Award Expert

2026 Oscars Predictions: Best Original Screenplay

Aggregated predictions from 3,654 users

Updated: Nov 10, 6:29 PM
Sinners
1

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

WIN:61%
15%
change over 30 days
NOM:97%
Sentimental Value
2

Sentimental Value

Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier

WIN:27%
19%
change over 30 days
NOM:96%
1%
change over 30 days
Marty Supreme
3

Marty Supreme

Josh Safdie, Ronald Bronstein

WIN:5%
NOM:94%
2%
change over 30 days
It Was Just an Accident
4

It Was Just an Accident

Jafar Panahi

WIN:4%
3%
change over 30 days
NOM:88%
7%
change over 30 days
Jay Kelly
5

Jay Kelly

Emily Mortimer, Noah Baumbach

WIN:0%
NOM:44%
3%
change over 30 days
Weapons
6

Weapons

Zach Cregger

WIN:0%
NOM:16%
7%
change over 30 days
A House of Dynamite
7

A House of Dynamite

Noah Oppenheim

WIN:0%
NOM:10%
23%
change over 30 days
Sorry, Baby
8

Sorry, Baby

Eva Victor

WIN:0%
NOM:8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
9

The Testament of Ann Lee

Mona Fastvold, Brady Corbet

WIN:0%
NOM:8%
2%
change over 30 days
The Secret Agent
10

The Secret Agent

Kleber Mendonça Filho

WIN:0%
NOM:7%
3%
change over 30 days
Blue Moon
11

Blue Moon

Robert Kaplow

WIN:0%
NOM:6%
6%
change over 30 days
Is This Thing On?
12

Is This Thing On?

Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper

WIN:0%
NOM:4%
2%
change over 30 days
Rental Family
13

Rental Family

HIKARI, Stephen Blahut

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
5%
change over 30 days
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
14

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Mary Bronstein

WIN:0%
NOM:2%
1%
change over 30 days
One Battle After Another
15

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
After the Hunt
16

After the Hunt

Nora Garrett

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Splitsville
17

Splitsville

Michael Angelo Covino, Kyle Marvin

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Materialists
18

Materialists

Celine Song

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Eddington
19

Eddington

Ari Aster

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
Twinless
20

Twinless

James Sweeney

WIN:0%
NOM:1%
The Smashing Machine
21

The Smashing Machine

Benny Safdie

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Anemone
22

Anemone

Daniel Day-Lewis, Ronan Day-Lewis

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
Ella McCay
23

Ella McCay

James L. Brooks

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
The Rivals of Amziah King
24

The Rivals of Amziah King

Andrew Patterson

WIN:0%
NOM:0%
No Other Choice
25

No Other Choice

Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar

WIN:0%
NOM:0%

Percentage Predicting over time

Sinners
Sentimental Value
Marty Supreme
It Was Just an Accident
Jay Kelly
Weapons
A House of Dynamite
Sorry, Baby
The Testament of Ann Lee
The Secret Agent
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 1097%
Sinners
97% predicting on Nov 10
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Nov 9
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Nov 8
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Nov 7
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Nov 6
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Nov 5
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Nov 4
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Nov 3
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Nov 2
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Nov 1
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 31
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 30
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 29
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 28
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 27
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 26
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 25
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 24
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 23
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 22
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 21
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 20
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 19
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 18
97%
Sinners
97% predicting on Oct 17
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 16
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 15
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 14
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 13
98%
Sinners
98% predicting on Oct 12
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 10
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 9
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 8
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 7
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 6
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 5
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 4
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 3
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 2
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Nov 1
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 31
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 30
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 29
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 28
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 27
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 26
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 25
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 24
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 23
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 22
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 21
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 20
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 19
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 18
96%
Sentimental Value
96% predicting on Oct 17
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Oct 16
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Oct 15
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Oct 14
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Oct 13
97%
Sentimental Value
97% predicting on Oct 12
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Nov 10
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Nov 9
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Nov 8
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Nov 7
95%
Marty Supreme
95% predicting on Nov 6
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Nov 5
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Nov 4
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Nov 3
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Nov 2
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Nov 1
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Oct 31
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Oct 30
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Oct 29
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Oct 28
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Oct 27
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Oct 26
94%
Marty Supreme
94% predicting on Oct 25
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 24
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 23
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 22
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 21
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 20
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 19
93%
Marty Supreme
93% predicting on Oct 18
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 17
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 16
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 15
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 14
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 13
92%
Marty Supreme
92% predicting on Oct 12
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Nov 10
89%
It Was Just an Accident
89% predicting on Nov 9
88%
It Was Just an Accident
88% predicting on Nov 8
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Nov 7
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Nov 6
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Nov 5
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Nov 4
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Nov 3
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Nov 2
87%
It Was Just an Accident
87% predicting on Nov 1
86%
It Was Just an Accident
86% predicting on Oct 31
86%
It Was Just an Accident
86% predicting on Oct 30
86%
It Was Just an Accident
86% predicting on Oct 29
85%
It Was Just an Accident
85% predicting on Oct 28
85%
It Was Just an Accident
85% predicting on Oct 27
85%
It Was Just an Accident
85% predicting on Oct 26
84%
It Was Just an Accident
84% predicting on Oct 25
84%
It Was Just an Accident
84% predicting on Oct 24
84%
It Was Just an Accident
84% predicting on Oct 23
84%
It Was Just an Accident
84% predicting on Oct 22
84%
It Was Just an Accident
84% predicting on Oct 21
83%
It Was Just an Accident
83% predicting on Oct 20
83%
It Was Just an Accident
83% predicting on Oct 19
82%
It Was Just an Accident
82% predicting on Oct 18
82%
It Was Just an Accident
82% predicting on Oct 17
82%
It Was Just an Accident
82% predicting on Oct 16
82%
It Was Just an Accident
82% predicting on Oct 15
82%
It Was Just an Accident
82% predicting on Oct 14
82%
It Was Just an Accident
82% predicting on Oct 13
81%
It Was Just an Accident
81% predicting on Oct 12
44%
Jay Kelly
44% predicting on Nov 10
45%
Jay Kelly
45% predicting on Nov 9
45%
Jay Kelly
45% predicting on Nov 8
45%
Jay Kelly
45% predicting on Nov 7
46%
Jay Kelly
46% predicting on Nov 6
46%
Jay Kelly
46% predicting on Nov 5
46%
Jay Kelly
46% predicting on Nov 4
46%
Jay Kelly
46% predicting on Nov 3
46%
Jay Kelly
46% predicting on Nov 2
46%
Jay Kelly
46% predicting on Nov 1
46%
Jay Kelly
46% predicting on Oct 31
46%
Jay Kelly
46% predicting on Oct 30
46%
Jay Kelly
46% predicting on Oct 29
45%
Jay Kelly
45% predicting on Oct 28
45%
Jay Kelly
45% predicting on Oct 27
44%
Jay Kelly
44% predicting on Oct 26
43%
Jay Kelly
43% predicting on Oct 25
42%
Jay Kelly
42% predicting on Oct 24
42%
Jay Kelly
42% predicting on Oct 23
42%
Jay Kelly
42% predicting on Oct 22
42%
Jay Kelly
42% predicting on Oct 21
42%
Jay Kelly
42% predicting on Oct 20
42%
Jay Kelly
42% predicting on Oct 19
42%
Jay Kelly
42% predicting on Oct 18
43%
Jay Kelly
43% predicting on Oct 17
43%
Jay Kelly
43% predicting on Oct 16
42%
Jay Kelly
42% predicting on Oct 15
41%
Jay Kelly
41% predicting on Oct 14
41%
Jay Kelly
41% predicting on Oct 13
41%
Jay Kelly
41% predicting on Oct 12
16%
Weapons
16% predicting on Nov 10
15%
Weapons
15% predicting on Nov 9
15%
Weapons
15% predicting on Nov 8
15%
Weapons
15% predicting on Nov 7
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Nov 6
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Nov 5
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Nov 4
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Nov 3
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Nov 2
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Nov 1
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Oct 31
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Oct 30
14%
Weapons
14% predicting on Oct 29
13%
Weapons
13% predicting on Oct 28
13%
Weapons
13% predicting on Oct 27
13%
Weapons
13% predicting on Oct 26
13%
Weapons
13% predicting on Oct 25
12%
Weapons
12% predicting on Oct 24
12%
Weapons
12% predicting on Oct 23
12%
Weapons
12% predicting on Oct 22
11%
Weapons
11% predicting on Oct 21
11%
Weapons
11% predicting on Oct 20
11%
Weapons
11% predicting on Oct 19
10%
Weapons
10% predicting on Oct 18
10%
Weapons
10% predicting on Oct 17
10%
Weapons
10% predicting on Oct 16
10%
Weapons
10% predicting on Oct 15
10%
Weapons
10% predicting on Oct 14
9%
Weapons
9% predicting on Oct 13
9%
Weapons
9% predicting on Oct 12
11%
A House of Dynamite
11% predicting on Nov 10
12%
A House of Dynamite
12% predicting on Nov 9
13%
A House of Dynamite
13% predicting on Nov 8
13%
A House of Dynamite
13% predicting on Nov 7
14%
A House of Dynamite
14% predicting on Nov 6
14%
A House of Dynamite
14% predicting on Nov 5
15%
A House of Dynamite
15% predicting on Nov 4
15%
A House of Dynamite
15% predicting on Nov 3
16%
A House of Dynamite
16% predicting on Nov 2
17%
A House of Dynamite
17% predicting on Nov 1
17%
A House of Dynamite
17% predicting on Oct 31
18%
A House of Dynamite
18% predicting on Oct 30
19%
A House of Dynamite
19% predicting on Oct 29
20%
A House of Dynamite
20% predicting on Oct 28
21%
A House of Dynamite
21% predicting on Oct 27
23%
A House of Dynamite
23% predicting on Oct 26
24%
A House of Dynamite
24% predicting on Oct 25
25%
A House of Dynamite
25% predicting on Oct 24
26%
A House of Dynamite
26% predicting on Oct 23
26%
A House of Dynamite
26% predicting on Oct 22
27%
A House of Dynamite
27% predicting on Oct 21
28%
A House of Dynamite
28% predicting on Oct 20
28%
A House of Dynamite
28% predicting on Oct 19
29%
A House of Dynamite
29% predicting on Oct 18
30%
A House of Dynamite
30% predicting on Oct 17
31%
A House of Dynamite
31% predicting on Oct 16
32%
A House of Dynamite
32% predicting on Oct 15
32%
A House of Dynamite
32% predicting on Oct 14
32%
A House of Dynamite
32% predicting on Oct 13
33%
A House of Dynamite
33% predicting on Oct 12
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Nov 10
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Nov 9
9%
Sorry, Baby
9% predicting on Nov 8
9%
Sorry, Baby
9% predicting on Nov 7
9%
Sorry, Baby
9% predicting on Nov 6
9%
Sorry, Baby
9% predicting on Nov 5
9%
Sorry, Baby
9% predicting on Nov 4
9%
Sorry, Baby
9% predicting on Nov 3
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Nov 2
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Nov 1
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 31
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 30
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 29
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 28
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 27
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 26
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 25
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 24
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 23
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 22
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 21
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 20
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 19
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 18
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 17
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 16
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 15
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 14
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 13
8%
Sorry, Baby
8% predicting on Oct 12
8%
The Testament of Ann Lee
8% predicting on Nov 10
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Nov 9
7%
The Testament of Ann Lee
7% predicting on Nov 8
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Nov 7
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Nov 6
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Nov 5
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Nov 4
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Nov 3
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Nov 2
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Nov 1
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 31
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 30
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 29
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 28
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 27
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 26
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 25
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 24
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 23
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 22
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 21
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 20
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 19
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 18
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 17
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 16
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 15
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 14
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 13
6%
The Testament of Ann Lee
6% predicting on Oct 12
7%
The Secret Agent
7% predicting on Nov 10
7%
The Secret Agent
7% predicting on Nov 9
6%
The Secret Agent
6% predicting on Nov 8
6%
The Secret Agent
6% predicting on Nov 7
6%
The Secret Agent
6% predicting on Nov 6
6%
The Secret Agent
6% predicting on Nov 5
6%
The Secret Agent
6% predicting on Nov 4
6%
The Secret Agent
6% predicting on Nov 3
6%
The Secret Agent
6% predicting on Nov 2
6%
The Secret Agent
6% predicting on Nov 1
6%
The Secret Agent
6% predicting on Oct 31
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 30
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 29
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 28
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 27
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 26
4%
The Secret Agent
4% predicting on Oct 25
5%
The Secret Agent
5% predicting on Oct 24
4%
The Secret Agent
4% predicting on Oct 23
4%
The Secret Agent
4% predicting on Oct 22
4%
The Secret Agent
4% predicting on Oct 21
4%
The Secret Agent
4% predicting on Oct 20
4%
The Secret Agent
4% predicting on Oct 19
4%
The Secret Agent
4% predicting on Oct 18
3%
The Secret Agent
3% predicting on Oct 17
4%
The Secret Agent
4% predicting on Oct 16
4%
The Secret Agent
4% predicting on Oct 15
4%
The Secret Agent
4% predicting on Oct 14
3%
The Secret Agent
3% predicting on Oct 13
3%
The Secret Agent
3% predicting on Oct 12
97%96%94%89%44%16%11%8%8%7%