamite
53% predicting on Oct 22
52%
A House of Dynamite
52% predicting on Oct 21
51%
A House of Dynamite
51% predicting on Oct 20
51%
A House of Dynamite
51% predicting on Oct 19
50%
A House of Dynamite
50% predicting on Oct 18
49%
A House of Dynamite
49% predicting on Oct 17
48%
A House of Dynamite
48% predicting on Oct 16
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 15
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 14
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 13
47%
A House of Dynamite
47% predicting on Oct 12
22%
Jay Kelly
22% predicting on Nov 10
22%
Jay Kelly
22% predicting on Nov 9
21%
Jay Kelly
21% predicting on Nov 8
20%
Jay Kelly
20% predicting on Nov 7
20%
Jay Kelly
20% predicting on Nov 6
20%
Jay Kelly
20% predicting on Nov 5
20%
Jay Kelly
20% predicting on Nov 4
21%
Jay Kelly
21% predicting on Nov 3
21%
Jay Kelly
21% predicting on Nov 2
21%
Jay Kelly
21% predicting on Nov 1
20%
Jay Kelly
20% predicting on Oct 31
18%
Jay Kelly
18% predicting on Oct 30
17%
Jay Kelly
17% predicting on Oct 29
17%
Jay Kelly
17% predicting on Oct 28
16%
Jay Kelly
16% predicting on Oct 27
16%
Jay Kelly
16% predicting on Oct 26
15%
Jay Kelly
15% predicting on Oct 25
14%
Jay Kelly
14% predicting on Oct 24
14%
Jay Kelly
14% predicting on Oct 23
13%
Jay Kelly
13% predicting on Oct 22
13%
Jay Kelly
13% predicting on Oct 21
13%
Jay Kelly
13% predicting on Oct 20
13%
Jay Kelly
13% predicting on Oct 19
14%
Jay Kelly
14% predicting on Oct 18
14%
Jay Kelly
14% predicting on Oct 17
14%
Jay Kelly
14% predicting on Oct 16
14%
Jay Kelly
14% predicting on Oct 15
14%
Jay Kelly
14% predicting on Oct 14
14%
Jay Kelly
14% predicting on Oct 13
13%
Jay Kelly
13% predicting on Oct 12
13%
The Secret Agent
13% predicting on Nov 10
13%
The Secret Agent
13% predicting on Nov 9
12%
The Secret Agent
12% predicting on Nov 8
12%
The Secret Agent
12% predicting on Nov 7
12%
The Secret Agent
12% predicting on Nov 6
11%
The Secret Agent
11% predicting on Nov 5
11%
The Secret Agent
11% predicting on Nov 4
10%
The Secret Agent
10% predicting on Nov 3
10%
The Secret Agent
10% predicting on Nov 2
10%
The Secret Agent
10% predicting on Nov 1
10%
The Secret Agent
10% predicting on Oct 31
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Oct 30
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Oct 29
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Oct 28
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Oct 27
8%
The Secret Agent
8% predicting on Oct 26
7%
The Secret Agent
7% predicting on Oct 25
7%
The Secret Agent
7% predicting on Oct 24
7%
The Secret Agent
7% predicting on Oct 23
6%
The Secret Agent
6% predicting on Oct 22
6%
The Secret Agent
6% predicting on Oct 21
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 20
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 19
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 18
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 17
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 16
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 15
4%
The Secret Agent
4% predicting on Oct 14
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 13
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 12
12%
The Testament of Ann Lee
12% predicting on Nov 10
11%
The Testament of Ann Lee
11% predicting on Nov 9
11%
The Testament of Ann Lee
11% predicting on Nov 8
11%
The Testament of Ann Lee
11% predicting on Nov 7
10%
The Testament of Ann Lee
10% predicting on Nov 6
10%
The Testament of Ann Lee
10% predicting on Nov 5
10%
The Testament of Ann Lee
10% predicting on Nov 4
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Nov 3
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Nov 2
10%
The Testament of Ann Lee
10% predicting on Nov 1
10%
The Testament of Ann Lee
10% predicting on Oct 31
10%
The Testament of Ann Lee
10% predicting on Oct 30
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Oct 29
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Oct 28
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Oct 27
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Oct 26
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 25
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 24
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 23
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Oct 22
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Oct 21
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Oct 20
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Oct 19
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Oct 18
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Oct 17
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Oct 16
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Oct 15
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Oct 14
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Oct 13
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Oct 12
10%
Anemone
10% predicting on Nov 10
10%
Anemone
10% predicting on Nov 9
11%
Anemone
11% predicting on Nov 8
12%
Anemone
12% predicting on Nov 7
12%
Anemone
12% predicting on Nov 6
12%
Anemone
12% predicting on Nov 5
12%
Anemone
12% predicting on Nov 4
11%
Anemone
11% predicting on Nov 3
12%
Anemone
12% predicting on Nov 2
12%
Anemone
12% predicting on Nov 1
13%
Anemone
13% predicting on Oct 31
13%
Anemone
13% predicting on Oct 30
15%
Anemone
15% predicting on Oct 29
15%
Anemone
15% predicting on Oct 28
16%
Anemone
16% predicting on Oct 27
16%
Anemone
16% predicting on Oct 26
17%
Anemone
17% predicting on Oct 25
17%
Anemone
17% predicting on Oct 24
18%
Anemone
18% predicting on Oct 23
18%
Anemone
18% predicting on Oct 22
20%
Anemone
20% predicting on Oct 21
21%
Anemone
21% predicting on Oct 20
22%
Anemone
22% predicting on Oct 19
23%
Anemone
23% predicting on Oct 18
23%
Anemone
23% predicting on Oct 17
23%
Anemone
23% predicting on Oct 16
23%
Anemone
23% predicting on Oct 15
25%
Anemone
25% predicting on Oct 14
25%
Anemone
25% predicting on Oct 13
26%
Anemone
26% predicting on Oct 12
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Nov 10
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Nov 9
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Nov 8
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Nov 7
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Nov 6
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Nov 5
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Nov 4
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Nov 3
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Nov 2
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Nov 1
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 31
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 30
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 29
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 28
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 27
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 26
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 25
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 24
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 23
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 22
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 21
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Oct 20
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Oct 19
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Oct 18
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Oct 17
4%
Is This Thing On?
4% predicting on Oct 16
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 15
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 14
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 13
5%
Is This Thing On?
5% predicting on Oct 12
98%95%94%94%36%22%13%12%10%5%