Award Expert

2026 BAFTA Predictions: Best Original Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 753 users

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Updated: Dec 26, 10:31 AM
Sentimental Value
1

Sentimental Value

Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier

WIN:80%
1%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
It Was Just an Accident
2

It Was Just an Accident

Jafar Panahi

WIN:12%
4%
change over 30 days
NOM:98%
2%
change over 30 days
Sinners
3

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

WIN:5%
NOM:96%
2%
change over 30 days
Marty Supreme
4

Marty Supreme

Josh Safdie, Ronald Bronstein

WIN:1%
1%
change over 30 days
NOM:95%
Jay Kelly
5

Jay Kelly

Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach

WIN:0%
NOM:35%
5%
change over 30 days
I Swear
6

I Swear

Kirk Jones

WIN:0%
NOM:35%
26%
change over 30 days
The Secret Agent
7

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:0%
NOM:16%
1%
change over 30 days
The Testament of Ann Lee
8

The Testament of Ann Lee

Mona Fastvold, Brady Corbet

WIN:0%
NOM:8%
11%
change over 30 days
Blue Moon
9

Blue Moon

Robert Kaplow

WIN:0%
NOM:7%
3%
change over 30 days
Sorry, Baby
10

Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor

WIN:0%
NOM:3%
2%
change over 30 days
A House of Dynamite
11

A House of Dynamite

Noah Oppenheim

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
13%
change over 30 days
Weapons
12

Weapons

Zach Cregger

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Is This Thing On?
13

Is This Thing On?

Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
4%
change over 30 days
Urchin
14

Urchin

Harris Dickinson

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
3%
change over 30 days
Anemone
15

Anemone

Daniel Day-Lewis, Ronan Day-Lewis

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
4%
change over 30 days
Rental Family
16

Rental Family

HIKARI, Stephen Blahut

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Pillion
17

Pillion

Harry Lighton

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
18

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Mary Bronstein

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
My Father's Shadow
19

My Father's Shadow

Wale Davies, Akinola Davies Jr.

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
After the Hunt
20

After the Hunt

Nora Garrett

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Ballad of Wallis Island
21

The Ballad of Wallis Island

Tom Basden, Tim Key

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Splitsville
22

Splitsville

Michael Angelo Covino, Kyle Marvin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Twinless
23

Twinless

James Sweeney

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Smashing Machine
24

The Smashing Machine

Benny Safdie

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Sound of Falling
25

Sound of Falling

Louise Peter, Mascha Schilinski

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Sentimental Value
It Was Just an Accident
Sinners
Marty Supreme
Jay Kelly
I Swear
The Secret Agent
The Testament of Ann Lee
Blue Moon
Sorry, Baby
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 13Dec 16Dec 19Dec 22Dec 2699%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Dec 26
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Dec 25
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Dec 24
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Dec 23
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Dec 22
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Dec 21
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Dec 20
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Dec 19
99%
Sentimental Value
99% predicting on Dec 18
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 17
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 16
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 15
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 14
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 13
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 12
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 11
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 10
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 9
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 8
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 7
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 6
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 5
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 4
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 3
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 2
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Dec 1
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 30
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 29
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 28
98%
Sentimental Value
98% predicting on Nov 27
98%
It Was Just an Accident
98% predicting on Dec 26
98%
It Was Just an Accident
98% predicting on Dec 25
98%
It Was Just an Accident
98% predicting on Dec 24
98%
It Was Just an Accident
98% predicting on Dec 23
98%
It Was Just an Accident
98% predicting on Dec 22
98%
It Was Just an Accident
98% predicting on Dec 21
98%
It Was Just an Accident
98% predicting on Dec 20
98%
It Was Just an Accident
98% predicting on Dec 19
98%
It Was Just an Accident
98% predicting on Dec 18
97%
It Was Just an Accident
97% predicting on Dec 17
97%
It Was Just an Accident
97% predicting on Dec 16
97%
It Was Just an Accident
97% predicting on Dec 15
97%
It Was Just an Accident
97% predicting on Dec 14
97%
It Was Just an Accident
97% predicting on Dec 13
97%
It Was Just an Accident
97% predicting on Dec 12
97%
It Was Just an Accident
97% predicting on Dec 11
97%
It Was Just an Accident
97% predicting on Dec 10
96%
It Was Just an Accident
96% predicting on Dec 9
96%
It Was Just an Accident
96% predicting on Dec 8
97%
It Was Just an Accident
97% predicting on Dec 7
96%
It Was Just an Accident
96% predicting on Dec 6
96%
It Was Just an Accident
96% predicting on Dec 5
96%
It Was Just an Accident
96% predicting on Dec 4
96%
It Was Just an Accident
96% predicting on Dec 3
96%
It Was Just an Accident
96% predicting on Dec 2
96%
It Was Just an Accident
96% predicting on Dec 1
96%
It Was Just an Accident
96% predicting on Nov 30
96%
It Was Just an Accident
96% predicting on Nov 29
96%
It Was Just an Accident
96% predicting on Nov 28
96%
It Was Just an Accident
96% predicting on Nov 27
96%
Sinners
96% predicting on Dec 26
96%
Sinners
96% predicting on Dec 25
96%
Sinners
96% predicting on Dec 24
96%
Sinners
96% predicting on Dec 23
96%
Sinners
96% predicting on Dec 22
96%
Sinners
96% predicting on Dec 21
96%
Sinners
96% predicting on Dec 20
96%
Sinners
96% predicting on Dec 19
96%
Sinners
96% predicting on Dec 18
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Dec 17
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Dec 16
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Dec 15
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Dec 14
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Dec 13
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Dec 12
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Dec 11
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Dec 10
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Dec 9
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Dec 8
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Dec 7
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Dec 6
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Dec 5
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Dec 4
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Dec 3
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Dec 2
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Dec 1
95%
Sinners
95% predicting on Nov 30
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 29
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 28
94%
Sinners
94% predicting on Nov 27
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Dec 26
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Dec 25
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 24
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Dec 23
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 22
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 21
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 20
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 19
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 18
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 17
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 16
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 15
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 14
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 13
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 12
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 11
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Dec 10
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Dec 9
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 8
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 7
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 6
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 5
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 4
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Dec 3
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Dec 2
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Dec 1
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 30
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 29
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 28
96%
Marty Supreme
96% predicting on Nov 27
35%
Jay Kelly
35% predicting on Dec 26
36%
Jay Kelly
36% predicting on Dec 25
35%
Jay Kelly
35% predicting on Dec 24
35%
Jay Kelly
35% predicting on Dec 23
36%
Jay Kelly
36% predicting on Dec 22
36%
Jay Kelly
36% predicting on Dec 21
37%
Jay Kelly
37% predicting on Dec 20
37%
Jay Kelly
37% predicting on Dec 19
38%
Jay Kelly
38% predicting on Dec 18
38%
Jay Kelly
38% predicting on Dec 17
38%
Jay Kelly
38% predicting on Dec 16
38%
Jay Kelly
38% predicting on Dec 15
38%
Jay Kelly
38% predicting on Dec 14
38%
Jay Kelly
38% predicting on Dec 13
38%
Jay Kelly
38% predicting on Dec 12
38%
Jay Kelly
38% predicting on Dec 11
39%
Jay Kelly
39% predicting on Dec 10
41%
Jay Kelly
41% predicting on Dec 9
42%
Jay Kelly
42% predicting on Dec 8
41%
Jay Kelly
41% predicting on Dec 7
39%
Jay Kelly
39% predicting on Dec 6
37%
Jay Kelly
37% predicting on Dec 5
35%
Jay Kelly
35% predicting on Dec 4
34%
Jay Kelly
34% predicting on Dec 3
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 2
32%
Jay Kelly
32% predicting on Dec 1
32%
Jay Kelly
32% predicting on Nov 30
31%
Jay Kelly
31% predicting on Nov 29
30%
Jay Kelly
30% predicting on Nov 28
30%
Jay Kelly
30% predicting on Nov 27
34%
I Swear
34% predicting on Dec 26
34%
I Swear
34% predicting on Dec 25
34%
I Swear
34% predicting on Dec 24
33%
I Swear
33% predicting on Dec 23
33%
I Swear
33% predicting on Dec 22
32%
I Swear
32% predicting on Dec 21
32%
I Swear
32% predicting on Dec 20
30%
I Swear
30% predicting on Dec 19
29%
I Swear
29% predicting on Dec 18
29%
I Swear
29% predicting on Dec 17
29%
I Swear
29% predicting on Dec 16
28%
I Swear
28% predicting on Dec 15
28%
I Swear
28% predicting on Dec 14
27%
I Swear
27% predicting on Dec 13
27%
I Swear
27% predicting on Dec 12
26%
I Swear
26% predicting on Dec 11
24%
I Swear
24% predicting on Dec 10
22%
I Swear
22% predicting on Dec 9
20%
I Swear
20% predicting on Dec 8
19%
I Swear
19% predicting on Dec 7
18%
I Swear
18% predicting on Dec 6
18%
I Swear
18% predicting on Dec 5
17%
I Swear
17% predicting on Dec 4
16%
I Swear
16% predicting on Dec 3
15%
I Swear
15% predicting on Dec 2
14%
I Swear
14% predicting on Dec 1
13%
I Swear
13% predicting on Nov 30
12%
I Swear
12% predicting on Nov 29
12%
I Swear
12% predicting on Nov 28
9%
I Swear
9% predicting on Nov 27
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 26
15%
The Secret Agent
15% predicting on Dec 25
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 24
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 23
15%
The Secret Agent
15% predicting on Dec 22
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 21
15%
The Secret Agent
15% predicting on Dec 20
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 19
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 18
15%
The Secret Agent
15% predicting on Dec 17
15%
The Secret Agent
15% predicting on Dec 16
15%
The Secret Agent
15% predicting on Dec 15
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 14
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 13
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 12
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 11
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 10
14%
The Secret Agent
14% predicting on Dec 9
12%
The Secret Agent
12% predicting on Dec 8
13%
The Secret Agent
13% predicting on Dec 7
14%
The Secret Agent
14% predicting on Dec 6
15%
The Secret Agent
15% predicting on Dec 5
15%
The Secret Agent
15% predicting on Dec 4
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 3
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 2
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 1
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Nov 30
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Nov 29
17%
The Secret Agent
17% predicting on Nov 28
17%
The Secret Agent
17% predicting on Nov 27
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Dec 26
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Dec 25
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Dec 24
9%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9% predicting on Dec 23
10%
The Testament of Ann Lee
10% predicting on Dec 22
10%
The Testament of Ann Lee
10% predicting on Dec 21
10%
The Testament of Ann Lee
10% predicting on Dec 20
10%
The Testament of Ann Lee
10% predicting on Dec 19
11%
The Testament of Ann Lee
11% predicting on Dec 18
11%
The Testament of Ann Lee
11% predicting on Dec 17
12%
The Testament of Ann Lee
12% predicting on Dec 16
12%
The Testament of Ann Lee
12% predicting on Dec 15
12%
The Testament of Ann Lee
12% predicting on Dec 14
13%
The Testament of Ann Lee
13% predicting on Dec 13
13%
The Testament of Ann Lee
13% predicting on Dec 12
14%
The Testament of Ann Lee
14% predicting on Dec 11
15%
The Testament of Ann Lee
15% predicting on Dec 10
18%
The Testament of Ann Lee
18% predicting on Dec 9
20%
The Testament of Ann Lee
20% predicting on Dec 8
21%
The Testament of Ann Lee
21% predicting on Dec 7
22%
The Testament of Ann Lee
22% predicting on Dec 6
21%
The Testament of Ann Lee
21% predicting on Dec 5
21%
The Testament of Ann Lee
21% predicting on Dec 4
21%
The Testament of Ann Lee
21% predicting on Dec 3
21%
The Testament of Ann Lee
21% predicting on Dec 2
22%
The Testament of Ann Lee
22% predicting on Dec 1
22%
The Testament of Ann Lee
22% predicting on Nov 30
21%
The Testament of Ann Lee
21% predicting on Nov 29
20%
The Testament of Ann Lee
20% predicting on Nov 28
20%
The Testament of Ann Lee
20% predicting on Nov 27
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 26
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 25
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 24
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 23
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 22
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 21
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 20
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 19
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 18
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 17
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 16
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 15
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 14
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 13
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 12
5%
Blue Moon
5% predicting on Dec 11
5%
Blue Moon
5% predicting on Dec 10
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Dec 9
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Dec 8
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Dec 7
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Dec 6
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Dec 5
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Dec 4
2%
Blue Moon
2% predicting on Dec 3
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Dec 2
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Dec 1
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Nov 30
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Nov 29
3%
Blue Moon
3% predicting on Nov 28
4%
Blue Moon
4% predicting on Nov 27
3%
Sorry, Baby
3% predicting on Dec 26
3%
Sorry, Baby
3% predicting on Dec 25
3%
Sorry, Baby
3% predicting on Dec 24
3%
Sorry, Baby
3% predicting on Dec 23
3%
Sorry, Baby
3% predicting on Dec 22
3%
Sorry, Baby
3% predicting on Dec 21
3%
Sorry, Baby
3% predicting on Dec 20
3%
Sorry, Baby
3% predicting on Dec 19
3%
Sorry, Baby
3% predicting on Dec 18
3%
Sorry, Baby
3% predicting on Dec 17
3%
Sorry, Baby
3% predicting on Dec 16
2%
Sorry, Baby
2% predicting on Dec 15
2%
Sorry, Baby
2% predicting on Dec 14
2%
Sorry, Baby
2% predicting on Dec 13
2%
Sorry, Baby
2% predicting on Dec 12
2%
Sorry, Baby
2% predicting on Dec 11
2%
Sorry, Baby
2% predicting on Dec 10
1%
Sorry, Baby
1% predicting on Dec 9
1%
Sorry, Baby
1% predicting on Dec 8
1%
Sorry, Baby
1% predicting on Dec 7
1%
Sorry, Baby
1% predicting on Dec 6
1%
Sorry, Baby
1% predicting on Dec 5
1%
Sorry, Baby
1% predicting on Dec 4
1%
Sorry, Baby
1% predicting on Dec 3
1%
Sorry, Baby
1% predicting on Dec 2
2%
Sorry, Baby
2% predicting on Dec 1
2%
Sorry, Baby
2% predicting on Nov 30
2%
Sorry, Baby
2% predicting on Nov 29
2%
Sorry, Baby
2% predicting on Nov 28
2%
Sorry, Baby
2% predicting on Nov 27
99%98%96%95%35%34%16%8%7%3%