Award Expert

2026 Oscars Predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 4,843 users

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Updated: Dec 26, 10:29 AM
One Battle After Another
1

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson

WIN:84%
7%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
Hamnet
2

Hamnet

Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell

WIN:13%
7%
change over 30 days
NOM:97%
2%
change over 30 days
Bugonia
3

Bugonia

Will Tracy

WIN:1%
NOM:81%
6%
change over 30 days
Frankenstein
4

Frankenstein

Guillermo del Toro

WIN:1%
NOM:74%
17%
change over 30 days
No Other Choice
5

No Other Choice

Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar

WIN:0%
NOM:63%
Train Dreams
6

Train Dreams

Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar

WIN:0%
NOM:58%
34%
change over 30 days
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
7

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Rian Johnson

WIN:0%
NOM:14%
42%
change over 30 days
Wicked: For Good
8

Wicked: For Good

Winnie Holzman, Dana Fox

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
7%
change over 30 days
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
9

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Scott Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
2%
change over 30 days
The Life of Chuck
10

The Life of Chuck

Mike Flanagan

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
1%
change over 30 days
Die My Love
11

Die My Love

Enda Walsh, Lynne Ramsay, Alice Birch

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Nuremberg
12

Nuremberg

James Vanderbilt

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Smashing Machine
13

The Smashing Machine

Benny Safdie

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Ballad of a Small Player
14

Ballad of a Small Player

Rowan Joffé

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Long Walk
15

The Long Walk

JT Mollner

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Hedda
16

Hedda

Nia DaCosta

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Secret Agent
17

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Mickey 17
18

Mickey 17

Bong Joon Ho

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Blue Moon
19

Blue Moon

Robert Kaplow

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Nouvelle Vague
20

Nouvelle Vague

Vincent Palmo Jr., Holly Gent, Laetitia Masson, Michèle Pétin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Highest 2 Lowest
21

Highest 2 Lowest

Alan Fox

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Pillion
22

Pillion

Harry Lighton

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Song Sung Blue
23

Song Sung Blue

Craig Brewer

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Superman
24

Superman

James Gunn

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
28 Years Later
25

28 Years Later

Alex Garland

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

One Battle After Another
Hamnet
Bugonia
Frankenstein
No Other Choice
Train Dreams
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
Wicked: For Good
The Life of Chuck
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 13Dec 16Dec 19Dec 22Dec 2699%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 26
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 25
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 24
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 23
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 22
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 21
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 20
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 19
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 18
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 17
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 16
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 15
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 14
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 13
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 12
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 11
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 10
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 9
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 8
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 7
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 6
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 5
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 4
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 3
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 2
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Dec 1
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 30
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 29
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 28
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 27
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 26
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 25
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 24
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 23
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 22
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 21
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 20
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 19
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 18
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 17
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 16
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 15
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 14
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 13
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 12
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Dec 11
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 10
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 9
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 8
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Dec 7
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Dec 6
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Dec 5
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Dec 4
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Dec 3
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Dec 2
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Dec 1
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Nov 30
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Nov 29
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Nov 28
95%
Hamnet
95% predicting on Nov 27
81%
Bugonia
81% predicting on Dec 26
81%
Bugonia
81% predicting on Dec 25
81%
Bugonia
81% predicting on Dec 24
80%
Bugonia
80% predicting on Dec 23
80%
Bugonia
80% predicting on Dec 22
80%
Bugonia
80% predicting on Dec 21
80%
Bugonia
80% predicting on Dec 20
80%
Bugonia
80% predicting on Dec 19
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Dec 18
76%
Bugonia
76% predicting on Dec 17
76%
Bugonia
76% predicting on Dec 16
76%
Bugonia
76% predicting on Dec 15
76%
Bugonia
76% predicting on Dec 14
76%
Bugonia
76% predicting on Dec 13
75%
Bugonia
75% predicting on Dec 12
75%
Bugonia
75% predicting on Dec 11
75%
Bugonia
75% predicting on Dec 10
74%
Bugonia
74% predicting on Dec 9
72%
Bugonia
72% predicting on Dec 8
72%
Bugonia
72% predicting on Dec 7
72%
Bugonia
72% predicting on Dec 6
71%
Bugonia
71% predicting on Dec 5
72%
Bugonia
72% predicting on Dec 4
73%
Bugonia
73% predicting on Dec 3
73%
Bugonia
73% predicting on Dec 2
74%
Bugonia
74% predicting on Dec 1
74%
Bugonia
74% predicting on Nov 30
74%
Bugonia
74% predicting on Nov 29
75%
Bugonia
75% predicting on Nov 28
75%
Bugonia
75% predicting on Nov 27
74%
Frankenstein
74% predicting on Dec 26
74%
Frankenstein
74% predicting on Dec 25
74%
Frankenstein
74% predicting on Dec 24
73%
Frankenstein
73% predicting on Dec 23
73%
Frankenstein
73% predicting on Dec 22
73%
Frankenstein
73% predicting on Dec 21
72%
Frankenstein
72% predicting on Dec 20
72%
Frankenstein
72% predicting on Dec 19
72%
Frankenstein
72% predicting on Dec 18
69%
Frankenstein
69% predicting on Dec 17
69%
Frankenstein
69% predicting on Dec 16
69%
Frankenstein
69% predicting on Dec 15
69%
Frankenstein
69% predicting on Dec 14
69%
Frankenstein
69% predicting on Dec 13
69%
Frankenstein
69% predicting on Dec 12
68%
Frankenstein
68% predicting on Dec 11
68%
Frankenstein
68% predicting on Dec 10
67%
Frankenstein
67% predicting on Dec 9
65%
Frankenstein
65% predicting on Dec 8
64%
Frankenstein
64% predicting on Dec 7
63%
Frankenstein
63% predicting on Dec 6
63%
Frankenstein
63% predicting on Dec 5
63%
Frankenstein
63% predicting on Dec 4
62%
Frankenstein
62% predicting on Dec 3
61%
Frankenstein
61% predicting on Dec 2
61%
Frankenstein
61% predicting on Dec 1
60%
Frankenstein
60% predicting on Nov 30
60%
Frankenstein
60% predicting on Nov 29
59%
Frankenstein
59% predicting on Nov 28
58%
Frankenstein
58% predicting on Nov 27
63%
No Other Choice
63% predicting on Dec 26
64%
No Other Choice
64% predicting on Dec 25
64%
No Other Choice
64% predicting on Dec 24
64%
No Other Choice
64% predicting on Dec 23
65%
No Other Choice
65% predicting on Dec 22
65%
No Other Choice
65% predicting on Dec 21
66%
No Other Choice
66% predicting on Dec 20
66%
No Other Choice
66% predicting on Dec 19
66%
No Other Choice
66% predicting on Dec 18
73%
No Other Choice
73% predicting on Dec 17
73%
No Other Choice
73% predicting on Dec 16
73%
No Other Choice
73% predicting on Dec 15
73%
No Other Choice
73% predicting on Dec 14
73%
No Other Choice
73% predicting on Dec 13
73%
No Other Choice
73% predicting on Dec 12
73%
No Other Choice
73% predicting on Dec 11
72%
No Other Choice
72% predicting on Dec 10
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Dec 9
68%
No Other Choice
68% predicting on Dec 8
68%
No Other Choice
68% predicting on Dec 7
67%
No Other Choice
67% predicting on Dec 6
68%
No Other Choice
68% predicting on Dec 5
68%
No Other Choice
68% predicting on Dec 4
67%
No Other Choice
67% predicting on Dec 3
67%
No Other Choice
67% predicting on Dec 2
66%
No Other Choice
66% predicting on Dec 1
66%
No Other Choice
66% predicting on Nov 30
65%
No Other Choice
65% predicting on Nov 29
65%
No Other Choice
65% predicting on Nov 28
63%
No Other Choice
63% predicting on Nov 27
58%
Train Dreams
58% predicting on Dec 26
58%
Train Dreams
58% predicting on Dec 25
57%
Train Dreams
57% predicting on Dec 24
57%
Train Dreams
57% predicting on Dec 23
56%
Train Dreams
56% predicting on Dec 22
56%
Train Dreams
56% predicting on Dec 21
56%
Train Dreams
56% predicting on Dec 20
54%
Train Dreams
54% predicting on Dec 19
54%
Train Dreams
54% predicting on Dec 18
50%
Train Dreams
50% predicting on Dec 17
50%
Train Dreams
50% predicting on Dec 16
49%
Train Dreams
49% predicting on Dec 15
49%
Train Dreams
49% predicting on Dec 14
48%
Train Dreams
48% predicting on Dec 13
47%
Train Dreams
47% predicting on Dec 12
46%
Train Dreams
46% predicting on Dec 11
46%
Train Dreams
46% predicting on Dec 10
44%
Train Dreams
44% predicting on Dec 9
42%
Train Dreams
42% predicting on Dec 8
41%
Train Dreams
41% predicting on Dec 7
36%
Train Dreams
36% predicting on Dec 6
33%
Train Dreams
33% predicting on Dec 5
30%
Train Dreams
30% predicting on Dec 4
29%
Train Dreams
29% predicting on Dec 3
28%
Train Dreams
28% predicting on Dec 2
27%
Train Dreams
27% predicting on Dec 1
27%
Train Dreams
27% predicting on Nov 30
26%
Train Dreams
26% predicting on Nov 29
25%
Train Dreams
25% predicting on Nov 28
24%
Train Dreams
24% predicting on Nov 27
15%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
15% predicting on Dec 26
15%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
15% predicting on Dec 25
16%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
16% predicting on Dec 24
16%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
16% predicting on Dec 23
17%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
17% predicting on Dec 22
17%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
17% predicting on Dec 21
17%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
17% predicting on Dec 20
18%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
18% predicting on Dec 19
19%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
19% predicting on Dec 18
21%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
21% predicting on Dec 17
21%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
21% predicting on Dec 16
22%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
22% predicting on Dec 15
22%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
22% predicting on Dec 14
22%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
22% predicting on Dec 13
23%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
23% predicting on Dec 12
25%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
25% predicting on Dec 11
26%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
26% predicting on Dec 10
29%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
29% predicting on Dec 9
36%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
36% predicting on Dec 8
37%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
37% predicting on Dec 7
42%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
42% predicting on Dec 6
46%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
46% predicting on Dec 5
47%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
47% predicting on Dec 4
48%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
48% predicting on Dec 3
50%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
50% predicting on Dec 2
51%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
51% predicting on Dec 1
51%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
51% predicting on Nov 30
52%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
52% predicting on Nov 29
54%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
54% predicting on Nov 28
57%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
57% predicting on Nov 27
1%
Wicked: For Good
1% predicting on Dec 26
2%
Wicked: For Good
2% predicting on Dec 25
2%
Wicked: For Good
2% predicting on Dec 24
2%
Wicked: For Good
2% predicting on Dec 23
2%
Wicked: For Good
2% predicting on Dec 22
2%
Wicked: For Good
2% predicting on Dec 21
2%
Wicked: For Good
2% predicting on Dec 20
2%
Wicked: For Good
2% predicting on Dec 19
2%
Wicked: For Good
2% predicting on Dec 18
2%
Wicked: For Good
2% predicting on Dec 17
2%
Wicked: For Good
2% predicting on Dec 16
2%
Wicked: For Good
2% predicting on Dec 15
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Dec 14
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Dec 13
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Dec 12
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Dec 11
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Dec 10
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Dec 9
5%
Wicked: For Good
5% predicting on Dec 8
5%
Wicked: For Good
5% predicting on Dec 7
6%
Wicked: For Good
6% predicting on Dec 6
6%
Wicked: For Good
6% predicting on Dec 5
6%
Wicked: For Good
6% predicting on Dec 4
7%
Wicked: For Good
7% predicting on Dec 3
7%
Wicked: For Good
7% predicting on Dec 2
7%
Wicked: For Good
7% predicting on Dec 1
7%
Wicked: For Good
7% predicting on Nov 30
8%
Wicked: For Good
8% predicting on Nov 29
8%
Wicked: For Good
8% predicting on Nov 28
8%
Wicked: For Good
8% predicting on Nov 27
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 26
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 25
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 24
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 23
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 22
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 21
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 20
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 19
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 18
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 17
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 16
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 15
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 14
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 13
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 12
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 11
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 10
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 9
1%
The Life of Chuck
1% predicting on Dec 8
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 7
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 6
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 5
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 4
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 3
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 2
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Dec 1
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 30
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 29
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 28
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 27
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 26
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 25
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 24
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 23
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 22
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 21
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 20
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 19
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 18
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 17
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 16
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 15
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 14
0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
0% predicting on Dec 13
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 12
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 11
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 10
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 9
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 8
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 7
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 6
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 5
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 4
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 3
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 2
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Dec 1
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Nov 30
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Nov 29
1%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
1% predicting on Nov 28
2%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
2% predicting on Nov 27
99%97%81%74%63%58%15%1%1%0%