Award Expert

2026 Oscars Predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 3,532 users

Updated: Nov 10, 6:29 PM
One Battle After Another
1

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson

WIN:77%
2%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
Hamnet
2

Hamnet

Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell

WIN:20%
2%
change over 30 days
NOM:96%
Bugonia
3

Bugonia

Will Tracy

WIN:1%
NOM:79%
3%
change over 30 days
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
4

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Rian Johnson

WIN:0%
NOM:70%
4%
change over 30 days
No Other Choice
5

No Other Choice

Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar

WIN:0%
NOM:65%
3%
change over 30 days
Frankenstein
6

Frankenstein

Guillermo del Toro

WIN:1%
NOM:41%
24%
change over 30 days
Wicked: For Good
7

Wicked: For Good

Winnie Holzman, Dana Fox

WIN:0%
NOM:13%
3%
change over 30 days
Train Dreams
8

Train Dreams

Greg Kwedar, Clint Bentley

WIN:0%
NOM:13%
8%
change over 30 days
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
9

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Scott Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
23%
change over 30 days
The Life of Chuck
10

The Life of Chuck

Mike Flanagan

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
2%
change over 30 days
Die My Love
11

Die My Love

Lynne Ramsay, Enda Walsh, Alice Birch

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
The Smashing Machine
12

The Smashing Machine

Benny Safdie

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Nuremberg
13

Nuremberg

James Vanderbilt

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Ballad of a Small Player
14

Ballad of a Small Player

Rowan Joffé

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Long Walk
15

The Long Walk

JT Mollner

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Song Sung Blue
16

Song Sung Blue

Craig Brewer

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Mickey 17
17

Mickey 17

Bong Joon Ho

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
The Secret Agent
18

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Hedda
19

Hedda

Nia DaCosta

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Highest 2 Lowest
20

Highest 2 Lowest

Alan Fox

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Superman
21

Superman

James Gunn

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie
22

Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie

Matt Johnson, Jay McCarrol

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Caught Stealing
23

Caught Stealing

Charlie Huston

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Kiss of the Spider Woman
24

Kiss of the Spider Woman

Bill Condon

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
28 Years Later
25

28 Years Later

Alex Garland

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

One Battle After Another
Hamnet
Bugonia
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
No Other Choice
Frankenstein
Train Dreams
Wicked: For Good
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
The Life of Chuck
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 1099%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 10
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 9
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 8
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 7
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 6
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 5
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 4
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 3
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 2
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 1
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 31
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 30
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 29
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 28
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 27
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 26
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 25
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 24
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 23
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 22
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 21
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 20
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 19
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 18
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 17
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 16
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 15
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 14
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 13
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 12
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Nov 10
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Nov 9
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Nov 8
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Nov 7
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Nov 6
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Nov 5
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Nov 4
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Nov 3
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Nov 2
97%
Hamnet
97% predicting on Nov 1
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 31
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 30
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 29
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 28
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 27
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 26
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 25
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 24
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 23
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 22
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 21
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 20
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 19
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 18
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 17
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 16
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 15
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 14
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 13
96%
Hamnet
96% predicting on Oct 12
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Nov 10
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Nov 9
80%
Bugonia
80% predicting on Nov 8
80%
Bugonia
80% predicting on Nov 7
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Nov 6
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Nov 5
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Nov 4
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Nov 3
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Nov 2
78%
Bugonia
78% predicting on Nov 1
78%
Bugonia
78% predicting on Oct 31
78%
Bugonia
78% predicting on Oct 30
78%
Bugonia
78% predicting on Oct 29
78%
Bugonia
78% predicting on Oct 28
78%
Bugonia
78% predicting on Oct 27
78%
Bugonia
78% predicting on Oct 26
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Oct 25
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Oct 24
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Oct 23
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Oct 22
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Oct 21
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Oct 20
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Oct 19
79%
Bugonia
79% predicting on Oct 18
78%
Bugonia
78% predicting on Oct 17
78%
Bugonia
78% predicting on Oct 16
77%
Bugonia
77% predicting on Oct 15
77%
Bugonia
77% predicting on Oct 14
77%
Bugonia
77% predicting on Oct 13
76%
Bugonia
76% predicting on Oct 12
71%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
71% predicting on Nov 10
72%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
72% predicting on Nov 9
72%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
72% predicting on Nov 8
72%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
72% predicting on Nov 7
72%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
72% predicting on Nov 6
72%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
72% predicting on Nov 5
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Nov 4
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Nov 3
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Nov 2
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Nov 1
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 31
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 30
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 29
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 28
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 27
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 26
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 25
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 24
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 23
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 22
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 21
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 20
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 19
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 18
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 17
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 16
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 15
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 14
73%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
73% predicting on Oct 13
74%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
74% predicting on Oct 12
66%
No Other Choice
66% predicting on Nov 10
67%
No Other Choice
67% predicting on Nov 9
68%
No Other Choice
68% predicting on Nov 8
69%
No Other Choice
69% predicting on Nov 7
69%
No Other Choice
69% predicting on Nov 6
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Nov 5
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Nov 4
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Nov 3
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Nov 2
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Nov 1
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 31
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 30
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 29
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 28
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 27
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 26
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 25
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 24
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 23
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 22
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 21
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 20
70%
No Other Choice
70% predicting on Oct 19
69%
No Other Choice
69% predicting on Oct 18
69%
No Other Choice
69% predicting on Oct 17
69%
No Other Choice
69% predicting on Oct 16
69%
No Other Choice
69% predicting on Oct 15
69%
No Other Choice
69% predicting on Oct 14
69%
No Other Choice
69% predicting on Oct 13
69%
No Other Choice
69% predicting on Oct 12
39%
Frankenstein
39% predicting on Nov 10
37%
Frankenstein
37% predicting on Nov 9
35%
Frankenstein
35% predicting on Nov 8
33%
Frankenstein
33% predicting on Nov 7
33%
Frankenstein
33% predicting on Nov 6
32%
Frankenstein
32% predicting on Nov 5
32%
Frankenstein
32% predicting on Nov 4
31%
Frankenstein
31% predicting on Nov 3
31%
Frankenstein
31% predicting on Nov 2
31%
Frankenstein
31% predicting on Nov 1
30%
Frankenstein
30% predicting on Oct 31
29%
Frankenstein
29% predicting on Oct 30
29%
Frankenstein
29% predicting on Oct 29
28%
Frankenstein
28% predicting on Oct 28
27%
Frankenstein
27% predicting on Oct 27
26%
Frankenstein
26% predicting on Oct 26
25%
Frankenstein
25% predicting on Oct 25
24%
Frankenstein
24% predicting on Oct 24
23%
Frankenstein
23% predicting on Oct 23
22%
Frankenstein
22% predicting on Oct 22
21%
Frankenstein
21% predicting on Oct 21
21%
Frankenstein
21% predicting on Oct 20
20%
Frankenstein
20% predicting on Oct 19
19%
Frankenstein
19% predicting on Oct 18
18%
Frankenstein
18% predicting on Oct 17
18%
Frankenstein
18% predicting on Oct 16
18%
Frankenstein
18% predicting on Oct 15
18%
Frankenstein
18% predicting on Oct 14
17%
Frankenstein
17% predicting on Oct 13
18%
Frankenstein
18% predicting on Oct 12
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 10
13%
Train Dreams
13% predicting on Nov 9
12%
Train Dreams
12% predicting on Nov 8
12%
Train Dreams
12% predicting on Nov 7
11%
Train Dreams
11% predicting on Nov 6
11%
Train Dreams
11% predicting on Nov 5
11%
Train Dreams
11% predicting on Nov 4
11%
Train Dreams
11% predicting on Nov 3
10%
Train Dreams
10% predicting on Nov 2
10%
Train Dreams
10% predicting on Nov 1
10%
Train Dreams
10% predicting on Oct 31
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Oct 30
9%
Train Dreams
9% predicting on Oct 29
8%
Train Dreams
8% predicting on Oct 28
8%
Train Dreams
8% predicting on Oct 27
7%
Train Dreams
7% predicting on Oct 26
7%
Train Dreams
7% predicting on Oct 25
7%
Train Dreams
7% predicting on Oct 24
7%
Train Dreams
7% predicting on Oct 23
7%
Train Dreams
7% predicting on Oct 22
7%
Train Dreams
7% predicting on Oct 21
6%
Train Dreams
6% predicting on Oct 20
6%
Train Dreams
6% predicting on Oct 19
6%
Train Dreams
6% predicting on Oct 18
6%
Train Dreams
6% predicting on Oct 17
6%
Train Dreams
6% predicting on Oct 16
6%
Train Dreams
6% predicting on Oct 15
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Oct 14
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Oct 13
5%
Train Dreams
5% predicting on Oct 12
12%
Wicked: For Good
12% predicting on Nov 10
12%
Wicked: For Good
12% predicting on Nov 9
12%
Wicked: For Good
12% predicting on Nov 8
12%
Wicked: For Good
12% predicting on Nov 7
12%
Wicked: For Good
12% predicting on Nov 6
12%
Wicked: For Good
12% predicting on Nov 5
12%
Wicked: For Good
12% predicting on Nov 4
12%
Wicked: For Good
12% predicting on Nov 3
12%
Wicked: For Good
12% predicting on Nov 2
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Nov 1
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 31
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 30
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 29
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 28
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 27
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 26
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 25
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 24
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 23
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 22
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 21
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 20
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 19
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 18
11%
Wicked: For Good
11% predicting on Oct 17
10%
Wicked: For Good
10% predicting on Oct 16
10%
Wicked: For Good
10% predicting on Oct 15
10%
Wicked: For Good
10% predicting on Oct 14
10%
Wicked: For Good
10% predicting on Oct 13
10%
Wicked: For Good
10% predicting on Oct 12
5%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
5% predicting on Nov 10
6%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
6% predicting on Nov 9
7%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
7% predicting on Nov 8
8%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
8% predicting on Nov 7
8%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
8% predicting on Nov 6
8%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
8% predicting on Nov 5
9%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
9% predicting on Nov 4
9%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
9% predicting on Nov 3
10%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
10% predicting on Nov 2
10%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
10% predicting on Nov 1
11%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
11% predicting on Oct 31
11%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
11% predicting on Oct 30
12%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
12% predicting on Oct 29
13%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
13% predicting on Oct 28
13%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
13% predicting on Oct 27
14%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
14% predicting on Oct 26
15%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
15% predicting on Oct 25
16%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
16% predicting on Oct 24
17%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
17% predicting on Oct 23
17%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
17% predicting on Oct 22
18%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
18% predicting on Oct 21
19%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
19% predicting on Oct 20
20%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
20% predicting on Oct 19
21%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
21% predicting on Oct 18
23%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
23% predicting on Oct 17
25%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
25% predicting on Oct 16
26%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
26% predicting on Oct 15
27%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
27% predicting on Oct 14
28%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
28% predicting on Oct 13
28%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
28% predicting on Oct 12
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 10
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 9
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 8
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 7
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 6
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 5
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 4
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 3
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 2
2%
The Life of Chuck
2% predicting on Nov 1
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 31
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 30
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 29
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 28
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 27
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 26
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 25
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 24
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 23
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 22
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 21
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 20
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 19
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 18
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 17
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 16
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 15
3%
The Life of Chuck
3% predicting on Oct 14
4%
The Life of Chuck
4% predicting on Oct 13
4%
The Life of Chuck
4% predicting on Oct 12
99%97%79%71%66%39%13%12%5%2%