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2026 Oscars Predictions: Best Original Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 4,757 users

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Updated: Dec 26, 12:29 PM
Sinners
1

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

WIN:67%
5%
change over 30 days
NOM:99%
Sentimental Value
2

Sentimental Value

Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier

WIN:18%
8%
change over 30 days
NOM:97%
2%
change over 30 days
It Was Just an Accident
3

It Was Just an Accident

Jafar Panahi

WIN:9%
5%
change over 30 days
NOM:93%
4%
change over 30 days
Marty Supreme
4

Marty Supreme

Josh Safdie, Ronald Bronstein

WIN:3%
1%
change over 30 days
NOM:94%
2%
change over 30 days
The Secret Agent
5

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:0%
NOM:34%
26%
change over 30 days
Jay Kelly
6

Jay Kelly

Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach

WIN:0%
NOM:28%
21%
change over 30 days
Sorry, Baby
7

Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor

WIN:0%
NOM:19%
8%
change over 30 days
Weapons
8

Weapons

Zach Cregger

WIN:0%
NOM:12%
5%
change over 30 days
Blue Moon
9

Blue Moon

Robert Kaplow

WIN:0%
NOM:9%
4%
change over 30 days
The Testament of Ann Lee
10

The Testament of Ann Lee

Mona Fastvold, Brady Corbet

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
6%
change over 30 days
A House of Dynamite
11

A House of Dynamite

Noah Oppenheim

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
3%
change over 30 days
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
12

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Mary Bronstein

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Is This Thing On?
13

Is This Thing On?

Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
2%
change over 30 days
Rental Family
14

Rental Family

HIKARI, Stephen Blahut

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
After the Hunt
15

After the Hunt

Nora Garrett

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
One Battle After Another
16

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Materialists
17

Materialists

Celine Song

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Eddington
18

Eddington

Ari Aster

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Twinless
19

Twinless

James Sweeney

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
No Other Choice
20

No Other Choice

Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Phoenician Scheme
21

The Phoenician Scheme

Wes Anderson

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
22

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

Rian Johnson

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Sirāt
23

Sirāt

Oliver Laxe, Santiago Fillol

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Black Bag
24

Black Bag

David Koepp

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Splitsville
25

Splitsville

Michael Angelo Covino, Kyle Marvin

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Sinners
Sentimental Value
Marty Supreme
It Was Just an Accident
The Secret Agent
Jay Kelly
Sorry, Baby
Weapons
Blue Moon
The Testament of Ann Lee
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Nov 27Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 13Dec 16Dec 19Dec 22Dec 2699%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 26
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 25
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 24
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 23
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 22
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 21
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 20
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 19
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 18
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 17
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 16
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 15
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 14
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 13
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 12
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 11
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 10
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 9
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 8
99%
Sinners
99% predicting on Dec 7
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Dec 6
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Dec 5
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Dec 4
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Dec 3
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Dec 2
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Dec 1
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 30
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 29
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 28
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Nov 27
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 26
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 25
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 24
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 23
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 22
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 21
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 20
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 19
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 18
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 17
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 16
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 15
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 14
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 13
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 12
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Dec 11
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Dec 10
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Dec 9
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Dec 8
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Dec 7
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Dec 6
95%
Sentimental Value
95% predicting on Dec 5
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Dec 4
95%
Sentimental Value
95% predicting on Dec 3
95%
Sentimental Value
95% predicting on Dec 2
95%
Sentimental Value
95% predicting on Dec 1
95%
Sentimental Value
95% predicting on Nov 30
95%
Sentimental Value
95% predicting on Nov 29
95%
Sentimental Value
95% predicting on Nov 28
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 27
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 26
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 25
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 24
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 23
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 22
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 21
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 20
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 19
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 18
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 17
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 16
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 15
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 14
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 13
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 12
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 11
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Dec 10
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Dec 9
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Dec 8
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Dec 7
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Dec 6
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Dec 5
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Dec 4
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Dec 3
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Dec 2
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Dec 1
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Nov 30
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Nov 29
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Nov 28
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Nov 27
93%
It Was Just an Accident
93% predicting on Dec 26
93%
It Was Just an Accident
93% predicting on Dec 25
93%
It Was Just an Accident
93% predicting on Dec 24
93%
It Was Just an Accident
93% predicting on Dec 23
93%
It Was Just an Accident
93% predicting on Dec 22
93%
It Was Just an Accident
93% predicting on Dec 21
93%
It Was Just an Accident
93% predicting on Dec 20
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Dec 19
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Dec 18
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Dec 17
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Dec 16
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Dec 15
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Dec 14
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Dec 13
92%
It Was Just an Accident
92% predicting on Dec 12
91%
It Was Just an Accident
91% predicting on Dec 11
91%
It Was Just an Accident
91% predicting on Dec 10
90%
It Was Just an Accident
90% predicting on Dec 9
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Dec 8
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Dec 7
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Dec 6
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Dec 5
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Dec 4
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Dec 3
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Dec 2
88%
It Was Just an Accident
88% predicting on Dec 1
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Nov 30
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Nov 29
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Nov 28
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Nov 27
34%
The Secret Agent
34% predicting on Dec 26
34%
The Secret Agent
34% predicting on Dec 25
33%
The Secret Agent
33% predicting on Dec 24
33%
The Secret Agent
33% predicting on Dec 23
32%
The Secret Agent
32% predicting on Dec 22
32%
The Secret Agent
32% predicting on Dec 21
31%
The Secret Agent
31% predicting on Dec 20
30%
The Secret Agent
30% predicting on Dec 19
29%
The Secret Agent
29% predicting on Dec 18
25%
The Secret Agent
25% predicting on Dec 17
25%
The Secret Agent
25% predicting on Dec 16
24%
The Secret Agent
24% predicting on Dec 15
24%
The Secret Agent
24% predicting on Dec 14
23%
The Secret Agent
23% predicting on Dec 13
22%
The Secret Agent
22% predicting on Dec 12
21%
The Secret Agent
21% predicting on Dec 11
20%
The Secret Agent
20% predicting on Dec 10
16%
The Secret Agent
16% predicting on Dec 9
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Dec 8
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Dec 7
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Dec 6
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Dec 5
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Dec 4
10%
The Secret Agent
10% predicting on Dec 3
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Dec 2
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Dec 1
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Nov 30
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Nov 29
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Nov 28
9%
The Secret Agent
9% predicting on Nov 27
29%
Jay Kelly
29% predicting on Dec 26
30%
Jay Kelly
30% predicting on Dec 25
30%
Jay Kelly
30% predicting on Dec 24
31%
Jay Kelly
31% predicting on Dec 23
31%
Jay Kelly
31% predicting on Dec 22
32%
Jay Kelly
32% predicting on Dec 21
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 20
33%
Jay Kelly
33% predicting on Dec 19
34%
Jay Kelly
34% predicting on Dec 18
39%
Jay Kelly
39% predicting on Dec 17
40%
Jay Kelly
40% predicting on Dec 16
41%
Jay Kelly
41% predicting on Dec 15
42%
Jay Kelly
42% predicting on Dec 14
43%
Jay Kelly
43% predicting on Dec 13
43%
Jay Kelly
43% predicting on Dec 12
44%
Jay Kelly
44% predicting on Dec 11
45%
Jay Kelly
45% predicting on Dec 10
48%
Jay Kelly
48% predicting on Dec 9
57%
Jay Kelly
57% predicting on Dec 8
56%
Jay Kelly
56% predicting on Dec 7
55%
Jay Kelly
55% predicting on Dec 6
53%
Jay Kelly
53% predicting on Dec 5
52%
Jay Kelly
52% predicting on Dec 4
52%
Jay Kelly
52% predicting on Dec 3
51%
Jay Kelly
51% predicting on Dec 2
51%
Jay Kelly
51% predicting on Dec 1
50%
Jay Kelly
50% predicting on Nov 30
50%
Jay Kelly
50% predicting on Nov 29
50%
Jay Kelly
50% predicting on Nov 28
49%
Jay Kelly
49% predicting on Nov 27
19%
Sorry, Baby
19% predicting on Dec 26
18%
Sorry, Baby
18% predicting on Dec 25
18%
Sorry, Baby
18% predicting on Dec 24
18%
Sorry, Baby
18% predicting on Dec 23
18%
Sorry, Baby
18% predicting on Dec 22
18%
Sorry, Baby
18% predicting on Dec 21
18%
Sorry, Baby
18% predicting on Dec 20
18%
Sorry, Baby
18% predicting on Dec 19
17%
Sorry, Baby
17% predicting on Dec 18
15%
Sorry, Baby
15% predicting on Dec 17
15%
Sorry, Baby
15% predicting on Dec 16
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Dec 15
14%
Sorry, Baby
14% predicting on Dec 14
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Dec 13
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Dec 12
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Dec 11
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Dec 10
13%
Sorry, Baby
13% predicting on Dec 9
12%
Sorry, Baby
12% predicting on Dec 8
12%
Sorry, Baby
12% predicting on Dec 7
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Dec 6
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Dec 5
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Dec 4
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Dec 3
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Dec 2
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Dec 1
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Nov 30
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Nov 29
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Nov 28
11%
Sorry, Baby
11% predicting on Nov 27
12%
Weapons
12% predicting on Dec 26
12%
Weapons
12% predicting on Dec 25
12%
Weapons
12% predicting on Dec 24
12%
Weapons
12% predicting on Dec 23
12%
Weapons
12% predicting on Dec 22
12%
Weapons
12% predicting on Dec 21
13%
Weapons
13% predicting on Dec 20
13%
Weapons
13% predicting on Dec 19
13%
Weapons
13% predicting on Dec 18
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Dec 17
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Dec 16
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Dec 15
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Dec 14
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Dec 13
15%
Weapons
15% predicting on Dec 12
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Dec 11
15%
Weapons
15% predicting on Dec 10
16%
Weapons
16% predicting on Dec 9
17%
Weapons
17% predicting on Dec 8
17%
Weapons
17% predicting on Dec 7
16%
Weapons
16% predicting on Dec 6
16%
Weapons
16% predicting on Dec 5
16%
Weapons
16% predicting on Dec 4
16%
Weapons
16% predicting on Dec 3
17%
Weapons
17% predicting on Dec 2
17%
Weapons
17% predicting on Dec 1
17%
Weapons
17% predicting on Nov 30
17%
Weapons
17% predicting on Nov 29
16%
Weapons
16% predicting on Nov 28
16%
Weapons
16% predicting on Nov 27
9%
Blue Moon
9% predicting on Dec 26
9%
Blue Moon
9% predicting on Dec 25
9%
Blue Moon
9% predicting on Dec 24
9%
Blue Moon
9% predicting on Dec 23
9%
Blue Moon
9% predicting on Dec 22
9%
Blue Moon
9% predicting on Dec 21
9%
Blue Moon
9% predicting on Dec 20
9%
Blue Moon
9% predicting on Dec 19
9%
Blue Moon
9% predicting on Dec 18
9%
Blue Moon
9% predicting on Dec 17
8%
Blue Moon
8% predicting on Dec 16
8%
Blue Moon
8% predicting on Dec 15
8%
Blue Moon
8% predicting on Dec 14
8%
Blue Moon
8% predicting on Dec 13
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 12
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 11
7%
Blue Moon
7% predicting on Dec 10
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Dec 9
4%
Blue Moon
4% predicting on Dec 8
4%
Blue Moon
4% predicting on Dec 7
4%
Blue Moon
4% predicting on Dec 6
5%
Blue Moon
5% predicting on Dec 5
5%
Blue Moon
5% predicting on Dec 4
5%
Blue Moon
5% predicting on Dec 3
5%
Blue Moon
5% predicting on Dec 2
5%
Blue Moon
5% predicting on Dec 1
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Nov 30
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Nov 29
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Nov 28
6%
Blue Moon
6% predicting on Nov 27
1%
The Testament of Ann Lee
1% predicting on Dec 26
1%
The Testament of Ann Lee
1% predicting on Dec 25
1%
The Testament of Ann Lee
1% predicting on Dec 24
1%
The Testament of Ann Lee
1% predicting on Dec 23
1%
The Testament of Ann Lee
1% predicting on Dec 22
1%
The Testament of Ann Lee
1% predicting on Dec 21
1%
The Testament of Ann Lee
1% predicting on Dec 20
1%
The Testament of Ann Lee
1% predicting on Dec 19
2%
The Testament of Ann Lee
2% predicting on Dec 18
2%
The Testament of Ann Lee
2% predicting on Dec 17
2%
The Testament of Ann Lee
2% predicting on Dec 16
2%
The Testament of Ann Lee
2% predicting on Dec 15
2%
The Testament of Ann Lee
2% predicting on Dec 14
2%
The Testament of Ann Lee
2% predicting on Dec 13
2%
The Testament of Ann Lee
2% predicting on Dec 12
3%
The Testament of Ann Lee
3% predicting on Dec 11
3%
The Testament of Ann Lee
3% predicting on Dec 10
3%
The Testament of Ann Lee
3% predicting on Dec 9
4%
The Testament of Ann Lee
4% predicting on Dec 8
4%
The Testament of Ann Lee
4% predicting on Dec 7
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Dec 6
5%
The Testament of Ann Lee
5% predicting on Dec 5
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Dec 4
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Dec 3
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Dec 2
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Dec 1
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Nov 30
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Nov 29
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Nov 28
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Nov 27
99%97%94%93%34%29%19%12%9%1%