Award Expert

2026 Oscars Predictions: Best Director

Aggregated predictions from 4,055 users

Updated: Nov 10, 6:29 PM
One Battle After Another
1

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson

WIN:90%
4%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
Hamnet
2

Hamnet

Chloé Zhao

WIN:3%
NOM:93%
Sinners
3

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

WIN:5%
4%
change over 30 days
NOM:80%
8%
change over 30 days
Sentimental Value
4

Sentimental Value

Joachim Trier

WIN:1%
NOM:70%
7%
change over 30 days
It Was Just an Accident
5

It Was Just an Accident

Jafar Panahi

WIN:0%
NOM:58%
13%
change over 30 days
Marty Supreme
6

Marty Supreme

Josh Safdie

WIN:0%
NOM:56%
11%
change over 30 days
No Other Choice
7

No Other Choice

Park Chan-wook

WIN:0%
NOM:9%
8%
change over 30 days
Frankenstein
8

Frankenstein

Guillermo del Toro

WIN:0%
NOM:8%
5%
change over 30 days
Bugonia
9

Bugonia

Yorgos Lanthimos

WIN:0%
NOM:6%
2%
change over 30 days
Wicked: For Good
10

Wicked: For Good

Jon M. Chu

WIN:0%
NOM:5%
2%
change over 30 days
The Secret Agent
11

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
A House of Dynamite
12

A House of Dynamite

Kathryn Bigelow

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
2%
change over 30 days
The Testament of Ann Lee
13

The Testament of Ann Lee

Mona Fastvold

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Jay Kelly
14

Jay Kelly

Noah Baumbach

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
15

Avatar: Fire and Ash

James Cameron

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Smashing Machine
16

The Smashing Machine

Benny Safdie

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
After the Hunt
17

After the Hunt

Luca Guadagnino

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Weapons
18

Weapons

Zach Cregger

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
F1
19

F1

Joseph Kosinski

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Die My Love
20

Die My Love

Lynne Ramsay

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
21

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

Scott Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Mickey 17
22

Mickey 17

Bong Joon Ho

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Rental Family
23

Rental Family

HIKARI

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Train Dreams
24

Train Dreams

Clint Bentley

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Sorry, Baby
25

Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

One Battle After Another
Hamnet
Sinners
Sentimental Value
It Was Just an Accident
Marty Supreme
No Other Choice
Frankenstein
Bugonia
Wicked: For Good
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 1099%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 10
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 9
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 8
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 7
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 6
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 5
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 4
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 3
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 2
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Nov 1
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 31
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 30
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 29
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 28
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 27
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 26
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 25
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 24
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 23
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 22
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 21
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 20
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 19
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 18
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 17
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 16
99%
One Battle After Another
99% predicting on Oct 15
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 14
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 13
98%
One Battle After Another
98% predicting on Oct 12
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Nov 10
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Nov 9
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Nov 8
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Nov 7
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Nov 6
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Nov 5
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Nov 4
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Nov 3
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Nov 2
94%
Hamnet
94% predicting on Nov 1
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 31
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 30
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 29
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 28
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 27
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 26
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 25
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 24
92%
Hamnet
92% predicting on Oct 23
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 22
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 21
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 20
92%
Hamnet
92% predicting on Oct 19
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 18
92%
Hamnet
92% predicting on Oct 17
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 16
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 15
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 14
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 13
93%
Hamnet
93% predicting on Oct 12
80%
Sinners
80% predicting on Nov 10
80%
Sinners
80% predicting on Nov 9
81%
Sinners
81% predicting on Nov 8
81%
Sinners
81% predicting on Nov 7
81%
Sinners
81% predicting on Nov 6
81%
Sinners
81% predicting on Nov 5
81%
Sinners
81% predicting on Nov 4
81%
Sinners
81% predicting on Nov 3
81%
Sinners
81% predicting on Nov 2
81%
Sinners
81% predicting on Nov 1
82%
Sinners
82% predicting on Oct 31
82%
Sinners
82% predicting on Oct 30
82%
Sinners
82% predicting on Oct 29
82%
Sinners
82% predicting on Oct 28
83%
Sinners
83% predicting on Oct 27
83%
Sinners
83% predicting on Oct 26
83%
Sinners
83% predicting on Oct 25
83%
Sinners
83% predicting on Oct 24
83%
Sinners
83% predicting on Oct 23
83%
Sinners
83% predicting on Oct 22
84%
Sinners
84% predicting on Oct 21
84%
Sinners
84% predicting on Oct 20
85%
Sinners
85% predicting on Oct 19
86%
Sinners
86% predicting on Oct 18
86%
Sinners
86% predicting on Oct 17
87%
Sinners
87% predicting on Oct 16
87%
Sinners
87% predicting on Oct 15
87%
Sinners
87% predicting on Oct 14
87%
Sinners
87% predicting on Oct 13
88%
Sinners
88% predicting on Oct 12
70%
Sentimental Value
70% predicting on Nov 10
71%
Sentimental Value
71% predicting on Nov 9
71%
Sentimental Value
71% predicting on Nov 8
71%
Sentimental Value
71% predicting on Nov 7
71%
Sentimental Value
71% predicting on Nov 6
71%
Sentimental Value
71% predicting on Nov 5
71%
Sentimental Value
71% predicting on Nov 4
71%
Sentimental Value
71% predicting on Nov 3
71%
Sentimental Value
71% predicting on Nov 2
72%
Sentimental Value
72% predicting on Nov 1
72%
Sentimental Value
72% predicting on Oct 31
72%
Sentimental Value
72% predicting on Oct 30
72%
Sentimental Value
72% predicting on Oct 29
72%
Sentimental Value
72% predicting on Oct 28
72%
Sentimental Value
72% predicting on Oct 27
73%
Sentimental Value
73% predicting on Oct 26
73%
Sentimental Value
73% predicting on Oct 25
73%
Sentimental Value
73% predicting on Oct 24
73%
Sentimental Value
73% predicting on Oct 23
73%
Sentimental Value
73% predicting on Oct 22
73%
Sentimental Value
73% predicting on Oct 21
73%
Sentimental Value
73% predicting on Oct 20
74%
Sentimental Value
74% predicting on Oct 19
75%
Sentimental Value
75% predicting on Oct 18
76%
Sentimental Value
76% predicting on Oct 17
76%
Sentimental Value
76% predicting on Oct 16
77%
Sentimental Value
77% predicting on Oct 15
77%
Sentimental Value
77% predicting on Oct 14
77%
Sentimental Value
77% predicting on Oct 13
77%
Sentimental Value
77% predicting on Oct 12
59%
It Was Just an Accident
59% predicting on Nov 10
59%
It Was Just an Accident
59% predicting on Nov 9
57%
It Was Just an Accident
57% predicting on Nov 8
56%
It Was Just an Accident
56% predicting on Nov 7
55%
It Was Just an Accident
55% predicting on Nov 6
55%
It Was Just an Accident
55% predicting on Nov 5
54%
It Was Just an Accident
54% predicting on Nov 4
54%
It Was Just an Accident
54% predicting on Nov 3
54%
It Was Just an Accident
54% predicting on Nov 2
54%
It Was Just an Accident
54% predicting on Nov 1
53%
It Was Just an Accident
53% predicting on Oct 31
52%
It Was Just an Accident
52% predicting on Oct 30
52%
It Was Just an Accident
52% predicting on Oct 29
52%
It Was Just an Accident
52% predicting on Oct 28
51%
It Was Just an Accident
51% predicting on Oct 27
51%
It Was Just an Accident
51% predicting on Oct 26
51%
It Was Just an Accident
51% predicting on Oct 25
50%
It Was Just an Accident
50% predicting on Oct 24
50%
It Was Just an Accident
50% predicting on Oct 23
50%
It Was Just an Accident
50% predicting on Oct 22
49%
It Was Just an Accident
49% predicting on Oct 21
49%
It Was Just an Accident
49% predicting on Oct 20
48%
It Was Just an Accident
48% predicting on Oct 19
47%
It Was Just an Accident
47% predicting on Oct 18
46%
It Was Just an Accident
46% predicting on Oct 17
46%
It Was Just an Accident
46% predicting on Oct 16
46%
It Was Just an Accident
46% predicting on Oct 15
46%
It Was Just an Accident
46% predicting on Oct 14
46%
It Was Just an Accident
46% predicting on Oct 13
46%
It Was Just an Accident
46% predicting on Oct 12
57%
Marty Supreme
57% predicting on Nov 10
58%
Marty Supreme
58% predicting on Nov 9
58%
Marty Supreme
58% predicting on Nov 8
59%
Marty Supreme
59% predicting on Nov 7
60%
Marty Supreme
60% predicting on Nov 6
60%
Marty Supreme
60% predicting on Nov 5
60%
Marty Supreme
60% predicting on Nov 4
60%
Marty Supreme
60% predicting on Nov 3
60%
Marty Supreme
60% predicting on Nov 2
59%
Marty Supreme
59% predicting on Nov 1
59%
Marty Supreme
59% predicting on Oct 31
58%
Marty Supreme
58% predicting on Oct 30
58%
Marty Supreme
58% predicting on Oct 29
57%
Marty Supreme
57% predicting on Oct 28
57%
Marty Supreme
57% predicting on Oct 27
56%
Marty Supreme
56% predicting on Oct 26
56%
Marty Supreme
56% predicting on Oct 25
56%
Marty Supreme
56% predicting on Oct 24
55%
Marty Supreme
55% predicting on Oct 23
55%
Marty Supreme
55% predicting on Oct 22
54%
Marty Supreme
54% predicting on Oct 21
53%
Marty Supreme
53% predicting on Oct 20
52%
Marty Supreme
52% predicting on Oct 19
50%
Marty Supreme
50% predicting on Oct 18
49%
Marty Supreme
49% predicting on Oct 17
48%
Marty Supreme
48% predicting on Oct 16
47%
Marty Supreme
47% predicting on Oct 15
46%
Marty Supreme
46% predicting on Oct 14
46%
Marty Supreme
46% predicting on Oct 13
45%
Marty Supreme
45% predicting on Oct 12
9%
No Other Choice
9% predicting on Nov 10
9%
No Other Choice
9% predicting on Nov 9
9%
No Other Choice
9% predicting on Nov 8
9%
No Other Choice
9% predicting on Nov 7
9%
No Other Choice
9% predicting on Nov 6
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Nov 5
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Nov 4
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Nov 3
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Nov 2
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Nov 1
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Oct 31
10%
No Other Choice
10% predicting on Oct 30
11%
No Other Choice
11% predicting on Oct 29
11%
No Other Choice
11% predicting on Oct 28
11%
No Other Choice
11% predicting on Oct 27
11%
No Other Choice
11% predicting on Oct 26
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Oct 25
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Oct 24
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Oct 23
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Oct 22
12%
No Other Choice
12% predicting on Oct 21
13%
No Other Choice
13% predicting on Oct 20
13%
No Other Choice
13% predicting on Oct 19
14%
No Other Choice
14% predicting on Oct 18
15%
No Other Choice
15% predicting on Oct 17
15%
No Other Choice
15% predicting on Oct 16
16%
No Other Choice
16% predicting on Oct 15
16%
No Other Choice
16% predicting on Oct 14
16%
No Other Choice
16% predicting on Oct 13
16%
No Other Choice
16% predicting on Oct 12
7%
Frankenstein
7% predicting on Nov 10
6%
Frankenstein
6% predicting on Nov 9
5%
Frankenstein
5% predicting on Nov 8
5%
Frankenstein
5% predicting on Nov 7
5%
Frankenstein
5% predicting on Nov 6
5%
Frankenstein
5% predicting on Nov 5
5%
Frankenstein
5% predicting on Nov 4
5%
Frankenstein
5% predicting on Nov 3
5%
Frankenstein
5% predicting on Nov 2
5%
Frankenstein
5% predicting on Nov 1
5%
Frankenstein
5% predicting on Oct 31
4%
Frankenstein
4% predicting on Oct 30
4%
Frankenstein
4% predicting on Oct 29
4%
Frankenstein
4% predicting on Oct 28
4%
Frankenstein
4% predicting on Oct 27
4%
Frankenstein
4% predicting on Oct 26
4%
Frankenstein
4% predicting on Oct 25
4%
Frankenstein
4% predicting on Oct 24
4%
Frankenstein
4% predicting on Oct 23
3%
Frankenstein
3% predicting on Oct 22
4%
Frankenstein
4% predicting on Oct 21
3%
Frankenstein
3% predicting on Oct 20
4%
Frankenstein
4% predicting on Oct 19
4%
Frankenstein
4% predicting on Oct 18
3%
Frankenstein
3% predicting on Oct 17
3%
Frankenstein
3% predicting on Oct 16
3%
Frankenstein
3% predicting on Oct 15
3%
Frankenstein
3% predicting on Oct 14
3%
Frankenstein
3% predicting on Oct 13
3%
Frankenstein
3% predicting on Oct 12
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Nov 10
5%
Bugonia
5% predicting on Nov 9
5%
Bugonia
5% predicting on Nov 8
5%
Bugonia
5% predicting on Nov 7
5%
Bugonia
5% predicting on Nov 6
5%
Bugonia
5% predicting on Nov 5
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Nov 4
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Nov 3
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Nov 2
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Nov 1
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Oct 31
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Oct 30
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Oct 29
6%
Bugonia
6% predicting on Oct 28
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 27
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 26
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 25
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 24
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 23
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 22
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 21
7%
Bugonia
7% predicting on Oct 20
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 19
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 18
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 17
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 16
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 15
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 14
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 13
8%
Bugonia
8% predicting on Oct 12
5%
Wicked: For Good
5% predicting on Nov 10
5%
Wicked: For Good
5% predicting on Nov 9
5%
Wicked: For Good
5% predicting on Nov 8
5%
Wicked: For Good
5% predicting on Nov 7
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 6
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 5
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 4
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 3
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 2
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Nov 1
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 31
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 30
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 29
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 28
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 27
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 26
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 25
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 24
4%
Wicked: For Good
4% predicting on Oct 23
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 22
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 21
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 20
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 19
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 18
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 17
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 16
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 15
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 14
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 13
3%
Wicked: For Good
3% predicting on Oct 12
99%94%80%70%59%57%9%7%6%5%